EC .\JOMle U\f&PACT Ar~AL YSIS F R THE ViRGil\! ISLAi\~DS NATIOi~AL PARf( Prepared under contract for the United States Department of the Interior National Park Service Southeast Regional Office Atlanta, Georgia by the Island Resources Foundation Red Hook Center St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands October, 1981 ISLAND RESOURCES FOUNDATION FINAL REPORT ECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS FOR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS NATIONAL PARK PREPARED UNDER CONTRACT FOR: The United States Department of the Interior National Park Service Southeast Regional Office Atlanta, Georgia CONTRACT NO: CX50001016 PREPARED BY: Dr. Ben Posner Clarence Cuthbertson Dr. Edwar.d Towle Charlotte Reeder October-1g81 RED HOOK CENTER. BOX 33. ST. THOMAS, U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS 00801 • (809) 775-3225 i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The Island Resources Foundation and the study team wish to ex- press their appreciation to the Superintendent of the Virgin Islands National Park, Noel Pachta; the Resource Management Officer of the V.I. National Park, Jim Riddle; and the entire staff of the VINP for their never-failing help and active assis- tance in connection with this study. Valu~ble research advice and assistance were given by Dr. Jay Gogue and Dr. Frank Noe from the Southeast Regional Office of the National Park Service, and by Dr. Robert Brander, from the Vir- gin Islands National Park. Warren Brown, Planner, Heritage Con- servation and Recreation Service, Washington, D.C., spent sever- al days with the study team and with the VINP, providing valuable suggestions on the study, particularly in connection with ques- tions having to do with land management. Special thanks also go to E. David Brewer, Vice President/General Manager, Caneel Bay Resorts, and John Harvey, Manager of Maho Bay Campground, for their generous cooperation in making surveys of guests residing on St. John possible. The College of the Virgin Islands assisted greatly in the study by making it possible for the study team to use C.V.I. students in conducting the surveys. Mr. James Pobicki, Director of Policy and Planning for the V.I. Government Department of Com- merce, and his staff were most helpful in making research suggest- ions and in making available to the study team information col- lected by his office on the economy of the Virgin Islands. Finally, thBstudy team extends its thanks to all the other of- ficials and individuals on St. Thomas and St. John who were con- sulted in connection with the study and who were all, without exception, most generous in lending us their time, their informa- tion, and their knowledge. ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Page No. CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION 1 A. Background and Purpose 1 B. History and Setting 1 - 3 C. Concept of Study 4 - 7 D. Outline of Study 7 - 8 CHAPTER II: ECONOMIC IMPACT OF VINP ON TOURISM IN ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN 10 A. Methodology and Research 10-r2 B. Summary of Findings 12-20 CHAPTER III: ECONOMIC IMPACT OF VIRGIN ISLANDS NATIONAL PARK ON BOATING INDUSTRY IN ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN 22 A. Analytical Appro~cH 22-24 B. Summary of Findings 24 C. Conclusion 25 CHAPTER IV: ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE VINP ON LAND VALUES ON ST. JOHN 27 A. Methodology 27-31 B. Summary of Findings 32-33 CHAPTER V: DIRECT AND INDIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT OF VINP AND VINP CONCESSIONAIRES ON ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN ECONOMY 35 A. Costs of the VINP 35-37 B. Economic Benefits of the VINP 37-39 C.. Economic Benefits of Caneel Bay/Cinnamon Bay Operations on St. John 39-40 CHAPTER VI: SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 41 A. Summary 41-46 B. Conclusions 46-48 INDIVIDUALS CONTACTED DURING COURSE OF STUDY 50-51 BIBLIOGRAPHY 52-53 APPENDIX A. SURVEY OF SHUTTLE BOAT USERS APPENDIX B. SURVEY OF GUESTS OF CANEEL BAY PLANTATION CINNAMON BAY CAMPGROUND AND MAHO BAN CM1PGROUND APPENDIX C. SURVEY OF CHARTERBOATING AND RELATED BUSINESSES ... report prepared for the Department of Commerce APPENDIX D. A SUMMARY OF COMMUNITY VIEWS A-I - A-20 B-1 - B-13 C-l - C-7 D-l - D-2 TABLE 1 TABLE 2 TABLE 3 TABLE 4 TABLE 5 TABLE A-I TABLE A-2 TABLE A-3 TABLE A-4 TABLE A-5 TABLE A-6 TABLE A-7 TABLE A-8 TABLE B-1 TABLE B-2 TABLE B-3 TABLE B-4 TABLE B-5 TABLE B-6 iii LIST OF TABLES NUMBER OF PASSENGERS TRAVELING TO AND FROM ST. JOHN VIA FERRY, JANUARYTHRU DECEMBER, 1980 RECREATIONAL PUBLIC USE OF THE VINP, CY 1980 DERIVATION OF ESTIMATES OF ECONOMIC IMPACT OF VINP ON TOURISM IN ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN ACREAGE PURCHASED BY V.I. NATIONAL PARK SINCE ITS ESTABLISHMENT IN 1956 COMPARISONS OF ANNUAL COSTS AND BENEFITS, ECONOMIC H~PACT OF VINP ON ST. THm~AS/ST. JOHN ECONOMY, 1980 DATA PROFILE OF USERS MAIN PURPOSE OF TRIP NU~~BER IN PARTY ESTIMATED LENGTH OF STAY TO WHAT EXTENT DID THE FACT THAT ST. JOHN HAS A NATIONAL Page No. 13 17 18 30 46-47 A-8 A-9 A-I0 A-ll - A-12 PARK INFLUENCE YOUR VISIT? A-13 - A-14 EVALUATION OF ST. JOHN EXPERIENCE AVERAGE DAILY EXPENSES PER ADULT APPROXU1ATE ANNUAL INCOME OF HOUSEHOLD PERMANENT RESIDENTS TRAVELING PARTY COMPOSITION LENGTH OF STAY AVERAGE DAILY EXPENSES EXTENT OF NATIONAL PARK INFLUENCE ON VISITS AGE AND SEX OF RESPONDENTS A-15 - A-16 A-17 - A-18 A-19 - A-20 B-7 B-8 B-9 B-I0,- B-ll B-12 B-13 CHAPTER I: INTRODUCTION A. BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE In October 1980, the U.S. Department of Interior, National Park Service, entered into a contract with Island Resources Foundation to perform an objective evaluation of the special economic impact made by the Virgin Islands National Park (VINP) on the economy of St. Thomas/St. John.l This report pre- sents the results of that study. The study deals only with economic benefits such as visitor expenditures; increases in land values that are attributable to the existence of the VINP; employment opportunities; bene- fits to local merchants from operations of the national park installation and its concessionaires; and similar items. No attempt is made to quantify benefits such as the preservation of natural sceneryr the provision of recreational opportuni- ties; the preservation of historical landmarks; and related esthetic and cultural benefits of the VINP. It is worth n6ting, however, that the local officials and individuals contacted in the course of the study almost without exception volun- teered their awareness and appreciation of these benefits. The study deals only with the existing economic situation. It can be argued that if the national park on St. John did not exist, private enterprise in cooperation with the Govern- ment of the Virgin Islands would have developed the island of St. John in a way that would have provided economic bene- fits equal or superior to those identified in this study. An approach based on an attempt to construct and quantify such an alternative model was considered. It was discarded be- cause of the degree of uncertainty that would exist with re- spect to items such as capital requirements of constructing air and sea port facilities, the implications of direct competition between St. Thomas and St. John, and a host of other imponderables that cannot reasonably be dealt with. The study does attempt to identify all costs associated with the park, including the impact of the VINP on public service facilities of the Government of the Virgin Islands; real estate tax revenues lost to the V.I. Government because of the removal of property from its tax rolls; interest costs on government investments; and similar items. B. HISTORY AND SETTING History During the late 1930's the U.S. National Park Service indi- cated an interest in the park potentialities of the American Virgin Islands. At that time the Park Service dispatched - 2- Superintendent Harold Hubler of the San Juan National Historic Site, Puerto Rico, to do a study to determine the feasibility of creating a park in the Virgin Islands. Particular attention was focussed on the island of St. John which is fifty miles east of Puerto Rico. As a result of the outbreak of war in Europe the idea to establish a park in the islands was indef- initely deferred. In 1954, Mr. Laurance S. Rockefeller, who then owned the Caneel Bay Estate on St. John, became intensely interested in the possibilities of creating a Virgin Islands National Park and brought the matter before the Director of the National Park Service in the form of a proposal. Superintendent Hubler was assigned to return to St. John and make a second study to de- termine whether the island was suitable for the establishment of a national park. In an article published in 1954, Hubler uncondi tionally endorsed the idea of creating a national park on St. John stating, "It is a colorful, tropical island under the American flag, rich in historic, scientific, and recrea- tional interests. The proposed park would comprise a major part of the island of St. John omitting the settled areas and arable land and including nearby small islands and cays. Pre- servation of the Carib Indians stone picture writings, the old forts, the estate ruins and other features of historic and scientific qualities would be accomplished by establishment of the proposed Virgin Islands National Park."2 On August 2, 1956, the law authorizing creation of the Virgin Islands National Park was passed by Congress.~ At that time the National Park Service (NPS) was authorized to acquire not more than 9,485 acres on or around St. John and 15 acres on St. Thomas. Certain offshore waters were added in 1962 which expanded the park's boundaries within the framework of the Act of 1916 which created the National Park Service. In 1956 more than 5,000 acres were donated by Jackson Hole Preserve, a non-profit educational and scientific foundation. These do~ nations provided the first federally owned lands within the boundary delineated by Congress. Since that time, donated and purchased lands added to the park have totaled nearly 1,900 acres. Setting The Virgin Islands National Park is principally located on the island of St. John, the smallest of the three major islands in the American Virgin Islands group (see Map 1). Its area com- prises some 20 square miles, the island being eight to nine miles long at its extremities in its east-west axis and four to five miles in width north to south. From St. John its sister island, St. Thomas, can be seen a mile and three- quarters west across Pillsbury Sound. To the north across Drakes Passage, British Tortola is visible some three miles .."" - "- - "- '" _ r--- ~ "'''''010/. ...... ...... '4l. I ...... .o4~ ..... 'I( '" /JOll " ""0 .... '4/i ....... )- ..... I ....... ...... , ..... ........ I ...... ....... , ..... ........ I I ...... .... ..... I I ..... ...... F-ffl I .AP"J'oo.. .*" e '/ < Iti'. I , I ) ~ -15- ment of commerce.) 3 A second analysis was made of the guests of the major VINP-re1ated installations on St. John. This analysis was designed to secure demographic and economic impact information concerning visitors wh~ remain on S~. J?hn for a period of days and weeks. Question- nalres, along wlth lnternally devi~ed surveys, were administered by the management staffs at the selected facilities.4 From this analysis it was possible to secure estimates of the ex- penditure patterns of guests and to determine to what extent guests were influenced to visit St. John because of the fact that the VINP was on that island. Results of the survey revealed that guests at Caneel Bay Planta- tion spent considerably more than the average visitors to the Virgin Islands: an estimated total of $210.00 per adult per day (including lodging and meals). Guests at Cinnamon Bay Campground spent approximately $68.00 per adult per day (including lodging and meals), and guests at Maho Bay Campgrounds spent some $61. 00.5 The survey also revealed that, in response to the question about the extent to which guests were influenced to visit St. John be- cause of the fact that the VINP was on that island, Caneel Bay guests were less influenced by this consideration than were the guests who stayed at campgrounds. The derived mean of responses for Caneel Bay was 43.7%, and for Cinnamon Bay Campground it was 72.6%; for Maho Bay Campground it was 66.5%.6 Cruise Ship Visitors to the VINP. A substantial number of the visitors to St. John and to the VINP are from the cruise ships that visit St. Thomas regularly. Based on interviews with cruise ship directors, set up by the Tourism Officer of the Department of Commerce, it can be reasonably estimated that approximately 65,000 visitors per year -- somewhat more than 10% of total cruise ship visitors to St. Thomas in 1980 -- take tours that include the VINP and St. John.7 These tours include safari tours through the VINP, time to enjoy snorkeling and swimming opportunities at Trunk Bay within VINP, and opportunities to shop in St. Thomas. Daily expenditures in St. Thomas by the average cruise ship passenger amount to $84.00. 8 No separate survey to determine the special influence of the VINP on cruise ship visitors was possible within the time and budgetary restraints of the present study, but a substantial number of cruise ship visitors were among the ferry boat users that were in- cluded in the survey described in Appendix A. -16- Derivation of Economic Impact. Estimates. From information sum- marized above, plus supplemental data presented herein, estimates of the dollar impact of the VINP on tourism in the Virgin Islands can be developed. The analysis involves: 1. Numbers of visitor days by category are obtainable from the report of users of shuttle boats between St. Thomas and St. John (see Table 1 above), and from statistics on public use of the VINP for recreational purposes. These statistics, taken from public use reports and work sheets of the VINP, are summar- ized in Table 2, following. 2. Daily expenditures of each category of visitor are taken from survey results and from the Annual Economic Review for 1980 of the Department of Commerce of the V.I. Government. 3. The extent of the influence of the VINP on visitors is taken from survey results. 4. The imputed value of VINP influence is reduced by a factor ("multiplier") used in earlier studies by the Planning and Research section of the V.I. Department of Commerce to convert actual expenditures to contributions to the gross territorial product of the Virgin Islands. Table 3, with explanatory notes, presents the results of this analysis. The analysis presented in this chapter does not constitute the total impact of the VINP on tourism in the Virgin Islands. An- other extremely significant aspect of the existence of the VINP is in connection with water related activities of visitors to the Virgin Islands. Because more precise data on the economic impact of the recreational boat industry was available, the analytical approach is different. It is summarized in the fol- lowing chapter of this report. MONTH JANUARY FEBRUARY MARCH APRIL MAY . ,JUNE JULY AUGUST SEPTEMBER OCTOBER NOVEMBER DECEMBER TOTAL DAY VISITS Camp- d ..... __ ...... 7,737 7,567 8,532 7,322 5,246 5,337 5,065 5,343 1,655 1,841 3,000 5,158 63,803 Inhold -- , 16,427 15,731 16,803 9,174 11,495 10,909 I .. 10,130 12,322 I 4,576 ! 8,964 11,166 i i 15,135 i 142,805 TABLE 2 RECREATIONAL PUBLIC -q:SE OF THE VINP, CALENDAR YEAR-1980 Caneel Bay Permittee Guest Land T, 1,050 6,912 1,348 8,147 1,449 6,976 1,376 5,675 1,298 4,790 1,121 5,092 1,046 6,081 1,316 4,742 570 3,216 1,169 6,250 1,260 5,384 1,500 7,609 14,503 70,874 Beach Us - 8,695 10,243 10,288 7,904 7,375 5,374 7,686 8,525 4,162 4,441 4,372 8,440 87,5_05 Boat Use 13,898 18,578 17,197 14,074 11,718 10,389 14,887 10,584 6,930 7,886 10,786 16,048 TOTAL 54,71'9 61,614 61,245 45,525 41,922 38,222 44,895 41,306 21,109 30,551 51,394 53,890 152,9J_5. ___ 549, )92 __ OVERNIGHT VISITS Camp- ground 7,737 7,567 8,532 7,322 5,246 5,337 5,065 5,343 1,655 1,841 3,000 5,158 56 ... 066 float Use 7,711 7,510 8,674 8,060 7,042 6,286 6,847 5,512 3,727 4,628 5,767 7,619 79,)83_ Source: Compiled from monthly public use reports of the VINP and supporting information provided by the VINP. TOTAL 15,448 15,077 17,206 15,382 12,288 11,623 11,912 10,855 5,382 6,469 8,767 12,777 J-.4~, 186 TOTAL DAY & .OVERNIGHT . VISITS 70,167 76,691 78,451 60,907 54,210 49,845 56,807 52 161 26,491 37,020 60,161 66,667 689,578 I f-' -.....J TABLE 3 DERIVATION OF ESTIMATES OF ECONOMIC IMPACT OF VINP ON TOURISM IN ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN (EXCLUDING IMPACT ON BOATING INDUSTRY) Imputed Net Econ. Value Benefit No. of VINP Total of VINP Imputed Visitor Days Expend. Expend. % Influence Influence to VINP In 1980 Per Day (Thou. ) of VINP (Thou. ) Multiplier (Thou. ) Cruise Ship Visitors 65,000 $ 84.00 $ 5,460 78% $ 4,259 .55 $ 2,342 (Note 1) (Note 2) (Note 3) Tourists Visiting VINP on Vacation, other than U.S. Virgin Island Residents and Guests Residing on I-' 00 St. John 114,500 $ 86.00 9,847 78% 7,681 .55 4,224 (Note 4) (Note 5) (Note 2) (Note 3) U.S.V.I. Residents Visit- ing VINP on Vacation 68,000 $ 27.67 1,882 79% 1,486 .70 1,040 (Note 6) (Note 7) (Note 8) Guests on St. John: (Note 9) Residing at Caneel Bay 100,000 $101.48 10,148 43.7% 4,435 .55 2,439 (Note 10) (Note 11) (Note 3) Residing at Cinnamon Bay Campground 56,000 $ 48.17 2,698 72.6% 1,959 .55 1,077 (Note 12) (Note 11) (Note 3) Residing at Maho Bay Campground 42,000 $ 61.14 2,568 66.5% 1,708 .55 939 (Note 13) (Note 11) (Note 3) TOTAL $12,061 Note 1: Note 2: Note 3: Note 4: Note 5: -19- NOTES TO TABLE 3 Expenditures per day of Cruise Ship Visitors taken from Annual Economic Review, 1980, op. cit., p. 28. From Survey Results, Appendix A, Table A-5. The conversion of outlays in various categories into contributions to the Gross Territorial Product (GTP) of the Virgin Islands has been used by the Office of Policy Planning and Research, V.I. Department of Com- merce, in its studies. The multiplier for tourist expenditures was set at .55, in recognition of the high import component of most products purchased. (See Water Island Study--Summary Report and Analysis, an EDA Technical Assistance Study prepared by the SB Corporation under supervision of the Virgin Islands Department of Commerce, p. 51.) For purposes of this analysis, a contribution to GTP of the Virgin Islands is considered to be equivalent to net economic benefit to the Virgin Islands. This number is derived from two sources: Total numbers of shuttle boat users (see Table 1, p. 13 above), ver- ified by public use statistics of the VINP. It is a net number, excluding all VINP visitors grouped in atner categories. Actual numbers are: Gross no. of shuttle boat users 300,000 Less: 29% of users who are U.S.V.I. residents (87,000) Cruise ship visitors (treated as separate category) (65,000) Estimate of St. John guests who make use of shuttle. For campground guests this was cal- culated on basis of 2 round trips per guest; for Caneel Bay guests, 1 round trip per guest (assuming the other round trip was on Caneel Bay transportation) (25,000) Percentage of users not on vacation (From Appendix A, Table A-I) ( 8,500) Balance------------------------------- 114,500 From Annual Economic Review 1980, op. cit., p. 21 mod- ified to reflect St. Thomas calculations-only. The averages summarized in Table A-7, obtained from the shuttle boat survey, give a much smaller result because the questionnaire asks only for expenditures on St. John. Since the study deals also with St. Thomas expeditures, the higher average is appropriate. -20- Note 6: Derived from Appendix A Tables A-I and A-2: 78% of 87,000 total no. of U.S.V.I. residents estimated to make use of shuttle boat per year. Note 7: From Appendix A, Table A-S. Note 8: See Note 3 above. The multiplier for expenditures by residents of the Virgin Islands was set at .70, since a smaller proportion of their outlays can be expected to be for gift and other items which have a large im- port component. Note 9: The estimates of VINP visitor days of guests on St. John were taken primarily from public use statistics of the VINP, verified by independent information secured from each of the installations as to guest capacity and estimated occupancy rates during 1980. Note 10: See Appendix B, Table B-4. Note that this expenditure per day excludes costs of lodging and meals at Caneel Bay Plantation. This is because the economic impact of such expenditures are calculated elsewhere in this re- port on the basis of specific information supplied by the managers of Caneel Bay and Cinnamon Bay. Note 11: See Appendix B, Table B-S. Note 12: Appendix B, Table B-4. See Note 10 above. Note 13: Appendix B, Table B-4. In the case of guests at Maho Bay, the expenditures per day include lodging and meal costs, since no separate information of operating costs was supplied by Maho Bay Management. - 21- FOOTNOTES FOR CHAPTER II 1See Annual Economic Review 1980, U.S. Virgin Islands, Department of Commerce, Government of the Virgin Islands, p. 9. 2See Appendix A for a complete description of the methodology used in this survey and a complete report of results of the survey. 3In Annual Economic Review 1980, Q£. cit., p. 28. 4See Appendix B for a complete description of the methodology used in this survey and a complete report of results of the survey. 5See Appendix B, Table B-4, for more information. Note that in these tables expenditures per day for Caneel and Cinnamon Bay exclude amounts for lodging and food taken at the installation, while the amount for Maho Bay includes these items. The dif- ference in the questionnaires to the installations involved was due to the fact that economic analysis data available from the management of Caneel and Cinnamon Bay was more complete than that from Maho, requiring different analytical techniques. 6See Appendix B, Table B-5, for details. The "derived mean" is based on a weighted average which assigns 100 to a response that indicates that the existence of the VINP was the "primary reason" for the visit; 75 for a response indicating that the visit was "considerably" influenced by the VINP; down to 0 for a response indicating that the influence of the VINP was "not at all". 7This estimate is supported by separate statistics furnished by the two principal tour operators on St. Thomas. See also Annual Economic Review 1980, Q£. cit., p. 68, for total cruise ship passengers to St. Thomas in 1980. 8Annual Economic Review 1980, ~. cit., p. 38. -22- CHAPTER III: ECONOMIC IMPACT OF VIRGIN ISLANDS NATIONAL PARK ON BOATING INDUSTRY IN ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN A. ANALYTICAL APPROACH Extent to which Charterboats· Use National Park Waters. Boating and Registry in the U.S. Virgin Islands. Boating in the waters of the American Virgin Islands has grown rapidly in the last five years as evidenced by the increase in boat registration from 1,583 in 1975 to 2,644 as of December 1980} This increase can be attributed to two major factors: many of the new boats come from islands in the Caribbean and the Bahamas where exorbi- tant taxes and other restrictions make chartering a marginal operation; and the waters of the Virgin Islands, particularly surrounding St. John, are considered the number one preferred anchorage in the area. This section deals with the relationship between the viability of the expanding boat industry and the attraction of National Park waters. Extent of Charterboating in National Park Waters. According to National Park Service records, over a twelve month period 232,358 persons were counted as entering park water boundaries via charter boats (crewed and bareboat), averaging 4.8 persons per boat. 2 This accounts for 48,407 boats entering park waters, of which 5,253 boats transporting 21,937 persons were of foreign registry, ac- cording to U.S. Customs figures. 3 Therefore, of the total number of boats (48,407) anchoring in park waters, 45.3% carrying 21,937 boaters were not registered as based at an American port. Types and Costs of Charterboating. According to a 1980 survey of charterboating in the Virgin Islands conducted for the V.I. Department of Commerce4 it was reported that there are 190 charter- boats, mainly all sail, that are available for crewed term charters. In addition to the 190, which are exclusively for overnight chart- ers, there are 20 boats that actively seek one day sails through hotels and resorts. It is estimated there are 189 overnight charters without crew (bareboats), which are registered in the U.S. Virgin Islands. These are operated by eleven companies. Expansion plans of five of these operators will add 62 boats by the end of 1982. An estimate of the number of charters booked on the 190 crewed boats average 17 weeks a year (1979 figures). Each charter aver- ages 5.2 persons a charter at $110.00 per person per day, for a total gross income of some $13 million. Bareboat companies, on the other hand, reported that their boats ranged from 15 to 32 weeks of charter per year. In 1979 there were 4,370 charters, or 21,000 people, providing an approximate - 2 3- gross annual income of about $4.5 million. Taken together, the total gross annual income for charterboat operations, crewed as well as bareboat, approximates $17.5 million. Prices for crewed boats range from $1,500 a week for a two-passen- ger boat to $12,500 a week for an eight-passenger boat, or an average of $110.00 per day per charter person. On crewed boats this is an all-inclusive price -- all meals, snacks, beverages, wine, use of snorkel and fishing equipment are included. Bare- boats range from $350.00 a week for a two-passenger boat to $1,500 for a boat that will carry up to six. The daily per person average is $45, but this does not include provisions or beverages, which the party chartering the boat can purchase locally or from the boat company. According to a survey of boat captains/owners it was estimated that 70% of all charterers request to visit National Park waters. Reason given for such high demand varied from, "friends' recom- mendations", to "promotion in national and special interest mag- azines"~ The survey also revealed that of those who request to charter in park waters, fifty percent of the charter time is spent anchored in park waters. The Department of Commerce charterboat study pointed out there are 20 boats in the crewed charterboat fleet that are fully equipped for diving and are often chartered for week-long diving excursions. During the course of this study major dive operations were contacted. They stated that the impact of diving in National Park waters. is insignificant, principally because travel to and from park waters is time consuming, the high cost of fuel renders it uneconomical, and the general roughness of the water hinders diving activities. The study team also explored the economic impact of the fishing industry (including sport fishing) in re- lation to the existence of the VINP and reached the conclusion that there was a minimal connection. Local Expenditures By Charterboat Industry. It has already been reported that gross annual income from charterboat operations approximates $17.5 million. Of this it is estimated that the crewed fleet spends close to $2 million a year on food, beverages and condiments. About $550,000 was spent on hauling, bottom paint, varnish, parts and other maintenance locally. About $575,000 was spent locally on marine insurance. Fuel costs were about $240,000, all of which was spent locally, and some $1.8 million was paid in broker (booking agent) commissions. However, only about eight percent of this amount, or $19,200, was earned by the several St. Thomas brokers. The rest was paid to some 25 brokers in the United States and one in Argentina. The bareboat fleet of 189 boats expends about $3,500 per boat for hauling, paint, varnish and general maintenance, all procured locally. Provisioning, whether provided by the boat companies or the charterer, amounted -24- to about $1.7 million. Fuel costs were about $125,000. Nearly all bareboats are individually owned by stateside residents; consequently, they are financed and insured there. About 90 percent of all crewed boat charterers sp.end at least one night before or after a charter in a local hotel. It is es- timated that crewed boat charterers spend nearly $700,000 on hotel rooms. Bareboat charterers spend less time in a hotel room, as the boat operating companies will allow them to sleep in the boat they chartered if they arrive early or use another boat in the fleet if their boat is not ready. The charge for this is about 10 percent of hotel room rates. An estimate for bareboat chart- erers for hotel rooms is about $300,000. With regard to employment, crewed boats have an average crew of: 3.5, including the captain and mate, which generally is the hus- band and wi fe and als 0 the owners of the boat., I f they can be considered employees, the crewed boat fleet has about 665 employ- ees. Atoan average of 17 weeks employment per year the total workforce of crewed boat charters earned approximately $1.5 million in wages. The bareboat operators employ about 60 full time people plus some casual labor. Based on the federal minimum wage ($3.35: 'per hour) the gross weekly salaries of bareboat workers totals about $8,040. Since they are employed on an average of 24 weeks the gross estimated wages paid to employees of bareboat charters is $192,960. B. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS There are a total of 372 crewed or bareboat chartered boats in the u.S. Virgin Islands that generate an annual gross income of about $17.5 million. Based on interviews with charterboat owners and operators, 70% of most charter act irvi ty taking place in the Virgin Islands is carried out within the water boundary of the V.I. National Park. As such, approximately 260 of all charters regularly do business within park waters. Of those (260) that regularly charter to the National Park, fifty percent of their time is spent anchored within the park boundary. Charterboat owners and operators sperid approximately $6.9 mil- lion annually for food, beverages, boat maintenance, fuel, in- surance and incidentals. This figure includes what bareboat charterers spend themselves on provisioning. All expenditures in these categories are for goods and services procured locally. Another $1.7 million goes for personal services. No separate estimates of taxes paid by these owners and operators is avail- able. -25- C. CONCLUSION The impact of the VINP on the boating industry can be expressed in dollar amounts, using approximate relationships. Some 260 boats (70% of the total St. Thomas/St. John boats engaged in chartering) use VINP waters regularly -- for approximately 50% of the elapsed time that they are out on charters. Total income of the charterboat industry is estimated at $17.5 million, of which approximately $8.6 million can be directly or indirectly related to outlays affecting the St. Thomas/St. John economy. Assuming that some portion of the balance of the boating industry revenue ($17.5 million less the $8.6 million accounted for) is also used for purposes that benefit the local economy, and adjust- ing for the multiplier factors previeusly referred to in Table 3 at page 19, the "order of magnitude" estimate of economic benefits from the boating industry attributable to the VINP is $3.0 million. - 26- FOOTNOTES FOR CHAPTER III 1Annua1 Boat Registry, 1975 and 1980; V.I. Department of Con- servation and Cultural Affairs, Division of Fish and Wildlife. 2 V.I. National Park Service, Monthly Use Reports (1980). 3U. S. Customs Registry of Foreign Arrivals (1980). 4Carder, Cldye, "Survey of Charter Boating and Related Businesses In the Virgin Islands Relative to their Contribution to our Tourism Related Economy", - A Report Prepared for the V. I. De- partment of Commerce, July 1980. A summary of this report is included as Appendix C of this study. - 27- CHAPTER IV. ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE VINP ON LAND VALUES ON ST. JOHN A. METHODOLOGY General. Determining the economic impact of the VINP on economic activities on the island of St. John itself required a different form of analysis from those described in Chapters II and III. As noted in Chapter I, economic data on the growth and nature of the economy of St. John are almost non-existent, largely because many of the establishments on St. John are branches of larger operations based on St. Thomas. In the absence of other viable methods for measuring economic impact directly, the study team decided to use a modified form of the approach described in the Herr et. al. study of the Cape Cod National Seashore. l -- -- The essential feature of this approach is that economic growth of a surrounding community--increased business establishments related to increased numbers of visitors; increased demand for properties for home sites; increased employment; increased taxis and other transportation vehicles; and other types of increased economic activities--nearly all result in increased land values. Thus, in the absence of information that permits measurement of direct economic growth indicators, comparable conclusions can be reached by measuring increases in land values over a period of time. Analysis. For a complete analysis, it would have been desirable to know land values of all lands donated or purchased by the VINP as of the date of donation or purchase and the annual values of land on St. John outside the VINP for each year starting with 1956. Not all this information i~ in fact,available, but there is sufficient data so that by interpolation and extrapolation) the trend of land values can be determined. Following are facts required for the land value analysis: Average appraised values per acre of land for 7 years were as follows :2 1961 1965 1968 1972 1976 1979 1980 $ 438 637 1,420 ,2,341 6,952 13,050 18,513 There is apparently no readily available record from which the value of the 5,085 acres donated to the VINP at the time of its - 28- inception can be determined.3 However, assuming that the value of the land donated was approximately equal to the value of the remaining land on St. John, this value is estimated at $2.0 mil- lion. (The calculation is based on a $438 value per acre in 1961) deflated according to consumer price index changes between 19 6 1 an d 19 5 6 [ a fa c tor 0 f . 9 0 85] .) The value of all subsequent land and improvements obtained by the VINP is summarized in Table 4, following. It should be noted that amounts paid were the result of voluntary agreements to sell, with prices determined by independent appraisers. No lands were taken over by condemnation. It should also be noted that an additional 14 acres (approximately) were donated to the VINP subsequent to the initial donations. Changes in the Consumer Price Index between 1956 and 1980 are summarized on page 31.4 Prom the above information, derived conclusions concerning land values and taxes on St. John are as follows: 1. Value of VINP land based on values at time of donation and purchase, . adjusted for the impact of inflatiom,l. are summar- ized in the following tabulation. Original Donati~n1 Later Donations All Purchases 3 Total Acreage 5,085 14 1,874 6,973 Original Val. (Thousands) $2,000 . 110 11,167 $13,277 Adjusted for Inflation (Thous ands) $6,068 140 17,323 $23,531 1 Infla tion adj us tment factor, 1956 to 1980, is 3.034. 2Donations made in late 1970's. Estimated value of $8,000 per acre plus inflation adjustment factor of 1.36. 3prom Table 4. 2. Estimated value of taxes lost on properties donated to or purchased by the VINP: $23,695.000 x 60% assessment x 1.25% tax: $176,483. 3. Increases in land values on St. John, excluding land owned by VINP, based on appraised values furnished by Office of the Tax Assessor and on approximate total acreage of 5,500 are as follows: -29- Annual % (Thousands) (Thous ands) Increase From 1961 to 1965: $ 2,412 to $ 3,502 10 1965 to 1968: 3,502 to 7,810 33 1968 to 1972 : 7,810 to 12,878 13 1972 to 1976 : 12,878 to 38,234 31 1976 to 1979 : 38,234 to 71,775 23 1979 to 1980 : 71,775 to 101,823 42 From the above data, it is clear that property values (based on changes in appraised values of all properties on St. John) have increased an average of 22% a year from 1961 to 1980, and have increased an average of just under 29 % a year from 1972 to 1980. An independent verification of these high percentage changes was secured by an analysis of sales transactions of land on St. John taken from the Office of the Recorder of Deeds of the Virgin Islands. Several pieces of property were identified that had been sold several times over the past 25 years. All examples report sales of land without improvements: A tract of land consisting of .85 acres was originally sold in 1957 for $250.00. In 1969 it was sold for $1,500.00; in 1973 for $3,900.00; in 1978 for $9,800.00 Another tract of land consisting of 2.04 acres was sold in 1962 for $14,000 and in 1969 for $165,000. Another tract consisting of 1 acre was sold in 1949 for $225.00 and resold in 1972 for $4,200.00 A further verification is based on an inspection of properties purchased by the VINP over the years. While individual prop- erties vary enormously because of the improvements thereon, their location, etc., personnel of the VINP were able to identify prop- erties with substantially the same characteristics and to support the fact that increased purchase prices for such similar prop~ erties over the years are consistent with an average increase of around 20% per year in the period from 1960 to 1980. Tract No. 01-116 01-134 01-135 01-136 01-137 01-141 02-112 02-118 02-145 02-147 02-148 02-149 02-151 02-152 03-197 03-108 03-113 03-148 04-101 05-115 05-116 05-117 05-118 05-119 05-120 05-121 06-116 07-115 07-116 08-123 10":101 10-102 10-103 10-110 10-125 10-126 11-101 11-102 12-102 13-112 13-113 13-114 13-116 13-120 13-121 13-122 13-135 13-142 13-143 13-145 15-101 Total - 30- TABLE 4 ACREAGE PURCHASED BY V.I. NATIONAL PARK SINCE ITS ESTABLISHMENT IN 1956 Year of Acquisition 1975 1958 1959 1957 1968 1977 1979 1970 1856 1959 1959 1967 1975 1974 1979 1977 1977 1977 1976 1967 1967 1959 1965 1958 1959 1967 1963 1976 1976 1979 1970 1969 1969 1970 1975 1975 195-7 1958 1979 1979 1979 1977 1977 1977 1977 1977 1979 1979 1979 1979 1979 Acreage 93.99 4.50 35.00 38.67 55.00 l.45 287.00 l.80 .53 164.00 472.20 2.72 376.47 l.09 l.00 .50 .35 2.13 7.00 6.67 162.50 13.00 6.00 1.00 7.00 19.00 20.92 14.60 29.60 2.05 2.04 4.67 .76 3.28 1.55 9.00 6.00 9.65 .58 .60 .68 1.13 .72 .72 .73 .72 .52 .61 .86 l.62 Purchase Amount** $1,800,000 1,125 250,000 165,000 242,000 100,000 3,995,000 135,500 99,000 424,500 250,500 91,300 213,143 9,500 35,000 26,000 16,000 18,000 362,000 23,000 72,500 90,000 3,770 1,740 5,200 17,500 7,700 45,000 255,500 788,500 175,000 165,000 125,000 85,000 161,353 75,000 49,500 2,300 223,000 12,000 32,000 27,000 32,000 40,000 29,000 29,000 17,000 14,500 16,000 13,300 300,000 1,874.18 $11,166,931 Annual Property Tax On Purchase Date $12,700 17 1,640 1,390 2,250 1,015 4,250 1,670 720 5,045 1,430 625 1,735 147 66 37 23 1,136 49 389 640 31 14 36 29 50 313 2,106 2,165 34 1,210 840 74 1,290 405 270 46 1,412 82 119 84 98 278 112 117 91 41 73 36 2,110 Purchase Amount Adj. For Inflation*** $2,754,000 3,200 705,000 474,000 574,000 134,000 4,514,000 286,000 245,000 1,197,000 606,400 226,000 326,100 15,650 39,600 35,600 21,000 24,700 521,300 56,800 179,100 253,800 9,800 4,900 14,665 43,225 20,700 64,800 530,000 801,000 371,000 371,250 281,250 180,200 246,870 114,750 145,000 6,540 252,000 13,560 36,160 37,000 43,840 54,800 39,700 39,730 19,200 16,400 18,100 15,300 339,000 $17,322,990 Source: * National Park Service - Division of Land Acquisition Master Deed Listing (Status of Lands as of 11/30/79) . ** V.I. Tax Assessor's Records (1956-1980). *** .Inflation Adjustment calculated on basis of National Consumer Price Index (In the absence of any similar. index for the Virgin Islands) - 31- CONSUMER PRICE INDEX YEAR ALL ITEMS 1956 81.4 1957 84.3 1958 86.6 1959 87.3 1960 _88.7 1961 89.6 1962 90.6 1963 91. 7 1964 92.9 1965 94.5 1966 97.2 1967 100.0 1968 104.2 1969 109.8 1970 116.3 1971 121. 3 1972 125.3 1973 133.1 1974 147.7 1975 161. 2 1976 170.5 1977 181. 5 1978 195.3 1979 217.7 1980 247.0 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review. - 32 - B. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS Costs Loss of Real Property Tax. The data presented shows that the estimated value of taxes lost in 1980 on properties donated to or purchased by thesVINP since its establishment amounts cur- rently to $176,483. Interest on Investment of U.S. Government Funds. Table 4 shows that in the period from 1956 to 1980 the U.S. G6vernment spent a total of $11,166,931 on purchases of property for the VINP. Dur- ing these years, a conservative estimate is that the cost of borrowing by the Federal Government would average around 6%. Thus, the annual interest on the U.S. Investment of properties in the VINP is 6% of $11~166,93l or $670,000. Benefits Additional Taxes to V.I. Government from Increased Land Values. Information from the V.I. Government Office of the Tax Assessor reveals that property taxes in 1980 on St. John properties will total approximately $600,000. Taxes on equivalent acreage in St. John in 1961 (the latest year for which information is avail- able) were $24,765. Allowing for inflation only from 1961 to 1980, these taxes would have increased to approximately $70,000 in 1980. The increase is thus $530,000 per year ($600,000 minus $70,000) . Increased Land Values. The factual information available shows a dramatic increase ln land values on St. John since the estab- lishment of the VINP. In the aggregate, private property values are appraised at more than $100 million in 1980--up from approx- imately $2 million in 1961. The 20% per year growth rate, if continued, would lead to further increases of $20 million per year, based on 1980 values. By contrast, the 1961 total value adjusted for inflation amounts to about $7.2 million in 1980 ($2.4 million times inflation adjustment factor of 3). The annual increase in land value would be less than $1 million per year, even at current high inflation rates. Put in a somewhat different perspective, in a period when popu6ation on St. John went from approximately 950 in 1961 to 2,500 in 1980 , an increase of just over 150%, the increase in property values was nearly 1,300% (from $7.2 million in adjusted 1961 dollars to $100 million in comparable 1980 dollars). A far more difficult question is whether the VINP should be given credit for all or any part of the increases that did, in fact, occur. On the negative side, it can be argued that on St. Thomas, where there is no national park, land values increased in the same order of magni tude as on SL John. But St. Thomas enj oys the benefi ts of a totally different magnitude of investment plus .. the advantages of an internationally known harbour and a good airport. - 33- Another point, mad~ by the chief of the assessment office on ; St. John, is that the VINP forces up other land values on St. John simply by reason of the enforced scarcity caused by the fact that some 55% of the land on the island is owned by the VINP. The conclusion of this study is that the surplus of actual land value increases per year over increases attributable to inflation ($19,000,000, as explained above) must be in part attributable to the existence of the VINP. The number of visitors attracted to the VINP that make use of transportation, food and beverage, and (increasingly) of shopping facilities; the unique value of guaranteed scenic and recreational opportunities extolled by real estate brokers on the island; and the survey results pre- sented in Chapter II of this study as to the extent of influence of the VINP on visitors to St. John all bolster this general conclusion. There are several reasons, however, why an imputed benefit of $19 million would be too high. Population increases and the related construction investment on the island cannot be wholly attributable to the VINP. There is merit to the point that the withdrawal of the majority of the land on the island pushes up the values of the rest of the land. Futhermore, it would be in- appropriate for this study to impure total increases in land value as a benefit of the VINP when the aggregate numbers used include Caneel Bay Plantation property and Maho Bay Campground property, benefits for which are calculated separately in the study. Given all the above, conclusions reached can be stated as follows: (1) It is reasonable to use increased land values on St. John as an indicator of economic growth on St. John, in the absence of other more direct studies of increased economic activity. (2) The VINP has made a very significant contribution to land values on St. John. (3) For purposes of establishing a rough measure of annual quantitative benefits in 1980 dollars, an "order of magnitude" estimate of $5 million would seem to be conservative. -34- FOOTNOTES FOR CHAPTER IV 1phi1ip B. Herr & Associates, op. cit. 20ffice of Tax Assessor, Lt. Governor's Office, Government of the Virgin Islands. 3The Department of the Interior, in response to a question about whether there was any record of such a value at the time of the establishment of the VINP, responded in the negative. 4U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Monthly Labor Review. 5See Page 28. 6Annua1 Economic Review 1980, Q£. £it., pg. 34-35. - 35- CHAPTER V. DIRECT AND INDIRECT ECONOMIC IMPACT OF VINP AND VINP CONCESSIONAIRES ON ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN ECONOMY This chapter pulls together the direct and indirect costs and economic benefits of the VINP and the major tourist-related com- mercial activities directly connected with it. A. COSTS OF THE VINP Operational and Maintenance Costs In attempting to arrive at representative annual costs of the VINP in 1980, the study relied principally on Financial Planning Operating Program data for fiscal year 1980. However, in order to convert this one-year sample into a more representative annual cost, financial information and budgets were also reviewed for fiscal years 1979,_1981, and 1982. Financial information was provided by the St. Thomas headquarters of the VINP. From this review, 1980 direct costs were approximated as follows: Operating Costs: Personnel Compensation (Note 1) Other Operating Costs (Note 2) Equipment (capital) Costs (Note 3) "Cyclic" Maintenance Costs (Note 4) Total (Note 5) (Thous ands) $ 825 175 50 200 $1,250 Note 1: The total of $825,000 is slightly in excess of the pro- grammed amount, but forced absorptions of pay raises in fiscal year 1980 and higher costs for the portion of fiscal 1981 falling in calendar year justify use of the higher amount. Note 2: Includes costs of supplies and materials, rents, communi- cations and utilities, printing and reproduction, and all other services. Note 3: Actual equipment costs for 1980 were programmed at $7,900. However, the annual depreciation estimate of $43,800 in that year suggests much higher equipment costs in prior years, so that an average of $50,000 appears to be justified. Note 4: Actual cyclic maintenance program for 1980 was $121,000. However, the estimates for subsequent years indicate sub- stantial maintenance requirements (surfacing of roads) that presumably can not be deferred for too long a time. Thus a rounded estimate of $200,000 seems reasonable. - 36- Note 5: There is a distinction between cost of the operation and total outlays in the V.I. Economy. Thus, reimbursable outlays of the VINP (for quarters and for sanitary collec- tion) are excluded from this total, although they must be taken into account in calculating benefits to the V.I. economy related to the existence of the VINP. Costs of VINP to Local Government and/or Related Organizations After exploring in some depth the question of public services pro- vided the VINP by other entities, the\study concludes that the VINP represents no drain on outside public services and that, in the opinion of some officials at the VINP, the VINP provides more services than it receives. During the course of the study, officials from the following execu- tive agencies of the Virgin Islands Government, plus the liaison officer of the U.S. Coast Guard, were interviewed: - Department of Public Works - Department of Public Safety - Fire Division - Conservation and Cultural Affairs - Water and Power Authority - U.S. Coast Guard - Port Authority Interactions identified were: Road Service: There is a 1962 Road Agreement Act (Act #806) be- tween VINPS and the Virgin Islands Government whereby all roads on St. John belong to the Virgin Islands Government, but the VINPS maintains some of the roads -- primarily the "North Shore Road". Since these roads would be required to provide road ser- vice on the island of St. John, it can be reasonably argued that the assumption of maintenance responsibility by the VINP consti- tutes a kind of windfall to the Virgin Islands Government. Solid Waste Disposal Facility: VINP provides land for solid waste disposal to portions of the St. John community. Health Services: A rough sort of quid pro quo exists between the Department of Public Health and the VIN~ VINP personnel receive free physical examinations at the hospital in St. John, and the hospital also tests drinking water samples. In return, the VINP provides standby emergency boat service when the sole, unreliable emergency boat available to the St. John Health Service office is out of commission. Fire Protection: No protection is provided to theVINPSby the Virgin Is1anc Government, and VINP does not have its own fire protection services. VINP officials believe that a cooperative effort with the Virgin Islands Government to provide protection to housing located on park lands would be desirable. Fortunately, the relatively high rainfall in the area minimizes dangers from brush or forest fires. Police Protection: services for VINP. the Park area. - 37- Virgin Islands Government provides no security VINP staff are responsible for security within Other Services: VINPS has cooperated in implementation of an en- VTYOninental studies program in cooperation wi th the Department of Conservation and Cultural Affairs, and, when the program was moved out of that Department~ the Department of Education, which managed the program during its early years, assumed responsibility for the ahdministration of the proqrarn. Relati vely few children of VINP staff make use of t e publlc schools, accormngto VINP offlclals. Electricity is provided by the Water and Power Authority (WAPA), a separate authority under the Virgin Islands Government. VINP has only small emergency generators available in locations designated as hurricane shelter areas. Service is provided on a commercial basis; WAPA does not feel that the VINP requirements affect its ability to provide services to the St. John community, or that the existence of VINP has significantly resulted in services being available that would not otherwise be available. General. All the organizations contacted (including the U.S. Coast Guard) which have activities on St. John felt that they had little or no involvement with the operation or management of the VINP. This fact may be attributed to the low level of development on St. John in general, and to the fact that only a very small precentage of the local operating government's services are al- located for St. John. Another contributing factor may be that be~ cause VINP controls some 55 percent of the land area on St. John, land that, for the most part, remains undeveloped, the need for public services is slight. Moreover, the three major dev~lopments within the Park (Caneel Bay Plantation, Cinnamon Bay Campgrounds, and Maho Bay Campgrounds) maintain their own generating plants, sewage treatment facilities, water desalination, and waste dis- posal facilities. In addition to direct interactions between VINP and local govern- mental entities, it is worth pointing out that the VINP performs some functions that would otherwise have to be undertaken by the local government (Government of the Virgin Islands). For example, duties of the Department of Conservation and Cultural Affairs are lighter because the VINP assumes enforcement responsibility for~its share of land on St. Thomas. And the Department of Public Safety is re- lieved of its responsibilities for the same reason. B. ECONOMIC BENEFITS OF THE VINP Direct Benefits Employment: The VINP employs a total of 64 persons, 48 of whom are Virgin Islanders. - 38- Economic Benefits of VINP Outlays to Economies of St. John/St. Thomas. From information supplied by VINP headquarters, the following analysis is derived: Salaries and Wages (Note 1) $ Outlays for Supplies, Materials, services, Equipment in Local Economy (Note 3) Total Outlays Multiplier (Thous.) 855.0 185.0 . 8 (Note 2) .7 Total $1,040.0 Net Economic Benefit (Thous.) $ 700.0 129.5 $ 829.5 Note 1: Includes salaries and wages for employees engaged in reimbursable activities as well as in operations and maintenance of the VINP. Note 2: See Water Island Study, ~ cit. pg. 51. On the basis of information supplied by VINP headquarters, the portion of wages and salaries that would be paid in the form of in- come taxes was estimated. The balance of after tax income is converted into impact on the St. Thomas/St. John econ- omy on the basis of a multiplier of .8 -- on the assump- tion that a larger portion of wages and salaries will go for goods and services in the local economy. Note 3: The VINP headquarters provided an estimate of the amount of outlays for goods and services directly in the V.I. economy, as distinguished from those purchased off-island. Estimate allows for reimbursable activities as well as for direct VINP operations and maintenance. Indirect Benefits Since its beginning on St. John twenty-five years ago VINP has developed and implemented a number of community service programs whose benefits have directly affected the recreational, environ- mental, cultural and scenic quality of life of many Virgin Islanders. Many of these programs were beyond the funding capabilities of the territorial government. A brief description of the most recent program offerings follows: Volunteers In Park - Administered exclusively by the National Park Service, this program assists visitors to better understand both the natural and human history of the park and its surrounding area. Volunteers working in tandem with park personnel assist in a variety of duties including resource management, environmental study, arts and crafts, history, archeology and natural science. -39- Environmental Study Program (ESP) - A total environmental learning program was established within the park in 1969. Three areas (Reef Bay, Annaberg Ruins and Salt Pond Bay) were designated National Environment Study Areas. Funded partially through the local Depart- ment of Conservation and Cultural Affairs, this program offered an opportunity to 15,000 students over the years to experience var- ious ecosystems, to explore firsthand seashore dynamics and inter- relations, and to learn more about the linkages of their cultural past with the social and physical environment of today. Tektite Program - A program for the operation of an underwater marine habitat research station at Tektite base camp at Lameshur administered by the College of the Virgin Islands within park waters. This experimental program has since been phased out, but while in full operation, it served as an invaluable scientific and research laboratory for academic institutions, private foundations, and the national space program. In addition to the foregoing, the National Park Service maintains a weekly schedule of activities which feature the following: * An evening program of slide and film presentations about plants, animals, marine life, chlture and history of the island. * A children's hike offering two hours of fun-filled hiking} ex- ploring the Cinnamon Bay area. * A hike of Brown Bay featuring stops to Annaberg Ruins, Leinster Bay, Brown Bay and Hurricane Hole. * Snorkeling instruction enabling novices and enthusiasts to learn safe snorkeling and discover the wonders of colorful reef life. * Adventure trails featuring leisurely hikes down hills to the south shore of the island. Visitors are exposed to mysterious pet- roglyp~s, old sugar mill ruins, and lush forest. * Caneel Bay Historic Walk: A short stroll through st. John history and 19th century sugar mill ruins at Caneel Bay. * Historic Places Exploration: A visit to some of the lesser known historic places with a knowledgeable guide. * Leinster Bay Bird Walk: A walk into the world of Avian Faun (wading, shore, and terrestial). C. ECONOMIC BENEFITS OF CANEEL BAY/CINNAMON BAY OPERATIONS ON ST. JOHN The management of Caneel Bay cooperated with the study team by pro- viding information about its 1980 operations from which it is pos- -40~ sible to calculate direct economic benefits to the economies of St. Thomas/St. John. These calculations are as follows: Total Employment: Full time employees, 412; part-time employees, 18. Total Outlays (ThousJ Annual Payroll $3,963 Taxes Paid to V.I. Govt. 1,350 Outlays for Goods, Services, Capital Items, Purchased in V.I. Economy 428 Total $5,741 Note 1: See Note 2, page 38. Multiplier .8 (Note 1) . 7 Net Economic Benefit (ThousJ $3,250 1,350 300 $4,900 The manager of Canee1 Bay is quoted as saying that without the existence of the VINP, Caneel Bay would not be able to continue. If this assumption were accepted, the full net economic benefit of Caneel Bay/Cinnamon Bay operations would be attributable to the VINP. The more conservative approach is to use the results of the Caneel Bay Survey which indicates that the extent of the influence of the VINP on guests at Canee1 Bay was 43.7%, and of guests at Cinnamon Bay was 72.6%. The weighted average of approximately 50% suggests that some $2,500,000 is a conservative estimate of the contribution to the St. Thomas/St. John economy from this source. -41- CHAPTER VI. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS A. SUMMARY Approaches and Methodologies The purpose of the study was to perform an objective evaluation of the special economic impact made by the Virgin Islands National Park (VINP) on the economy of St. Thomas/St. John in the Virgin Islands. 10 1 acc0mpI i'Sh, this purpose, the study made use of several approaches and methodologies. The principal determinant in each case was the kind and appropriateness of information available. For the most part~ economic impact was determined first by secur- ing information as to funds spent in St. Thomas/St. John that could directly or indirectly be attributable to the existence of the VINP. Secondly, the net effect on the V.I. economy was derived by using multipliers developed and used in the past by the Department of Commerce and the Virgin Islands Government to convert expenditures to contributions to gross territorial product of the V.I. Differ- ent multipliers are used depending on the types of expenditures. Thus, tourist expenditures are given a relatively low multiplier (.55), recognizing that many of the gift items purchased contain a substantial import component that reduces the economic benefit to the local economy. PayrollS, on the other hand, are assigned a multiplier of .80 (after deducting for estimated taxes paid directly) in recognition of the fact that a larger percentage of such expenditures are likely to be used within the V.I. economy. The several approaches used raised the danger of double counting of economic impact. The study team was very much aware of this danger and was careful to adjust all its calculations so as to eliminate double counting. Some of the information relevant to the study (such as the cooper- ative educational programs and other community services of the VINP) did not lend themselves to quantification, even though it is clear that some economic benefit to the total V.I. economy does, in fac~ accrue from these activities. The study team believes that its underlying assumptions, approaches taken, and methodologies used give a conservative estimate of the special economic impact made by the VINP on the St. Thomas/St. John economy. The multivariate analyses used in the study are summarized below. The Impact of the VINP on Tourism This aspect of the study raised the most difficult problems. The fact that the VINP is significant to the tourist industry in St. Thomas/St. John is supported by the extent to which the park is mentioned in promotional advertising for the Virgin Islands and by the large numbers of persons who visit the park for recreational purposes. However, there are many other reasons why the Virgin -42- Islands attract tourists, and the question that had to be resolved by the study was the extent to which VINP influences visitors, and consequently the extent to which it has an ••. economic impact on the St. Thomas/St. John economy. The study was constrained by budgetary and time restrictions. More elaborate research techniques would undoubtedly have yielded more positive conclusions. Nonetheless, the study team feels that there is a good rationale for results presented herein. Separate approaches were used for each of three groups: Group I deals with tourists who do not reside on St. John but who visited the VINP. Group 2 deals with tourists who stay at the three major resort areas on St. John -- Caneel Bay Plantation, Cinnamon Bay Campground, and Maho Bay Campground. Group 3 deals with the boat visitors to St. John. The analysis used with respect to the first group is summarized as follows: The number of individuals visiting St. John can be deter- mined approximately from statistics secured from the Port Authority of the V.I. Government. To reach St. John, visitors must nearly all come by water transportation, and the Port Authority receives monthly statistics on number of passengers on the shuttle boats that provide the means of transportation for all but a few visitors to St. John. The profile of passengers using shuttle boats was secured through a survey. From this survey it was possible to segregate information as to number~ of off-island visitors visiting St. John on vacation, as well as number of Virgin Islanders visiting St. John on vacation. The extent to which visitors to St. John were influenced by the existence of the VINP was determined by including in the survey a question that permitted visitors to estimate to what ex- tent they were influenced. (A 5 point scale--"Not at all", "Some", '.'About 50%", "Considerably", and "Primary"-- was used.) Tourists were further divided into cruise ship visitors (almost entirely one-day visitors to St. Thomas) and overnight visitors who spend their vacations on St. Thomas and stay for an average of more than a week, according to information collected by the V.I. Govt. 's Department of Commerce. The number of cruise ship visitors to St. John was obtained from the major tour compan- ies who arrange with the cruise ship companies to conduct tours and by interviews with cruise ship directors of some of the major vessels, who have information on the number of their passengers who choose from among the alternative tours available when the ships are in St. Thomas. -43- Expenditures of tourists from outside the Virgin Islands are available from information collected by the V.I. Government's Department of Commerce. The survey of shuttle boat users provided similar information concerning daily outlays by the visitors who come from the Virgin Islands. An independent comparison of visitors to the VINP calculated from the above analysis with public use statistics collected by the VINP indicates that the two approaches are compatible. The assumptions used in calculating economic impact, drawing on information summarized above, are: Cruise ship visitors choosing to take tours to St. John (including the VINP) indicate that they are largely influenced by the existence of the VINP. The extent of this choice, using the scale of weights developed for the study, is 78%. Consequently, 78% of expenditures by cruise ship visitors who take the St. John tours is reasonably attributable to the existence of the VINP. 2 Other non-Virgin Island visitors choosing to spend all (or part of) a day visiting St. John likewise indicate that they are 78% influenced by the existence of the VINP (based on the results of the shuttle boat survey). Consequently, 78% of the average daily expenditures by such visitors for one day is reasonably attributable to the existence of the VINP. - Visitors from the Virgin Islands constitute approximately 24% of the visitors to St. John. The survey indicates that they are 79% influenced by the existence of the VINP (using the scale referred to above). Hence 79% of expenditures by these visitors for the one day of their visit is reasonably attributable to the existence of the VINP.~ The methodology used for this analysis yields results that might be too conservative or too liberal. No weight is given to the possibility that some visitors to St. Thomas/St. John were in- fluenced primarily by the existence of the VINP. If this fact could be established for any number of visitors, the total expen- ditures during the stay by such visitors could then be attributable to the VINP. From this standpoint, conclusions reached are too conservative. On the other harld, it can be argued that the results are too liberal. The study gave weight only to visitors who both visited the VINP and indicated that they were influenced in making the visit to St. John by reason of the VINP. However, in so doing) it made the implicit assumption that such visitors stayed in the Virgin Islands an extra day (rather than deciding to accommodate the VINP visit within predetermined lengths of stay). From this standpoint, the study should not have attributed to the VINP the full average daily expenditures of overnight visitors but rather should have included -44- the smaller expenditures exclusively attributable to the visit to St. John. Tourists Residing at Major Resort Areas on St. John. For this group of tourists, a different analysis was made, based on special surveys conducted with the assistance of the managements of the three entities involved. The analysis of this group is summarized as follows: Number of guests at the organizational entities mentioned were obtainable from information on capacity and occupancy rates. It was also taken from separate statistics collected by the VINP for its public use reports. The extent of influence of the VINP on their reasons for visiting St. John came from survey results. Daily expenditures by tourists residing at the various areas were also provided by survey results.4 Numbers of visitor days multiplied by average daily expen- ditures for the different entities gave gross expenditures, which were then corrected to reflect the extent of the influence of the VINP on visits, following the procedure described above. Boat Visitors to National Park Waters. A very different analytical approach was used to determine the economic impact of boat visitors, since specific information concerning the industry was available. The analysis of this group is summarized as follows: Information as to total expenditures by the boating industry on St. Thomas/St. John was available from a separate study prepared for the V.I. Government's Department of Commerce. Information as to the extent of the use by the boating in- dustry of National Park waters was derived through statistics col- lected by the VINP as to number of boats on a day visit and over- night visit basis, corrected to exclude foreign registered boats. Verification of these calculations was made by interviews of boat captains on St. Thomas/St. John. Economic impact of the boating industry was determined by assigning a share of total expenditures proportional to usage of National Park waters. This analysis bypasses the need to estimate numbers of tourists taking boat visits to the VINP or VINP waters. It is based on direct benefits to one industry that is largely influenced by the VINP. There is no double counting with other analyses except to the extent that boating installations based on St. John would have contributed to the aggregate of economic growth on that island and thus contributed to the estimates of increased land values used in another section of the current study. ~45- Impact of the VINP on Increased Land Values on St. John The most direct approach to the impact of a new national park on its environment would be by a before and after analysis of economic activities. Unfortunately, information to permit such an analysis was not available in the case of the VINP and the island of St. John. From a review of possible alternative approaches, the study team decided that the approach used by Philip B.Herr & Associates 5 rep- resented a viable substitute to direct before and after measures of economic activity. The essential feature of this approach is that economic growth of a surrounding community--increased business establishments; increased demand for properties for home sites; increased employment; etc.--results in increased land values due to appreciation and improvements to land. Implementation of this analysis required that: (1) land values be established as soon as possible, preferably as of the inception date of the VINP; (2) that increases in land values thereafter be calculated on a projected basis assuming the normal impact of in- flationary prices; (3) that actual land value increases had to be determined on the basis of reliable statistics. In practice, the study team found that it could not get necessary data for 1956, when the VINP was established, but that it could get appraised values for land on St. John for a number of years beginning with 1961 and continuing through 1980. The information developed, presented in detail in Chapter IV, shows that the excess of actual annual land value increases on St. John over projected increases attributable to inflation was $19 million in 1980. Not all of this excess can reasonably be attributable to the VINP. Furthermore, it would be inappropriate for this study to impute total increases in land value as a benefit of the VINP when aggregate numbers used include Caneel Bay Plantation property and Maho Bay Campground property, benefits for which are calculated s~parately in the study.6 There would also seem to be merit to a strongly-voiced opinion by several informed individuals that land values on St. John increase in value at least in part because of the scarcity of land caused by the occupation of more than 55% of all land on St. John by the VINP. As a related part of the land value analysis, the study determined that land with a value of $23,531,000 (based on values at time of donation and purchase, adjusted for the impact of inflation) were removed from the real property tax base of the V.I. Government in 1980 leading to a tax loss in 1980 of $176,000. Also, Federal Government investments of over $11 million for the purchase of additional properties for the VINP since 1956 represent an annual imputed interest cost of some $670,000. These items are treated as indirect costs for purposes of establishing the economic impact of the VINP on St. Thomas/St. John. -46- Direct and Indirect Costs and Benefits of VINP and VINP Concessionaires. This analysis (Chapter V of the report) required a straightforward aggregation of estimated 1980 costs from the VINP and the Rock Resorts Management, which operates Caneel Bay Plantation and Cinnamon Bay Campgrounds. The study was concerned also with the question of public services provided to the VINP by other entities. As explained in Chapter V, the conclusion reached is that the VINP represents no drain on outside public services and that, in fact, there is a good cas,e that the VINP provides more services than it receives. Benefits to the local economy from the existence of the VINP were derived from VINP expenditures in the local economy for payrolls and goods and services. Similar benefits were derived from expenditures by the management of Caneel Bay and Cinnamon Bay facilities. B. CONCLUSIONS Benefit Cost Ratios Based on Analyses Used in Study The following tabulation pulls together results of all analyses presented in detail in previous sections of the report: TABLE 5 COMPARISONS OF ANNUAL COSTS AND BENEFITS, ECONOMIC IMPACT OF VINP ON ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN ECONOMY, 1980 DATA Costs Operation and Maintenance of VINP (see Chapter V) Interest on Federal Invest- ment in VINP Properties (see Chapter IV) Taxes Lost on Property Re- moved from Local Govern- ment Rolls (see Chapter IV) TOTAL Direct (Thous .) $1,250 $1,250 Indirect (Thous .) $ 670 176 $ 846 Total (Thous.) $2,096 Benefits Outlays of VINP in Local Economy (see Chapter V) Outlays of VINP Concession- aires in Local Economy (see Chapter V) Imputed Benefits from VINP Impact on Tourism (see Chapter II) Imputed Benefits from VINP Impact on Boat Industry (see Chapter III) Imputed Benefits from VINP Impact on Increased Land Values on St. John, as an Indicator of Increased Economic Growth on St. John (see Chapter IV) TOTAL -47- Direct (Thous.) $ 830 2,500 $3,330 Indirect (Thous.) $12,061 3,000 5,000 $20,061 Reduced to ratios, the above tabulation indicates that: Total (Thous.) $23,391 The Benefit/Cost Ratio of the existence of the VINP on the local economy, based on direct costs and benefits only is ----------------2.7 to 1 The Benefit/Cost Ratio of the existence of the VINP on the local economy, based on indirect (imputed) costs and benefits only is ----23.7 to 1 Total Benefit/Cost Ratio of the existence of the VINP on the local economy, based on all costs (direct and indirect) is ----------------11.1 to 1 These ratios are, of course, approximations. It would take very little change in assumptions to alter them substantia11y--in either direction. In sum, how- ever, they support the proposition that the VINP even if measured on only a dollar and cents basis, plays a very significant role in the economy of St. Thomas/St. John--we11 beyond the costs incurred in its operation and maintenance. Future Projections In its section on "Outlook for the 1980 IS", 7 the V. 1. Government projects a continuation of tourism as the number one industry of the U.S. Virgin Islands. -48- Renovation and expansion of the airport on St. Thomas (as well as on St. Croix) will significantly improve the ability of the economy to receive more tourists, and it is assumed that the construction of hotel rooms and other facilities will make it possible for the econ- omy to absorb continued expansion. With respect to St. John, a new and possibly significant development is the decision by the Holland-American Lines to schedule 10 visits of an 8S0-capacity cruise ship to St. John during the period from October 1981 thru April 1982. It seems inevitable that this new, additional burden of tourists will have a very significant impact on economic activities on St. John. The future of the VINP, despite concerns raised b~ some of the offi- cials and individuals contacted during the study,' should be increas- ingly important--from the economic point of view, and,_more im- portatitly, because of the esthetic/cultural benefits that it guarantees for future years. -49- FOOTNOTES FOR CHAPTER VI 1The section of the report dealing with the impact of the VINP on land values on St. John did not make use of this approach. See Chapter IV. 2It should be noted that the tours referred to provide ample oppor- tunity for shopping on St. Thomas. 3Average daily expenditures for V.I. residents are based solely on St. John outlays and, as might be expected, average only a third of average daily expenditures by non-Virgin Island visitors in both St. Thomas and St. John. 4As noted in the body of the report, these expenditures were collect- ed differently from Caneel Bay and Cinnamon Bay guests and from Maho Bay guests. In order to avoid double counting of the economic im- pact of payments made by guests at Caneel Bay and Cinnamon Bay, they were asked to exclude payments made for lodging and meals at these installations. This is so because detailed data were received from these organizations that gave a direct basis for determining economic impact on them by the VINP. This information was not available from Maho Bay, so that total guest expenditures were requested. It should be noted that the study does contain a minor amount of double count- ing in that guest expenditures for gift and other items from the Caneel Bay and Cinnamon Bay shops are included in financial reports used for direct analysis and are also included in guest expenditures used for purposes of calculating indirect economic impact. Amounts are too small to have any appreciable effect on results of the study, however. So . l2l? £11. 6Cinnamon Bay Campground is entirely on VINP land, so that it is not included in this qualification. 7Annual Economic Review, 1980, QQ. cit., pg. 17. 8See Appendix D for a summary of community suggestions that were given to members of the study team during the course of the study. -50- INDIVIDUALS CONTACTED DURING COURSE OF STUDY 1. Warren Abels - St. John Realtor 2. Pete Allen - Park Ranger, VINPS 3. John Battles - Port Director, West Indian Co., Ltd. 4. Dr. Robert Brander - Researcher, VINPS 5. E. David Brewer - Vice President/General Manager, Caneel Bay Resorts 6. Vernon Brown - Director, St. John Tourist Office, V.I. Department of Commerce 7. Warren Brown - Planner, Heritage Conservation & Recreation Service 8. Leona Bryant - Directorof Tourism, V.I. Department of Commerce 9. Captain Lance Burgo - Charter Boat Owner 10. Joe Burroughs - Charterboat Owner 11. Verne Callwood - Tax Assessor, V.I. Tax Assessor's Office, Office of Lt. Governor 12. Teddi Ann Davis - Executive Director, V.I. Charterboat League 13. Gary Deering - Watersports, Inc. 14. Fred Denton - Fiscal Officer, VINPS 15. Anne Garrity - V.I. Diving Club 16. Calvin George - St. John Tax Assessor's Office 17. Carmen George - Sr. Information Officer, V.I. Tourists Bureau 18. Dr. Jay Gogue - Chief Scientist, NPS Southeast Region 19. John Harvey - General Manager, Maho Bay 20. Larry Hickey - Shore Excursion Manager, Cruise ship "Song of Norway" - 51- 21. Franke Hoheb - Chief Enforcement Officer, V.I. Department of Conservation and Cultural Affairs 22. John James - Assistant Commissioner, V.I. Department of Public Safety 23. Chief Rudolph Jennings - V. 1. Fire Divis ion 24. Jim Loveland - Jim Loveland Travel Services 25. David Lynton - President, V.I. Taxi Association 26. John McCleverty - Director ,Ctuise'IShip Operations, Virgin Islands Department of Commerce 27. Marsha McLaughlin - Senior Planner, Coastal Zone Management Commission 28. Lt. John Morrow - U.S. Coast Guard, St. Thomas 29. William Newbold - Economist, V.I. Department of Commerce 30. Ann Petersen - St. John Realtor 31. James Pobicki - Director, Office of Policy, Planning and Research, V.I. Department of Commerce 32. Noel Rachta - Superintendent, VINPS 33. Jim Riddle ,- Resource Management Officer, VINPS 34. Ed Rosinski - Economist, V.I. Department of Commerce 35. John Sheridan - St. John Realtor 36. John Silke - Cruise Ship Director, Cruise ship "Sun Viking" 37. Senator Gilbert Sprauve - Member Fourteenth Legislature of the Virgin I~lands 38. Christen Venn - Assistant Cruise Ship Director, Cruise ship "Skyward" 39. Douglas White - Charterboat Owner 40. Clara Whi teside - Environmeri.t.al Stud·l' es. P rogram Coordinator, V.I. Department of Education -52- BIBLIOGRAPHY Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations, The Adequacy of Federal Compensation to Local Governments for Tax Exempt Federal Lands. July, 1980. Anderson, Raymond L., A. H. Gilbert, John R. McKean - "Deter- minants of Recreational Land Prices: An Empirical Analysis". Natural Resource Economics Division; Economics, Statistics, and Cooperative Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture, April, 1980. Carder, Clyde, "Survey of Charter Boating and Related Businesses in the Virgin Islands Relative to Their Contribution to Our Tourism Related Economy," A Report prepared for the Department of Commerce of the U.S. Vrigin Islands, July 14, 1980. Casavant, Ken L., and James C. Barron, Economic Impact of Proposed Klondike Gold Rush National Historic Park on Skagway, Alaska. Paper presented at First Conference on Scientific Research in the National Parks, Brannif Place Hotel, New Orleans, Louisiana, November 10, 1976. Checchi, and' Company, The Significance. of. Tourism .in theU. S . Virgin Islands .. A.Report prepared for the Economic Development Admin- istration, U.S. Department of Commerce, September, 1976. College of the Virgin Islands, Growth and Change: A Workbook For Long-Term Planning, Bureau of Public Administration, 1980. Frome, Michael, "Park Concessions and Concessioners", National Parks Magazine, June, 1981, pp. 16-18. Herr, Philip B. & Associates, "Cost-Benefit Analysis Cape Cod National Seashore", A Study made for Branch of Statistics Analysis, DOl, NPS. Hubler, Harold, "Proposed Virgin Islands National Park", National Parks Magazine, Sept., 1955, pp. 1-7. Island Resources Foundation, Socio-Economic Survey of Recrea- tional Boating and Fishing in the U.S. Virgin Islands. Pre- pared by DavidA. Olsen, Ph.D., for National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce, May, 1979. Mills, Allan S., Joseph G. Massey, and Hans M. Gregersen, "Benefit- Cost Analysis of Voyageurs National Park", Evaluation Review, Vol. 4, No.6, December, 1980. - 5 3- Nez, George and Richard Walsh, The Regional Factor. A chapter of the manual on economic methods in park planning. Science section branch of special programs, professional support division, Denver Service Center, National Park Service, August, 1979. Ritsch, Robert A., "Alternatives to Land Acquisition", Transactions of the 45th North American Wildlife and Natural Resource Conference, 1980. Shands, Wm. E., Federal Resource Lands and Their Neighbors, An Issue Report by the Conservation Foundation, 1979. "State of the Parks - 1980 A Report to the Congress", National Park Service, U.S. Department of the Interior, May, 1980. Swanson, Ernst W., Travel and the National Park, An Economic Study. North Carolina State University, 1969. Tyre, Gary L., "Average Costs of Recreation on National Forests in the South", Journal of Leisure Research, 1975, Vol. 7, No.2, pp .. 114-120. U.S. Department of the Interior, National Park Service: "R - The Regional Economic Factor", A Chapter of the Manual on Economic Methods in Park Planning. Prepared by George Nez and Richard Walsh, Science Sec., Branch of Spec. Programs, Professional Support Division, Denver Service Center, National Park Service. V.I. Government, Department of Commerce, Office of Policy Planning and Research, Economic Review 1979, AQ~~it~rl~-~~6~6~ic review of the Virgin Islands. Economic Review 1980, A Quarterly economic review of the Virgin Islands. Virgin Islands Planning Office, Office of the Governor, Land Use and Housing Elements, U.S. Virgin Islands, June, 1977. Wagner, Thomas R. and Laura Ceperley, Economics of Outdoor Recre- ation Demand (A Bibliography of Analytical and Demand Related Literature), Cooperative Park Studies Unit, NPS, College of Forest Resources, Univ. of Wash., Seattle, Sept., 1978. APPENDIX A SURVEY OF SHUTTLE BOAT USERS, ST. JOHN TO ST. THOMAS, MARCH, APRIL, MAY 1981 In order to secure essential information available from no other source, the study deemed it essential to gather primary research data on the aggregate-mix of people traveling to and from St. John and St. Thomas by shuttle boat. The reasons for this research and its connection with the principal thrust of the study are discussed in Chapter II. The major constraints on the survey were the budget, available methodology, and the time frame within which the study could be conducted. Because of these constraints, the shuttle boat survey was conducted for a three-month period starting in March and extending through May 1981. The questionnaire used for the survey follows. A-2 QUESTIONNAI RE THIS QUESTIONNAIRE IS PART OF AN ECONOMIC SURVEY IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS. WE WOULD APPRECIATE YOUR COOPERATION IN ANSWERING THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS. 1. Are you: a) A resident of St. b) A visitor from U.S. (State or Territory) St. St. John Thomas Croix c) A visitor from a foreign country~ _____ "-T-__ . (Name of country) 2. What is (or was) the main purpose of your trip to St. John? a) Vacation (recreation) c) Commuting to or from work b) Business trip__ -- d) Shopping__ -- d) Other ______ _ 3. Are you traveling: a) Alone b) With fami ly c) With tour group ___ c) Wi th fri e nds __ _ d) With business associates (No i n pa rty ) ( No. i n pa rty ) 4. What is (or was) the estimated length of your stay on St. John? a) One day C)1-2 weeks e) Four weeks or b) 2 - 6 days d)3-4 weeks more 5. If your stay is (or was) for more than 1 day, where did (or do) you stay? a) Hote l-ro.-__ :;;---:-,--;---:;-, _______ b) Camp grounds . .,-,--_--=-__ .--____ _ (Name of Hotel) (Name of area) c) Condominium/Guest Cottage d) Friends or relatives __ e) Other ____ _ 6 .. To what extent did the fact that St. John has a National Park influence your visit? (Please circle the number that most nearly applies) 1 2 3 4 5 (Not at all) (Some) (About 50%) (Considerably) (Primary consideration) 7. How would you evaluate your St. John experience? a) Outstanding b) Better than average c) About average __ _ d) Below average e) Poor _____ _ f) Any comments: (Continue on back of sheet, if necessary) 8. What are (were) the estimated average daily expenses per adult incurred during your stay in St. John? (Such as lodging, food, taxis, tours, shopping, recreation, entertainmel Exclude transportation costs to and from the Virgin Islands.) a) Under $25 d) $75.00 to $99.99 g) $200 to $249.99 b) $25.00 to $49.99 e) $100 to $149.99 h) $250 to $349.99----- c) $50.00 to $74.99 f) $150 to $199.99 i) $350 to $499.99 __ _ j) $500 and over ___ _ 9. What is the approximate annual income of your household? a) Under $10,000 b) $10,000-$19,999 c) $20,000-$29,999 ____ d) $30,000-$39,999 ___ g) $60,000-$74,999 __ _ ____ e) $40,000-$49,999 h) $75,000-$99,999 ____ _ ____ f) $50,000-$59,999 i) $100,000 or more __ _ 10. What is your age? a) Under 20 b) 20-29 c) 30-39 d) 40-49 __ e) 50-59 __ f) 60 plus __ What is your sex? a) Male b) Fema-=-le--- Thank you for your cooperation. The information derived from this questionnaire will be used strictly for statistical purposes. ISLAND RESOURCES FOUNDATION, St. Thomas, V.I. A- 3 Validity of Sample The empirical findings reflect procedural and methodological parameters of the VINP study noted above. The VINP aggregate survey respondents were randomly selected from the passengers from the St. John shuttle boats during the period from March to May 1981. During this period, the total number of passen- gers utilizing the St. John shuttle boat was approximately 85,000 1 -- or 28.3 percent of the total passengers using the shuttle boat during the ye.ar, which compares favorably wi th the 25 percent period of the year included. Seasonal factors can be assumed to be approximately balanced during the period: March and at least a portion of April (when the St. Thomas Car- nival week is scheduled) are representative primarily of the peak tourist season; May and the remaining portion of April are representative of the slow season. The objective of the survey was to gather data on the people traveling to and from St. John, with only one member of each traveling group ,eligible for sampling. Thus the population size to be sampled was approximately 42,500 (one-half the total number of passengers, since average size of party was approxim- ately two). The random sample size was 710 respondents who were contacted by interviewers (as noted above). Four hundred and ninety four respondents were willing to complete the questionnairesj however, 48 responses were eliminated because they were not sufficiently complete and/or suffered water damage. The loss rate of 9.7 percent was primarily due to the occasional inclement weather condition at the open-air departure area of the shuttle boats at Cruz Bay, St. John. There were 457 responses sufficiently complete -- 64 percent response rate for the sample as a whole and these responses formed the base for tabulations. The 457 respondents represent a 1.07 percent representation rate of projected traveling parties for the three-month pe~iod of the survey. This representation rate compares favorably with the representation rate used in the 1980 V.I. Government Exit Survey, according to information from the Exit Survey Technical Director. 2 The Bureau of Labor Statistics has also selected the 1 percent representation rate in sampling of house- holds for the consumer price index. 3 Basis for Calculations of TabulationsofSurvei Results Tabulations were made according to the following guidelines: Questions 1 & 2 The tabulation for questions 1 & 2 used the 457 response as the denominator for calculating percentages. Question 3 The tabulation used 436 response as the denominator for calcul- ating percent~ges. The 436 is the adjusted response to reflect the removal of the 21 commuter respondents, who only answered A-4 questions 1 and 2 in the questionnaire. The mean calculation was based on the arithmetic mean formula. Question 4 The tabulation used 436 response as the denominator for calcu~ . lating percentages. The ari thmetic mean calculation assumed the following weights for the length of stay. The weights were established from information on reservation pattern of guests provided by Virgin Island hoteliers. Question 5 2 - 6 days 1 - 2 weeks 2 - 3 weeks 4 weeks or more 6 days - 14 days - 21 days - 28 days Results from responses to Question 5 proved to be incompatible with other survey information. It was determined that this was due to misinterpretation of the question by respondents and interviewers, so that findings based on this question are not included in this report. Question 6 The tabulation used the 436 response as the denominator to cal- culate percentages. The arithmetic mean was calculated with the following weights for the scale 1-5. The interviews provid- ed this weighting information from the respondents No influence - 1 - Some influence - 2 - About 50% - 3 - Considerable - 4 - Primary consideration - 5 - Question 7 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% The tabulation used 436 response as the denominator to calcul- ate percentages. The arithmetic mean was based on the follow- ing weights: Question 8 Poor Below average About average Better than average - Outstanding 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% The tabulation was based on the 436 response as the denominator for percentage calculations. The arithmetic mean was calculat- ed in the following manner: for the lower limit, $20 was assum- ed; for the upper limit, $550 was assumed. Mid-points were used for all the expenditure ranges. A-5 Question 9 The tabulation used 436 response as the denominator to calculate percentages. The arithmetic mean used mid-points with the upper limit of $150,000. The research design selected for the survey involved the ran- dom sampling of the persons who travel between St. Thomas and St. John a total of some 300,000, according to information supplied by the Virgin Islands Government Port Authority. The random sample was set up so that it would include each day of the week and each departure time. The procedure adopted was as follows: Respondents were select- ed randomly from among persons waiting at the shuttle boat de- parture area at Cruz Bay, St. John. The shuttle boat departs every hour on the hour and passengers tend to arrive well in advance of departure times, since there is no alternative trans- portation. Interviewers were given the following set of guidelines: to identify themselves with a one-to-one approach to the potential respondents; to state briefly the purpose of the survey; to se- lect only one respondent from each party traveling together; to provide the potential respondent with a copy of the question- naire to read and fill in; to be available to assist in the pre- paration of the questionnaire or to answer questions as required. Interviewers collected the completed questionnaires from respon-- dents in advance of departure time, trying to make sure that all answers were filled in. During the three month survey, a total of 710 questionnaires were distributed to respondents and 457 questionnaires were received back: a very good percentage of returns. The interviewers selected were students at the College of the Vir- gin Islands. They were trained in the techniques of the inter- view process prior to the survey period. A member of the study team accompanied the interview team during all survey periods. For the most part, the interview process went well, and the pur- pose of the study was adequately conveyed to the respondents. The only problem that occured occasionally was due to the fact that some foreign respondents were unable to cope with the English language, and interviewers were for the most part unable to tran- slate the questions adequately in such cases. The following tabulations summarize the results of the survey, starting with a preliminary profile of respondents and contin- uing with tabulations keyed to the numbered questions in the survey instrument. A-6 FOOTNOTES FOR APPENDIX A 1See Chapter II, Table 1, in body of the report. 2Douglas Beals, P.O. Box 3277, St. Thomas, U.S.V.I. 00801 3Information supplied by U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. A-7 SUMMARY PROFILE OF SHUTTLE BOAT USERS Composite Profile vacation Average Number in Party Average Length of Stay Average Annual Income Average Daily Expenditures Park Influence on Visit to St. John Evaluate VINP Experience U.S. Resident Vacation Average Number in Party Average Length of Stay Average Annual Income Average Daily Expenditures Park Influence on Visit to St. John Evaluate VINP Experience USVI Resident Vacation Average Number in Party Average Length of Stay Average Annual Income Average Daily Expenditures Park Influence on Visit to St. John Evaluate VINP Experience Foreign Resident vacation Average Number in Party Average Length of Stay Average Annual Income Average Daily Expenditures Park Influence on Visit to St. John Evaluate VINP Experience 91% 2.03 5.1 days $40,387 $34.60 78.3% 77% 96% 2.1 8.45 days $45,357 $34.72 78% 77% 79% 2.6 1 day $22,109 $27.67 79% 79% 93% 1.9 7.7 days $51,500 $44.94 76% 72% A-8 TABLE A-l RESULTS OF SURVEY OF SHUTTLE BOAT USERS ST. JOHN TO ST. THOMAS MARCH, APRIL, MAY 1981 QUESTION 1: PROFILE OF USERS (In Percentages) Mar.ch. April ---- United S ta te s Resident 63% 69% U.S. Virgin Island Residents-Commuters 4 4 U.S. Virgin Island Residents-All Others 23 22 Foreign Residents 10 5 Totals 100 100 No. Responses (Actual) (136) (169) May 55% 5 28 12 100 (152) 3 Mo. Total 62% 5 24 9 100 (457) A-9 TABLE A-2 RESULTS OF SURVEY OF SHUTTLE BOAT USERS ST. JOHN TO ST. THOMAS MARCH, APRIL, MAY 1981 QUESTION 2 : MAIN PURPOSE OF TRIP (In Percentages) 3 Mo. March April May Total All Responses: Vacation 90% 92% 91% 91% Business 1 2 1 1 Commuting 4 3 5 4 Shopping 2 1 Other 3 2 2 2 -- Tota1* lOa 100 99 99 No. Responses (Actual) ( 136) ( 169) (152) (457) U.S. Residents: Vacation 96 95 97 96 Business 2 1 1 Commuting .. Shopping 1 1 1 Other 2 1 1 .'.1 -- Tota1* 99 99 99 99 No. Responses (Actual) (85) (117) ( 83) (285) U.S. Virgin 'Is1afid-Residents: Vacatidn 70 80 84 78 Business 3 2 2 Commuting 16 16 16 16 Shopping 3 1 Other 8 2 3 Total 100 100 100 100 No. Responses (Actual) ( 37) (44) (5 0) ( 131) Foreign-Residents: Vacation 100 100 84 93 Business 5 2 Commuting Shopping Other 11 5 Total 100 100 100 100 No. Responses (Actual) ( 14) ( 8) (19) (41 ) * Does. not add to 100% due to rounding. TABLE A-3 RESULTS OF SURVEY OF SHUTTLE BOAT USERS ST. JOHN TO ST. THOMAS MARCHI-APRIL, MAY 1981 QUESTION 3 : NUMBER IN PARTY (In Percentages) U.S. Virgin Island- All Responses U.S. Residents Residents-(Non-Commuting) Foreign Residents 3 Mo. 3 Mo. 3 Mo. 3 Mo. Ma~ch April May Total March April May Total March April May Total March April May Total No. In Party Alone 1 8 1 2 3 12 2 1 5 11 5 Wi th Family 2 64 56 57 59 70 62 75 69 35 30 26 30 86 88 47 68 3 10 7 4 7 7 6 1 5 19 14 7 13 7 11 7 4 4 2 3 3 2 1 1 13 3 5 6 11 5 5 ** 1 ** 3 1 6 7 or more Tour Group 2 ** 12 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 ~ 1 ** 1 1 ** > 6 1 ** 1 ** ,... 7 or more ** 5 2 0 1 ~li th Friends 2 4 17 9 11 13 7 7 19 30 17 22 3 4 11 12 9 4 10 3 6 7 16 29 18 7 5 5 4 1 1 5 3 1 3 1 5 12 6 5 1 ** 1 ** 6 7 or more Business Associates 2 1 1 1 1 ** 3 3 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 5 6 7 or more Did not answer 1 1 3 2 2 4 2 3 1 10 5 Total* 100 99 100 100 100 99 98 """98 99 101 99 ~ 100 100 100 ~ No. Responses (Actual) (130) (162) (144) (436) (85) (117) (83) (285) (31) (37) . (42) (110) (14) (8) (19) (41) Mean 2.03 2.1 2.6 1.9 * Does not add to 100% due to rounding. ** Less than .5% A-II TABLE A-4 RESULTS OF SURVEY OF SHUTTLE BOAT USERS ST. JOHN TO ST. THOMAS MARCH, APRIL, MAY 1981 QUESTION 4: ESTIMATED LENGTH OF STAY (I n,.Pe rce n tage s) March April All Responses: One Day 41 41 2-6 Days 20 24 1- 2 Weeks 38 31 3-4 Weeks 1 2 4 Weeks or more 1 Did not answer 1 Total 100 100 May 59 9 32 100 No. Responses (Actual) (13 0) (162) (144) Mean U.S. Residents: One Day 27 27 39 2-6 Days 25 26 12 1- 2 Weeks 47 41 46 3-4 Weeks 1 3 2 4 Weeks or more 1 Did not answer 2 Total* 100 100 99 No. Responses (Actual) (85) ( 117) ( 83) Mean U.S. Virgin Island- Residents (Non-Commuting) (1)ne Day 97 100 100 2-6 Days 3 1-2 Weeks 3- 4 Weeks 4 Weeks or more Did not answer Total 100 100 100 No. Responses (Actual) ( 31) C 37) (42) Mean 3 Mo. Total 47 18 33 1 1 ** 100 (436 ) 5.1 Days 31 22 45 2 100 (285) 8.45 Days 99 1 100 (110) 1 Day TABLE A-4 (cant.) Question 4: Cont'd Foreign Residents: One Day 1-2 Days 1-2 Weeks 3-4 Weeks 4 Weeks or more Did not answer Total No. Responses (Actual) Mean A-12 March 29 64 7 100 (14) * ** Does not add to 100% due to rounding Less than .5% April 12 25 63 100 ( 8) May 37 10 53 100 (19 ) 3 Mo. Total 20 21 59 100 ( 41) 9.7 Days A-13 TABLE A-S RESULTS OF SURVEY OF SHUTTLE BOAT USERS ST. JOHN TO ST. THOMAS MARCH, APRIL, MAY 1981 QUESTION 6: TO WHAT EXTENT DID THE FACT THAT ST. JOHN HAS A NATIONAL PARK INFLUENCE YOUR VISIT? (In Percentages) All Responses: Not at all Some About 50% Considerably Primary consideration Did not answer Total No. Responses (Actual) Derived Mean*** U.S. Residents: Not at all Some About 50% Considerably Primary consideration Did not answer Total* No. Responses (Actual) Derived Mean*** U.S. Virgin Island- Residents (Non-Commuting) Not at all Some About 50% Considerably Primary consideration Did not answer Total* No. Responses (Actual) Derived Mearl"** March 1 4 13 32 45 5 100 (130) 5 16 29 41 9 -- 100 (85) 3 3 6 29 58 99 ( 31) 3 Mo. April May Total 2 3 2 6 4 5 13 7 11 36 40 36 40 43 42 3 3 4 100 100 100 (162) (144) ( 436) 78.3% 3 1 1 6 5 5 15 8 13 33 40 34 40 43 41 3 3 5 100 100 99 ( 117) (83) (185) 78.0% 3 5 4 5 2 4 11 5 7 35 38 33 46 48 50 2 1 100 100 99 ( 3 7) ( 4 2 ) (110) 79.0% A-14 TABLE A-S (cont.) Question 6 : Cont'd 3 Mo. March April May Total Foreign Residents: Not at all 5 2 Some 13 5 5 About 50% 14 13 5 12 Considerably 50 50 47 49 Primary consideration 36 13 37 29 Did not answer 11 2 Total* 100 100 99 99 No. Responses (Actual) (14 ) ( 8) (19) ( 41) Derived Mean*** 76% * Does not add to 100% due to rounding. *** The Derived mean was calculated by assigning the following weights to answers given: "Not at all" "Some" "About 50%" "Considerably II "Primary Consid- eration" o 25% 50% 75% - 100% A-IS TABLE A-6 RESULTS OF SURVEY OF SHUTTLE BOAT USERS ST. JOHN TO ST. THOMAS MARCH, APRIL, MAY 1981 QUESTION 7: EVALUATION OF ST. JOHN EXPERIENCE (In Percentages) All Responses: Outstanding Better than average About average Below average Poor Did not answer Total* No. Responses (Actual) Derived Mean *** U.S. Residents: Outstanding Better than average About average Below average Poor Did not answer Total No. Responses (Actual) Derived Mean *** U.S. Virgin Island- Residents (Non-Commuting) Outstanding Better than average About average Below average Poor Did not answer Total* No. Responses (Actual) Derived Mean *** March 34 38 15 5 7 99 (130) 32 36 16 5 11 100 (85) 42 35 13 10 100 ( 31) April May 35 39 33 42 21 10 5 6 1 1 5 3 --- 100 101 (162) (144) 36 45 31 41 21 8 6 5 2 1 4 100 100 (117 ) (83) 35 33 41 50 16 7 3 2 5 7 100 99 ( 37) ( 42) 3 Mo. Total 36 38 16 5 5 100 (436) 77.0% 37 35 16 5 1 6 100 (285) 77.0% 36 43 12 5 4 100 (llQ) 79.0% A-16 TABLE A-6 (cant.) Question 7: Cont'd 3 Mo. March April May Total Foreign Residents: outstanding 29 13 26 24 Better than average 57 38 31 41 About average 14 38 21 22 Below average 16 7 Poor Did not answer 11 5 6 Total* 100 100 99 100 No. Responses (Actual) ( 14) ( 8) (19) (41) Derived Mean*** 72.0% * Does not add to 100% due to rounding. ***The Derived Mean was calculated by assigning the following weights to answers given: "Outstanding" - 100% "Better than average - 75% "About average" 50% "Below average" "Poor" 25% o A-17 TABLE A-7 RESULTS OF SURVEY OF SHUTTLE BOAT USERS ST. JOHN TO ST. THOMAS MARCH, APRIL, MAY 1981 QUESTION 8: AVERAGE DAILY EXPENSES PER ADULT (In Percentages) All Responses: Under $25.00 $25.00 - $49.99 $50.00 - $79.99 $75.00 - $99.99 $100.00 - $149.99 $150.00 - $199.99 $200.00 - $249.99 $250.00 - $349.99 Did not answer To tal * No. Responses (Actual) Mean U.S. Residents: Under $25.00 $25.00 - $49.99 $50.00 - $79.99 $75.00 - $99.99 $100.00 - $149.99 $150.00 - $199.99 $200.00 - $249.99 $250.00 - $349.99 Did not answer Total* No. Responses (Actual) Mean U.S. Virgin Is1and- Residents (Non-Commuting) Under $25.00 $25.00 - $49.99 $50.00 - $79.99 $75.00 and above Did not answer Total No. Responses (Actual) Mean March 46 36 9 2 7 100 (130) 43 38 6 1 11 99 ( 85) 58 29 13 100 ( 31) April 52 21 14 2 1 1 1 9 101 (162) 49 21 17 2 1 1 1 8 100 (177) 70 19 11 100 ( 37) May 45 38 7 1 2 1 1 5 100 ( 144) 43 39 7 1 2 1 1 6 100 ( 83) 55 36 5 4 100 (42) 3 Mo. Total 48 31 10 2 1 1 ** ** 7 100 (436 ) $34.60 46 32 11 1 1 1 ** ** 8 100 (285) $34.72 61 28 5 6 100 (110 ) $27.67 TABLE A-7 (cant.) Question 8: Cont f·.d Foreign Residents: Under $25.00 $25.00 - $49.99 $50.00 - $74.99 $75.00 - $99.99 $100.00 - $149.99 $150.00 and above Did not answer Tota1* No. Responses (Actual) Mean A-18 March 36 36 21 7 100 * Does not add to 100% due to rounding. ** Less than .5% April 13 25 25 13 13 11 100 3 Mo. May Total 31 29 42 37 11 17 5 7 5 5 5 5 -- 99 100 $44.94 A-19 TABLE A-8 RESULTS OF SURVEY OF SHUTTLE BOAT USERS ST. JOHN TO ST. THOMAS MARCH, APRIL, MAY 1981 QUESTION 9: APPROXIMATE ANNUAL INCOME OF HOUSEHOLD (In Percentages) All Responses: Under $10,000 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $75,000 - $19,999 $29,999 $39,999 $49,999 $59,999 $74,999 $99,999 $100,000 or more Did not answer Total* No. Responses (Actual) Mean U.S. Residents: Under $10,000 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $75,000 - $19,999 $29,999 $39,999 $49,999 $59,999 $74,999 $99,999 $100,000 or more Did not answer Total * No. Responses (Actual) Mean U.S. Virgin Island- Resident (Non-Commuting) Under $10,000 $10,000 - $19,999 $20,000 - $29,999 $30,000 - $39,999 $40,000 - $49,999 $50,000 - $59,999 $60,000 - $74,999 $75,000 - $99,999 $100,000 or more Did not answer Total* Cont'd March 1 4 10 17 21 17 2 1 27 100 (130) 3 24 29 24 1 20 101 (85) 3 19 35 10 3 3 26 99 April 2 6 11 9 15 16 3 2 1 35 100 ( 162) 1 5 10 18 18 4 3 1 40 100 (117) 8 27 35 5 5 2 16 98 May 6 7 11 20 26 13 2 1 1 12 99 (144) 2 29 37 20 1 2 1 7 99 (83) 21 26 33 12 7 99 3 Mo. Total 3 6 11 15 20 15 2 2 ** 26 100 (436) $40,378 ** 4 20 27 22 2 2 ** 23 100 (285) $45,387 12 25 -:35 9 3 1 1 14 100 TABLE A-8 (cant.) Question 9: Cont'd U.S. Virgin Island- Resident (Non-Commuting) No. Responses (Actual) Mean Foreign Residents: Under $10,000 $10,000 - $19,999 $20,000 - $29,999 $30,000 - $39,999 $40,000 - $49,999 $50,000 - $59,999 $60,000 - $74,999 $75,000 - $99,999 $100,000 or more Did not answer Total* No. Responses (Actual) Mean A-20 March Con t' d ( 31) 21 14 7 7 50 99 (14) * Does not add to 100% due to rounding. ** Less than .5% April May ( 37) (42) 13 5 25 42 13 11 13 11 35 31 99 100 ( 8) ( 19) 3 Mo. Total (110 ) $22,109 5 32 12 10 2 39 100 (41 ) $51,500 APPENDIX B SURVEY OF GUESTS OF CANEEL BAY PLANTATION; CINNAMON BAY CAMPGROUND; AND ~~HO BAY CAMPGROUND In order to secure essential information available from no other source, the study deemed it essential to gather pri- mary research data on guests at the three principal VINP- related resorts on St. John. The reasons for this primary research and its connection with the principal thrust of the study are discussed in Chapter II. Managements of the facilities involved -- Rock Resorts, which manages Caneel Bay Plantation and Cinnamon Bay Campground, and the manager of the privately owned and operated Maho Bay Campground -- were most cooperative. All three facilities make use of their own questionnaires, designed to provide in- formation on the quality of service rendered, suggestions for improvements, etc. Questionnaires prepared by the study team were given to the respective managements who, for the period of the survey, gave them to their guests along with their own questionnaires, collected them along with their own questionnaires, and sent the completed questionnaires to Island Resources Foundation for tabulation. Major constraints on this survey were essentially the same as for the survey described in Appendix A, but the period of the study was extended somewhat so that the period covered a span of 4 months, from March through June 1981. Another constraint was that each questionnaire be limited to a single page and be in a simple format so that it could be easily read and completed without assistance. A separate questionnaire was prepared for the Rock Resort facilities (both Caneel and Cinnamon) and for Maho bay. The principal difference was that the study team had obtain- ed from Rock Resorts sufficient operating information so that an economic analysis of the impact of the facilities on the economies of the Virgin Islands could be developed without going through a multiplier pass~through of payments received from guests. (Rock Resorts supplied information on employment, payroll, taxes, capital and operating costs, including estimated amounts spent in the Virgin Islands economy.) Thus, the guests were asked to exclude amounts spent for lodging and meals at Rock Resort facilities. Maho Bay did not make this kind of information available. Hence the method used for estimating economic impact of Maho guests4 outlays entailed the indirect analysis describ- ed in Chapter II of this report for lodging and meals of Maho guests as well as for all other expenditures. l B-2 Another difference between the two questionnaires was in the categories used to collect expenditures per day. These dif- fered because of the likelihood that Caneel Bay guests would be in higher income brackets. The two questionnaires used for the survey are as follows: B-3 QUES TI ONNAI RE This questionnaire has been developed in cooperation with the management of Caneel Bay, Inc., and Cinnamon Bay Camp Ground. It is part of a study to estimate the signi/icance of Virgin Islands National Parks on the economy of the Virgin Islands. Please complete it and return it along with your Caneel Bay (or Cinnamon Bay) questionnaire. 1. Did you stay at: Caneel Bay, Inc. Cinnamon Bay Camp Ground ----- ------ 2. What is your permanent residence? a) United States T(S~t~a~t-e--or~T~e-r-r-l~·t~o-r-y')----------- b) 0 the r Co un try..,--;-;-____ =--::;------:-_____________ _ (Name of Country 3. How many in your party? a) ~(A~d~u~lt~s~)---------- b) T(=Ch~i~l~dr-e-n~)-------- 4. What was your length of stay in the Virgin Islands?770_----;;:-. __ ,--______ __ (No. of days) 5. What were the estimated average daily expenses per adult person incurred during your stay in the Virgin Islands (St. John, St. Thomas, St. Croix)? (Such as, food, taxis (or other local transportation), tours, shopping, recreation, entertainment. Do not include transportation costs to and from the Virgin Islands, or the costs of lodging and meals at Caneel Bayl Ci nnamon Bay.) a) $50 or less ---- c) $100-$150 --- e) $200-$250 __ g) $300-$400 __ b) $50-S100 d) $150-$200 h) $400-$500 ------ -...,.- f) $250-$300 __ --- i) Over $500 -- 6. To what extent did the fact that Caneel Bay, Inc. (Cinnamon Bay Camp Ground) is in a National Park environment influence your visit? (Circle the number that most nearly applies.) -TNot a tall ) /. Your age and sex: a) b) s rt/3/81 Male --- Fema 1 e -- 2 3 4 5 (Some) (About 50%) (Considerably) Prima ry Cons i dera ti 01 e) 30-39 --- g) 50-59 __ c) Under 20 -- d) 20-29 ------ f) 40-49 __ h) 60-69 __ i) 70 or over -- Thank you for your cooperation. The information derived from this ques- tionnaire will be used strictly for statistical purposes. ISLAND RESOURCES FOUNDATION St. Thomas, V.I.' B-4 QUESTIONNAIRE Maho Bay Camps. Inc .• is cooperating with Island Resources Found- ation on a study to estimate the significance of V.I. National Parks on the Virgin Islands economy. As part of the study, we ask your cooperation in completing the following questionnaire and dropping it off at the Front Office in the large envelope marked, "STUDY QUESTIONNAIRE." 1. What is your permanent residence? a) United States '(~S~t-a~t-e--o-r~T~e-r-r~i~t~o-r-y-)r----------- b) Other Country '(~N-a-m-e--o~f~C~o-u-n~t-r-y~)'-------------- How many in your party? a)<7~~~ ______ __ (Adults) b) ( C h ~i "'-1 --'d -r e-n----.--) ----- 2. 3. What was (is) your planned length of stay in the Virgin Islands?~ __ ~ ___ ~ ____ _ (No. days) 4. What were the estimated average daily expenses per adult person incurred during your stay? (Such as lodging, food, taxis, tours. shopping, recreation. Do not include transportation costs to and from the Virgin Island~ a) $25 or less d) $100-$125 ______ g) $175-$200 j) $300-$350 b) $25-$75 ___ _ e) $125-$150 h) $200-$250 ______ k) $350-$400 c) $75-$100 __ f) $150-$175 ___ _ i) $250-$300 1) $450 $500 m) Over $500 5. To what extent did the fact that you knew you would be in a National Park environment influence your visit? (Circle the number that most nearly applies.) 1 2 3 4 5 Tf\lota-i all) (Some) (About 50%) (Considerably) (Primary Consideration) 6. Your age and sex: a) Male c) Under 20 ____ _ e) 30-39 b) Fema 1 e d) 20- 29 ___ _ f) 40-49 srt/2-S1 g) 50- 59 _____ _ h 60-69 i) 70 or over Thank you for your cooperation. The information derived from this questionnaire will be used strictly for statistical purposes in con- nection with the study referred to herei n. ISLAND RESOURCES FOUNDATION St. Thomas, V.I. B-5 A total of 1,000 questionnaires were left with Caneel Bay and Cinnamon Bay management, but it is not known how many were actually distributed to guests. A total of 277 com- pleted questionnaires were returned by Caneel Bay guests and 153 by Cinnamon Bay guests - - probably around a 50 percent return, based on information concerning occupancy rates during the months the survey was in progress. A total of 500 questionnaires were delivered to Maho Bay Campgrounds, and 190 questionnaires were returned. Again no information is available as to the number of blank questionnaires actually distributed to guests, but the rate of return appears to be quite high -- well over 50.percent. The following tabulations summarize the results of the sur- vey, starting with a summary profile of the guests at each installation. ISee notes accompanying Table 3 on this point. for a further elaboration B-6 SUMMARY PROFILE OF GUESTS AT MAJOR ST. JOHN FACILITIES Caneel Bay Plantation (Average) Number in Party Length of Stay Age Daily Expenses Park Influence on Visit Cinnamon Bay Campgrounds (Average) Number in Party Length of Stay Age Daily Expenses Park Influence on Visit Maho Bay Campgrounds (Average) Number in Party Length of Stay Age Daily Expenses Park Influence on Visit 2.0% 11.6 days 40.3 $101.48 43.7% 2.2% 13 days 37.1 $48.17 72.6% 2.1% 14.3 days 36.2 $61.14 66.5% U.S. U.S.V.I. Foreign B-7 TABLE B-1 SURVEY OF GUESTS: CANEEL BAY PLANTATION, CINNAMON BAY CAMPGROUND, MAHO BAY CAMPGROUND SURVEY PERIOD: MARCH - JUNE 1981 QUESTION 1: PERMANENT RESIDENCE (In Percentages) Caneel Cinnamon 96 95 1 Country 4 3 Maho 95 5 Total* 100 99 100 No. Responses (Actual) ( 227) ( 153) (190) * Does not add to 100% due to rounding ** Less than .5% Total 96 ** 4 100 (570) No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 B-8 TABLE B-2 SURVEY OF GUESTS: CANEEL BAY PLANTATION, CINNAMON BAY CAMPGROUNDS J MAHO BAY CAMPGROUND SURVEY PERIOD: MARCH - JUNE 1981 QUESTION 2: TRAVELING PARTY COMPOSITION (In Percentages) Caneel Cinnamon Maho Adults 1 11 4 90 73 83 2 8 6 6 3 6 ** 2 ** or more 1 3 1 Total 100 100 100 No. Responses (Actual) ( 227) ( 153) (19 0) Hean 2. 2 2.2 2.1 ** Less than 5!l, • 0 Total 4 83 5 5 2 2 100 (570) 2.19 One 2-6 1-2 3-4 B-9 TABLE B- 3 SURVEY OF GUESTS: CANEEL BAY PLANTATION, CINNAMON BAY CAMPGROUND, MAHO BAY CAMPGROUND Day Days Weeks Weeks SURVEY PERIOD: MARCH - JUNE 1981 QUESTION 3: LENGTH OF STAY (In Percentages) Caneel Cinnamon 1 30 19 67 78 2 3 Maho 3 87 9 4 Weeks or more 1 Total 100 100 100 No. Responses (Actual) (227) (153) (190) Mean 11. 6 days 13.0 14.3 ** Less than ~5% Total ** 18 77 5 ** 100 (575 ) 13.4 $ 50 or less 50 - 100 100 - 150 150 - 200 200 - 250 250 - 300 300 - 350 350 - 400 450 - 500 over 500 B-IO TABLE B-4 SURVEY OF GUESTS: CANEEL BAY PLANTATION AND CINNAMON BAY CAMPGROUND SURVEY PERIOD MARCH - JUNE 1981 QUESTION 4: AVERAGE DAILY EXPENSES (In Percentages) Caneel Cinnamon 42 73 33 16 8 5 3 2 3 4 2 1 4 Did not answer 2 Total 100 98 No. Responses (Actual) (227) ( 153) Mean* $101. 48 $48.17 * Mean was derived using mid points for expenditure ranges. B-11 TABLE B-4 (cont.) $ 25 or 25 - 75 - 100 - 125 - 175 - 200 - Over less 75 100 125 175 200 500 500 SURVEY OF GUESTS: MAHO BAY CAMPGROUND SURVEY PERIOD MARCH - JUNE 1981 QUESTION 4: AVERAGE DAILY EXPENSES (in Percentages) Maho Bay ).1 13 56 18 6 5 Did not answer Total 98 No. Responses (Actual) (19 0.) Mean $61.14 B-12 TABLE B-S SURVEY OF GUESTS: CANEEL BAY PLANTATION, CINNAMON BAY CAMPGROUND, MAHO BAY CAMPGROUND SURVEY PERIOD: MARCH - JUNE 1981 QUESTION 5: EXTENT OF NATIONAL PARK INFLUENCE ON VISITS Caneel Cinnamon Maho Total ---- --- Not at all 29 4 4 14 Some 21 10 15 16 About 50% 10 11 14 12 Considerably 31 33 44 36 Primary consideration 8 39 23 21 Did not answer 1 3 Total * 100 100 100 99 No. Responses (Actual) (222) (149 ) (190) (561) Derived Mean** 43. 7% 72.6% 66.5% 59.7% * Does not add to 100% due to rounding ** The derived mean is based on the following weights: "Not at all" 0 "Some" 25% "About 50%" 50% "Cons ide rably '! 75% "Primary consideration"- 100% B-13 TABLE B-6 SURVEY OF GUESTS: CANEEL BAY PLANTATION, CINNAMON BAY, MAHO BAY SURVEY PERIOD MARCH - JUNE 1981 QUESTION 6: AGE & SEX OF RESPONDENTS (In Percentages) Age Caneel Cinnamon Maho Under 20 1 3 3 20 - 29 21 36 29 30 - 39 32 29 37 40 - 49 20 11 17 50 - 59 15 8 8 60 '- 69 6 9 4 70 & Over 2 2 1 Did not answer 2 2 1 Total* 99 100 100 No. Responses (Actual) ( 227) ( 153) ( 190) Mean (Age) 40.3 37.1 36.2 Sex Male 55 40 50 Female 42 57 50 Did not answer 3 3 Total 100 100 100 No. Responses (~ctual) (227) (153) (190) * Does not add to 100% due to rounding. Total 2 28 33 16 11 6 2 2 100 (370) 38.2 49 49 2 100 (570) r ' APPENDIX C SURVEY OF CHARTER BOATING AND RELATED BUSINESSES IN' THE VIRGIN ISLANDS RELATIVE TO THEIR CONTRIBUTION TO OUR TOURISH RELATED ECONOMY , . A report prepared for the Department of Commerce of the U.S. Virgin Islands by Cly.de Carder July 14, 1980 (Funds for this project were made available by the International Development Research,' Center --" Ottawa, Canada) To: From: Re: C-2 Amadeo 1.0. Francis Commissioner V.I. Department of Commerce St. Thomas Clyde D. Carder Survey of charter boating and related businesses in the Virgin Islands relative to their contribu- tion to our tourism related economy. Introduction: I was retained by John Tinsley, chief economist of the Department, to survey the charter boat and related businesses within the "scope of work agreement" which is attached to this copy of the survey results. The survey was conducted during various times in February, March ·and April 1980 by personal inter- views "lith 25 people on St. Thomas, and by phone with seven on St. Croix and three on St. John. BVI results were determined by interviews with about six boat captains who operate out of st. Thomas but who are registered in Tortola and are quite familiar with the industry there and in the other British Virgin Islands, and a careful reading of BVI tourist literature. Because of the in-depth nature of the conduct of the survey, the margin of error for all figures cited should not exceed five to seven percent. Scope of Work and Results: A. An inventory of vessels engaged in the following types of operations on the U.S. Virgin Islands 1) Charter (sail and/or power) boats avail- able for overnight charters, crewed. There are approximately 190 boats, nearly all sail; that are avai)tble for crewed term charters .. About 25-'-Of these are registered in the BVI or elsewhere (the larger boats that carry six or more passengers), but are considered part of the St. Thomas fleet. 2) Charter boats (sail). available· forchar.ter of one day or less, crewed. This is an almost impossible figure to determine with any degree of accuracy. At one time a good number of the crewed boats that were not on term charters were available for day charters through the V.I. Charterboat League. The League gave up trying to be l/v.r. Charterboat League indicates this figure to between 40-S( noat Survey--2 C-3 a central booking office for this activity for lack of staff.' A good estimate is that there are about 20 boats that actively seek day sails through the hotels. The average day-sail rate is $2.0 per person. The figure used for the boats engaged in this business does not includeHo Te~,Kon Tiki, Capt. Yellow Bird' or True Love. 3) Charter boats (sail) available for overnIght charters without crew (bareboat). There are 189 bare boats in this category, operated by 11 companies. Expansion plans of five of these op.erations will add 62 boats by the end of 1982. 4) Fishing or diving charter boats (power) available for one day charters, crewed. There are 13 fishing boats available for charter at all times. (When major tournaments are held" as many as 15 additional boats come from the BVI and Puerto Rico to participate.) There are 28 dive boats available for half-or full-day charters. {About 20 boats in the crewed charter boat fleet are fully equipped for diving and are often chartered for week- long diving expeditions.} 5) Any other vessels that can be considered as charter boats. About 20 small sail boats, inclUding multi-hulls, are avaiiable for rent by the hour" half-or full-day. . . B. An estimate of the number of Puert; Rican boats registered in 'the Virgin Islands and also the num- ber of Puerto Rican power boats which visit the Virgin Islands on a regular basis (four times a year). The Bureau, of Fish and Wildlife of the Department of Conservation and Cultural Affairs, the unit that handles boat registration, was unable to answer the question about the number of Puerto Rican boats registered in the V.I. The person said that many such boats give a local address, that of a relative or friend (presumably to avoid PR taxes), so it is 'impossible to identify these bo"ats. Thosetha t register with a PR address are .. not .. kept. in a separa.te .fileand it would require someone',to . go through.' alT registrations toidentifythem~ Conservation, wilT not: do . this. for us... There,wer.e .. 2, 765hoats at all typesregrstered.:inthe> V.I .. as -'of December 31, 1979. The Sheraton Marina does not indicate on its fuel receipts the registration area of the boats it ser- vices. {This should have been a best source of information on the number of PR boats that come into V.I. waters on long weekends, as nearly all fuel 27 V. 1. Charterboat League advises that as of mid-()Ctober, C-4 Boat Survey--3 there on the way in or out.) The estimate, from several marina employees, is that from 80 to 100 PR power boats visit during the four long weekends of the year. C) A list of· locally based commercial or other enterprises which cater to the charter boat fleet. Insurance companies that handle marine coverage Marine supply stores Marine electronic sales and repair shops - Inboard and outboard engine sales and repair shops - Marinas in general and marinas with haul-out facilities - Supermarkets and wholesale'food purveyors - Sail makers and carpet stores - Central boat reservation offices and boat brokers D) A summary of the number of charter boats of all types based in the British Virgin Islands . that compete directly with the u.S. Virgin Islands fleet. The best estimate from several local sources and BVI tourist literature is that there are about 220 bare boats based in the BVI, which are operated by some 10 companies. About 20 of these boats are available with a captain. (These are not included in the BVI- based crewed boats mentioned earlier.) It seems that BVI bare boat operators see a good market for crewed boats and make captains avail- able to charterers who are not sure of their sailing abilities. These really can be called semi-crewed in that only a captain is provided. Cooking is done by the charterer. There are four sport fishing boats. They are operated by owners on a part-time basis who have other occupations. St. Thomas sport fishing boat captains do not consider the BVI sport fishing fleet a professional operation. Seven dive boats operate from various islands In the BVI group. E) In A,B and C above; statistics should beoh- tained as far as is pussible covering:. 1) The number of each type: This is answered. throughout the above information. 2) An estimate of the number of charters booked: Crewed boats: each of the 190 boats chartered an average of 17 wee~a year (1979 figures). Each charter, about 3,320, averaged 5.2 people at an average cost of about $110 per person per day, or a total gross income for Boat Survey--4 C-5 1979 of some $13 million. Bare boats: bare boat companies reported that their boats ranged from 15 to 32 weeks of char- ter per year. There were 4,370 charters of 21,000 people for an approximate gross annual income of about $4.5 million. Most bare boat operations have a three-season rate schedule, which offers a very inexpensive summer (off- season) rate. Each fishing ~t sr;>ent alxmt 140 full .<~ay.s at sea. (A comblnatlon_ofhalf and full day charterE . . . Dive boats do not operate as charter boats per se, but take anyone who wants to make a dive at a scheduled time. (This does not apply to the 20 crewed char.ter boats that are equ,ipped for diving and are often chartered specifically for week-long diving trips.) 3) The prices charged for the various services: Crewed boa.ts range from $1500 a week for a two passenger boat to $12,500 a week for an eight passenger boat such as the Antares, or an ayerage of $110 per day per charter passenger. On 'crewed boats this is an all inclusive price--all meals, snacks, beverages, wine, use of snorkel and fishing equipment~re included. Bare boats range from $350 a week for a two- passenger boat to $1500 for a boat that will carry up to six. Most bare boats have a three season rate structure. Summer rates are ex- tremely low. The daily per person average is about $45, but this does not include provisions or beverages, which the charterer can purchase at the supermarket or have the boat company supply. Sport fishing boats ~re $175 for a half day, $350 for a full day and $400 a day £or tourna- ment fishing. This is for a boat which four persons ~an share. Dive boats get $35 for a boat dive and $65 for a dive on the Rhone. 4) Local purchases by charter boat. operators: It· is estimated. that the crewed fleet spends. close to $2 million a 'year on food, beverages arrd .. 8.on:- diments. About $550 ,00 wasspenLorrhauling, b6ttom paint, varnish, parts and othermainte- nance locally. Another $300,000 was spent on hauling in Puerto Rico and the BVI and an addi- tional $150,000 was spent on paint and parts in the United States and Puerto Rico. About $575,00 was spent locally on marine insurance, with an- other $125,000 going to BVI agencies. Fuel costs C-6 were about $240,000, all of which was spen~ locally. Some $1.8 million was paid in broker (bookln~ agent) commissions. Only about eight percent of thlS a- mount was earned by the several St~ T~omas brokers. The rest was paid to some 25 brokers ln the states and one in Argentina. The bare boat fleet of 189 boats spent about $3,500 per boat for hauling, paint, varnish and general maintenance, all local. Provisioning, whether pro- vided by the boat companies or the charterer, amounted to about $1.7 million. Practically all of this was spent locally. Fuel costs were about $125,000. Nearly all bare boats are individually owned by stateside residents, financed and insured there. A few are locally owned and financed. Just about all bare boat charters are booked directly with the operating companies instead of brokers. (A significant amolJ_nt of net profit realized from the bare boat operation goes t6 the stateside ownerE and is not spent here.) Fishing boats average 140 days at sea and spend between $60 and $70 per trip for fuel (1979 fuel costs), or about $110,000 a year. Hauling and othel maintenance is ab9ut $60,000 for the fleet. Dive boats spent about $90,000 on fuel in 1979 and $70,000 on hauling and other maintenance. 5) The a) b) activities of the charter visitors including: The amount of shopping done by the charter boat visitors: It appears that charterers of bare and -crewed boats consider shopping of secondary importance to being in the V.I., as their primary reason is to sail and enjoy the associated water sports. Their expenditures arE difficult to determine. A good assumption, baSE on interviews with charterers and charter boat captains, is that they spend a little less thanOa cruise ship passenger-and much less than the long-stay visitor. The average stay (in time) at local hotels before and/or after a charter by charter visitOl About 9Dpercent of alL crewed boat charters spend at least one night before or a.fter: a char- t.er -in a local ho.tel. The Sheraton.-and .its predecesseroperator-soffereda significant. discount to charterers_ w-hobookedbo.ats moor.ed. at their marina. It is estimated that crewed boat charterers spent nearly $700,000 on hotel rooms duiing 1979. ° Bare boat charterers spend less time in a hotel room as the boat operating companies will let them sleep in the boat they chartered if they .. C-7 Boat Survey--6 arrive early or use another boat in the fleet if their boat is not ready. The charge for this is about 10 percent of hotel room rates. An estimate for bare boat charterers for hotel rooms is about $300,000. F. A final report summarizing the information obtaoined as part of the project. There are 422 crewed, bare, fishing and dive boats in the U.S. Virgin Islands (several of the crewed charter boats are based in the BVI but do nearly all of their business out of St. Thomas) that generate an annual· estimated gross income of about $21 million. This figure does not include income generated by the day sail boats or the large party-type boats such as the Ho Tei, Le Junk, CaptainYellowbird or True Love. Boat owners and operators spend about $6 million annually for food, beverages, boat maintenance, fuel, insurance and incidentals. This figure in- cludes what bare boat charterers spend themselves on provisioning. The bare boat companies employ about 60 full-time people plus some casual labor. Crewed boats have an average crew of 3.5, including the captain and mate, generally the husband and wifE owners of the boats. If they can be considered employees, the crewed boat fleet has about 665 employees • . Surveyors Comments: Many of the crewed boat captains who were interviewed who have been chartering here for. five or more years and have seen the fleet grow from about ?5 to more than 200 boats at the time of the last boat show in November 1979, feel that the fleet grew too fast in proportion to the amount of business that can be generated and that some will drop out. Declining membership in the V.I. Charterboat League is evidence that this is beginning to happen. (Many of the new. boats during the past two years came from islands in the Caribbean and the Bahamas where exhorbitant taxes and other restrictions made chartering a marginal operation. Bare boating has grown rapidly in the last· four years and seems to be. holdingitsown,wi thsomecompanies planning.·· to expand duringthenextsever.al ye.ars_ Sport fishing has declined in recent years as fuel costs have raised charter rates to a near prohibitive rate. Diving seems to be the current "in" water sports oriented activity and growing rapidly. Clyde D. Carder July 14, 1980 APPENDIX D A SUMMARY OF COMMUNITY VIEWS EXPRESSED BY OFFICIALS AND INDIVIDUALS CONTACTED DURING THE STUDY General. As noted previously, the island of St. John has a resident population of approximately 2,500 persons, comprised mostly of native Virgin Islanders and migrants from other Caribbean islands. Based on interviews with a number of resi- dents, including the island legislator (Senator Gilbert Sprauve), housewives, taxi drivers, students, entrepreneurs, and govern- ment officials, it was generally accepted that the presence of the VINP was viewed as an asset by those on the island. Notwithstanding, the general acceptance of the VINP by the local populace, issues of disagreement with the relationship between the VINP and the St. John community were surfaced. Following is a summary of issues and suggestions that came up: Land Acquisition. A number of St. Johnians expressed the view that the National Park Service should discontinue land acquisi- tion until such time as the housing needs of St. Johnians are adequately met. There also seemed to be considerable confusion over the difference between the authorized exterior boundaries of the park and the NPS ownership boundary. Along with this view was a feeling that the National Park Service should com- pensate the local government for territorial tax revenue losses caused by Federal land ownership. The thought was expressed that if the NPS could not make payments in lieu of taxes it should provide more community services on St. John. Suggested services included providing park land for territorial govern- ment expansion, and for an island community complex. Other suggestions were to set aside land for economic development activities such as farming, horticulture, and agriculture. (It should be noted that VINP officials expressed the view that they would be pleased to cooperate with such endeavors, subject to NPS policies, but that they felt a strong respons- ibility to be sure that any such projects would be solidly based and supported, so that the VINP, having in good fai th participated in a cooperative project, did not find itself after a period of time "holding the bag".) Cultural Resources. Support was expressed for exterior re- habilitation and/or restoration of historic structures at selected locations on St. John, including Reef Bay, Brown Bay, Catherineberg, and Trunk Bay. Continuation and expansion of interpretive programs dealing with the vernacular culture of the islands was encouraged, and research to document and pre- serve St. Johnian folkways and oral history was endorsed. One suggestion was that an interpretive area be developed at D-2 Larneshur Bay where local senior citizens could perform cultural demonstrations. It was also noted that a comprehensive arch- aeological survey of the park might be undertaken usefully. Natural Resource Management. Pollution control, land based and on the waterways, is a matter of prevalent concern. It was em- phasized that new park developments should not be located near the shore. Shore protection is vital to prevent environmental damage to beaches, coral beds, and mangroves. Comments regard- ing waste discharges in park waters varied from insignificant due to seaward currents to complaints that they are a potential attraction that might lure sharks into park swimming areas. Wildlife management is also of concern. Specific issues dis- cussed included controlling wild donkeys on St. John and lib- eralizing park restrictions on traditional seine fishing. Development. The use and misuse of beaches in the park was a topic of concern. St. Johnians expressed a fear that Hawks- nest Bay might become overdeveloped, or subjected to heavy use, as is the case with Trunk Bay. Some feel that Trunk Bay is currently over-used by tour groups and that the existing con- cession and dressing room facilities badly need upgrading. Visitor Services. Other St. Johnians feel that the NPS should become more involved in community action and develop more recreation and interpretive programs for West Indian visitors. Criticism was leveled at the VINP for the lack of Virgin Islanders in park concessions, and it was recommended that concession contract bidding be more open to local people. Other Issues. The VINP was urged to employ more Virgin Islanders in upper-level park positions, particularly in the area of community relations. An in-service training and educational program for local young people in park management was urged. Comments were voiced about the relationship between the VINP and Caneel Bay Plantation. There were views that Caneel Bay has in the past received unfair preferential treatment by the VINP in concession bidding and NPS dock access.