Marine Protected Areas of the US Virgin Islands Ecological Performance Report October 2014 NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science N O A A T e c h n i c a l M e m o r a n d u m N O S N C C O S 1 8 7 Mention of trade names or commercial products does not constitute endorsement or recommendation for their use by the United States Government Citation Pittman, S.J., L. Bauer, S.D. Hile, C.F.G. Jeffrey, E. Davenport and C. Caldow. 2014. Marine protected Areas of the U.S. Virgin Islands: Ecological Performance Report. NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 187. Silver Spring, MD. 89 pp. Acknowledgments We acknowledge with great appreciation the collaboration with National Park Service staff, especially those members of the Inventory and Monitoring Program’s South Florida and Caribbean Network (SFCN). For providing scientific review for this report we thank Caroline Rogers (USGS); Jeff Miller (NPS); Zandy Hillis-Starr (NPS); Joel Tutein (NPS); Mike Feeley (NPS); Andrea Atkinson (NPS); Andy Davis (NPS); Dana Wusinich-Mendez (NOAA CRCP); Susie Holst (NOAA CRCP); Brion Fitzgerald (NPS); Alicia Clarke (NOAA NCCOS); Mark Monaco (NOAA NCCOS). The document was created by graphic designer Zhe Liu and layout completed by Sarah D. Hile. Benthic habitat maps were produced by Will Sautter (NOAA NCCOS). Cover photo was provided by Caroline Rogers. Images within the document were provided by NCCOS/CCMA Biogeography Branch unless otherwise noted. Government contract labor was provided by CSS-Dynamac of Fairfax, Virginia under NOAA contract number DG133C-11-CQ-0019. Marine Protected Areas of the U.S. Virgin Islands Ecological Performance Report Center for Coastal Monitoring and Assessment NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science Silver Spring, MD 20910 October 2014 Authors Simon J. Pittman Laurie Bauer Sarah D. Hile Christopher F.G. Jeffrey Erik Davenport Chris Caldow About this Document This document presents a comprehensive overview of results from more than a decade of work by the NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science (NCCOS) Biogeography Branch and the Department of the Interior National Park Service (NPS) to assess status and trends within and around federally managed marine protected areas (MPAs) of the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI). The report provides: (1) an overview of the history of MPAs, types of MPAs and associated regulations, and a list of all MPAs in the USVI; (2) an ecological performance report for three intensively surveyed MPA units managed by NPS, including 20 biological metrics for fish and benthic habitat; (3) sightings of large-bodied fishes with moderate to high vulnerability to fishing; and (4) synthesis, summary and recommendations for management. This report is the first time that an assessment of ecological performance has been conducted for MPAs in the USVI. A decade of underwater surveys was analyzed to detect trends on coral reefs inside MPAs and for a similar range of habitats outside of MPAs. The information, data synthesis, interpretation and recommendations are intended to help focus management actions and goal setting, inform outreach products and adjust expectations regarding ecological performance for MPAs in the region. The data presented here provide important baselines required for tracking MPA performance through future monitoring efforts. For more information about this report and others like it, please visit the NCCOS web site, http:// coastalscience.noaa.gov/, or direct comments to: Mark Monaco, PhD, Director Center for Coastal Monitoring and Assessment NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science Telephone: 301.713.3020 x160 E-mail: Mark.Monaco@noaa.gov John Christensen, Biogeography Branch Chief Center for Coastal Monitoring and Assessment NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science Telephone: 301-713-3028 x164 E-mail: John Christensen@noaa.gov Contents Overview and Key Findings. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . i Marine Protected Areas of the U.S. Virgin Islands . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Seascapes of the Virgin Islands. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Ecosystem Threats and Stressors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 History of MPAs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 Type and Location of MPAs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 Ecological Performance of Three Federal MPAs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Evaluating MPA Performance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 Methodologies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 Closer Look: Three Federal MPAs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Buck Island Reef National Monument. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 Virgin Islands National Park. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 Summary and Synthesis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 Are MPAs Working in the USVI?. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 Appendix. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 Statistical Methods for Temporal Trend Analysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 Maps of Sample Site Locations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 Overview and Key Findings i Overview and Key Findings Coral reef ecosystems of the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI) have deteriorated because a wide range of interacting stressors have reduced coral cover and the abundance of other reef associated animals, including fishes. A wide variety of fishes that are important to maintain healthy and productive coral reef ecosystems also provides valuable goods and services for USVI communities and visitors. Over the past few decades, the number and biomass (weight) of fish on Caribbean coral reefs, particularly large fish such as grouper, snapper and big parrotfish, have declined considerably and are now rarely seen. A functionally intact fish community on healthy reefs should include abundant herbivores and carnivores, especially large-bodied species. In the USVI, declines in fish abundance, particularly of large-bodied economically important species, have resulted in functionally impaired fish communities. To better protect coral reefs and associated fish, marine protected areas (MPAs) have been established in the USVI and across the Caribbean. In fact, some of the world’s first MPAs for protecting coral reef ecosystems were designated in the USVI. In accordance with Executive Order 13158, we define a marine protected area as any area of the marine environment that has been reserved by Federal, State, territorial, tribal, or local laws or regulations to provide lasting protection for part or all of the natural and cultural resources therein. There are now more than thirty MPAs in the USVI. These include MPA units operated by the Government of the Virgin Islands, federally managed MPAs, as well as two co-managed MPAs. Although all MPAs share the goal of protecting resources, MPAs have a wide range of objectives that focus on managing human uses, including tourism and providing educational resources. Some MPAs have enforcement and boundaries that are physically marked; others do not. Some MPAs include terrestrial land and others are solely marine jurisdictions. A wide range of fishing regulations exist across MPAs of the USVI, with most management units offering opportunities for commercial and recreational fishing. Several no-take MPAs also exist, each with varying levels of enforcement and compliance. Not all MPAs are managed through formal management plans, although efforts are underway to develop new management plans and revise existing ones. Expectations for MPA performance vary widely among managers, marine stewardship agencies, scientists, fishing communities and other marine users. In general, the expectation for a well-protected MPA is that, over time, protection will result in a healthier reef, and where fishing is prohibited, fished populations will be replenished. Of the many MPAs in the USVI, only four MPAs have received long-term monitoring to evaluate ecological performance and inform management actions, including Buck Island Reef National Monument, Virgin Islands National Park, Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument, and Hind Bank Marine Conservation District. The second section of the report focuses on how we assess ecological performance before providing in-depth information on three MPAs that are managed by the U.S. National Park Service (NPS) and were monitored through a 10-year collaboration with NOAA’s National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science. Overview and Key Findings ii Overview and Key Findings This report provides the first evaluation of the ecological performance of the three most intensively studied MPAs in the USVI. All data used were collected using consistent survey techniques conducted over a decade. The three assessed MPAs are Buck Island Reef National Monument, northeast, St. Croix; Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument, St John (no-take MPAs); and Virgin Islands National Park, St. John (non-commercial fishing allowed). The report provides information on the history of MPAs in the USVI and a chronology of the main catastrophic events that have impacted the structure and function of coral reef ecosystems. The various types of MPAs are described together with maps showing their geographical location. Here information is provided on enforcement and the type and number of violations of park regulations to describe stress from human uses, including illegal fishing. Ecological performance, however, is measured through the presence of statistically detectable increasing or decreasing trends in selected metrics, both inside MPAs and from similar coral reefs outside of MPAs. Selected metrics were fish species richness; biomass of all fish and key functional and taxonomic groups (herbivores and carnivores, groupers, snappers, parrotfish and surgeonfish); and other important fishery species and measures of benthic composition (percent cover of hard coral, macroalgae, crustose coralline algae, and density of soft corals). The inside versus outside comparison of performance is supported by graphs of temporal trends, statistical confirmation of significant trends and comparison of the first half of the time series with the second half to determine if metric values are increasing or decreasing. This report, funded by NOAA’s Coral Reef Conservation Program, addresses two of the objectives of the USVI Coral Reef Management Priorities: 4 12 - Support the effective implementation of MPAs; and 4 13 - Assess the effectiveness of MPAs in meeting their stated management goals. The report also complements several recent initiatives to support effective management of MPAs in the USVI. In 2011, an MPA Management Assessment Checklist was conducted by NOAA staff to assess the current status of MPA implementation and management, as well as to determine management strengths and needs. In March 2012, local managers of protected areas formed the Virgin Islands Marine Protected Area Network to increase effectiveness of ocean resource protection through improved interagency coordination, communication and collaboration among the Virgin Islands Department of Planning and Natural Resources (VI-DPNR), NPS, NOAA and other supporting partners. This report is intended to provide these managers with the best-available data on status and trends for key biota of coral reef ecosystems within their jurisdiction. The information, data synthesis, interpretation and recommendations can help focus management actions and goal setting, inform outreach products and adjust expectations regarding ecological performance for other MPAs in the region. The data presented here also provide important baselines required for tracking MPA performance through future monitoring efforts. Although rare, such evaluations are increasingly important because of increased applications of MPAs as place-based management tools in coral reef conservation. iii Key Findings Are MPAs Working in the U.S. Virgin Islands? This synthesis of the ecological performance analyses from three MPAs that were intensively surveyed for 8 to 10 years provides a unique assessment of regional MPA performance. Comparisons of the proportion of observed increasing or decreasing trends in metrics indicate that reefs outside MPAs experienced greater decreases in coral reef ecosystem status than coral reefs inside MPAs. For instance, 27% of 17 key metrics inside MPAs revealed negative trends compared with 32% of metrics for coral reefs outside MPAs. However, regardless of differences in MPA size, age, regulations and enforcement, none of the three MPAs assessed in this report exhibited increases in total fish biomass or in live hard coral cover. MPA Performance for Coral Reef Fishes • Regardless of differences in fishing regulations, none of the assessed Federal MPAs in the USVI exhibited an increase in fish biomass, fish species richness, nor the abundance of herbivorous fishes on coral reefs inside their boundaries between 2002 and 2011. Adult parrotfish decreased in the Virgin Islands National Park and adult surgeonfish decreased inside Buck Island Reef National Monument. • Adult groupers decreased in abundance inside the two no-take National Monuments (Buck Island Reef National Monument and Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument). • The largest-bodied grouper (Epinephelinae), snapper (Lutjanidae) and large parrotfishes with high vulnerability to fishing were very rare in USVI’s MPAs. MPA Performance for Corals and Algae • No positive MPA effects were detected for coral and algae metrics. Patterns of change were similar inside and outside MPAs suggesting that the same broad scale drivers (e.g., thermal stress, disease, runoff) are operating to influence benthic communities across the region. • The amount of live coral cover has decreased in all three MPAs and across the region, regardless of differences in regulations and human uses. • Long-term monitoring of benthic communities at permanent sites by the NPS’ Inventory and Monitoring Program also revealed major changes in key biotic indicators of coral reef health, specifically the decline in coral cover following the 2005 global mass bleaching event and disease outbreak, and subsequent increase in macroalgae. This event is widely acknowledged as the single most important cause of coral mortality in the USVI during the study period. Overview and Key Findings iv Recommendations • The no-take MPAs studied here were established in 2003 and monitored until 2010/2011 (8/9 years post establishment). Research suggests that older (>10 years) MPAs usually perform better than younger MPAs, therefore, continued or increased regulations on fishing is eventually expected to yield a positive effect if suitable habitat quality is available to support replenishment. • MPAs are connected to other places through movements of animals, therefore, what happens outside an MPA can impact what is happening inside an MPA. This is particularly relevant to the need to provide greater protection for nursery habitat and spawning sites for highly mobile fish vulnerable to fishing. For example, fishing at fish spawning aggregations outside MPAs and factors that impact the quality of nursery habitat inside and outside MPAs should be evaluated. • A greater understanding of fish movement and connectivity between critical habitat in the life cycle of key fish species will be essential to determine the dependency of MPAs on surrounding features of the seascape that can be used to better target and prioritize management strategies. Research on connectivity between the existing MPAs is needed to determine interdependency across the network, which could influence the way MPAs are managed. • Evaluation of the ecological implications of MPA size and shape may help to inform future options for MPA design to optimize ecological performance. • Although the presence of NPS Rangers increased the public’s awareness and compliance with park regulations, NPS enforcement records also demonstrate that illegal fishing inside no-take MPAs occurred throughout the survey period. Outreach campaigns to improve voluntary compliance in the fishing community, and evaluation of existing enforcement effort, techniques, and tactics could help address illegal fishing inside MPAs. On St. Croix, Buck Island Reef National Monument and East End Marine Park could create joint outreach, management and monitoring initiatives that would share resources and reach a broader section of the community. • Information on patterns of fishing effort, behavioral response to MPAs, and the effectiveness of existing regulations is insufficient to evaluate the impact of the full range of fishing activities on MPA performance. Social science research is needed to describe patterns of human use in and around MPAs. • Evaluation of regulations to assess interpretability, compliance, and consistency and potential for synergy among MPA units. • Activity in the watersheds that drain into MPAs can negatively impact coral reef health and the quality of fish habitat. Strategies that promote awareness of best practices for urban development, including road building, are particularly important on high relief tropical islands. • Many of the biological metrics showed no significant trend for coral reefs inside MPAs, whereas outside areas declined, suggesting a possible positive MPA effect in maintaining populations. Targeted monitoring of fish populations at several permanent sites to complement the island-wide surveys by NOAA’s National Coral Reef Monitoring Program will be required to determine if the potential MPA effects suggested in this report progress to detectable increases for fish abundance and biomass in the future. Overview and Key Findings v • Habitat structure and benthic composition of coral reefs has changed in the past few decades and little is known about the impact of this change on the reefs carrying capacity for fishes. It is possible that MPA performance is being hampered by declining habitat quality, and research to address this is necessary to help align expectations for the potential function that MPAs provide in future replenishment of local fish populations. • Although macroalgae was decreasing across the study area, it still dominated the benthic community, outcompeting corals. Management could evaluate novel interventions, such as sea urchin transplantation to priority areas. This experimental approach could be conducted in collaboration with academic researchers. Overview and Key Findings vi Regional Profile Virgin Islands Archipelago, Leeward Islands of the Lesser Antilles National status Organized Unincorporated U.S. Territory Main islands and population size in 2010 : St. Croix (218 km2 with 50,601 residents) St. Thomas (83 km2 with 51,634 residents) St. John (52 km2 with 4,170 residents) Visitors: 2.55 million visitors in 2010 Fishing Licensed commercial fishermen (2008) St. Thomas/St. John: 160 St. Croix: 223 Unknown number of recreational fishers Unknown number of unlicensed fishers MPA Governance Territorial Government MPAs 1 Marine Park (149 km2) 18 Areas of Particular Concern (503 km2) Federal Government MPAs National Park Service 2 National Monuments (128 km2) 1 National Park (24 km2) NOAA Caribbean Fishery Management Council 3 Offshore Fishery Closures (58 km2) Co-managed MPAs Federal and Territorial 1 Historic Park and Ecological Preserve (25 km2) 1 Fishery Closure (9km2) Map of US Virgin Islands 1 C. Rogers (USGS) MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands Seascapes of the Virgin Islands A complex mosaic of interconnected patches of coral reef, seagrasses, mangroves and sandy sediments exist across the insular shelf of the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI). These seascapes support diverse and highly productive communities of marine organisms with over 40 species of coral, including several listed under the Endangered Species Act, more than 400 species of fish, four species of sea turtle and at least eleven species of whale and dolphin. Coral reefs and associated habitats of the USVI provide important economic, cultural, social, and environmental values and benefits to people. In 2011, the economic value of coral reefs in the USVI was estimated at almost USD $200 million annually1. 1 van Beukering, P.J.H., L. Brander, B. van Zanten, E. Verbrugge and K. Lems (2011) The Economic Value of the Coral Reef Ecosystems of the United States Virgin Islands. Report number R-11/06. Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Amsterdam. MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands 2 Aerial photo of Lameshur Bay in St. John, USVI. Credit: US Army Corps of Engineers Ecosystem Threats & Stressors Coral reef ecosystems of the USVI are deteriorating due to a wide range of interacting stressors that have reduced habitat quality for corals and other reef associated animals. In 2008, the national report on coral reef ecosystems indicated that the status of coral reef ecosystems in the USVI was poor, due primarily to elevated sea water temperature that had caused coral bleaching and an increase in coral diseases; physical damage from hurricanes and tropical storms; coastal development that has increased sedimentation and pollution in coastal waters; and fishing that has reduced the abundance of many reef fish, including plant eaters such as parrotfishes and surgeonfishes2. Despite establishment of marine protected areas (MPAs) and other conservation actions, the amount of mangrove forest and living coral have declined in the past 30 years, and populations of large-bodied fishes, including the largest grouper, snapper and parrotfish species, are increasingly rare. Since 2008, a new threat has emerged with the invasive lionfish that has spread rapidly across the region and an invasive Indo-Pacific seagrass, Halophila stipulacea, that is rapidly displacing native Atlantic species across the Eastern Caribbean3. 2 Waddell, J.E. and A.M. Clarke (eds.). 2008. The State of Coral Reef Ecosystems of the United States and Pacific Freely Associated States: 2008. NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 73. Silver Spring, MD. 569 pp. 3 Willette, D.A., J. Chalifour, A.O.D. Debrot, M.S. Engel, J. Miller, H.A. Oxenford, F.T. Short, S.C.C. Steiner, and F. Védie. 2014. Continued expansion of the trans-Atlantic invasive marine angiosperm, Halophila stipulacea, in the Eastern Caribbean. Aquatic Botany 112: 98-102. MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands 3 Timeline of destructive events in USVI . MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands 4 History of MPAs in the U.S. Virgin Islands Following the establishment of the land portion of the Virgin Islands National Park in 1956, the Virgin Islands government and St. Thomas and St. Croix Chambers of Commerce, jointly with the U.S. Department of the Interior, conducted a survey of recreational needs, sites, and services in the USVI. This study identified areas of high ecological significance to support the development of a Territorial Park System. In the early 1960s, Buck Island Reef National Monument and Virgin Islands National Park were designated, becoming some of the world’s first coral reef MPAs. Time line of historica l MPA events in th e USVI. MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands 5 1990 2000 2010 1987 USVI government Marine Reserve and Wildlife Sanctuary (MRWS) Act 5294 Development of management plans for APCs 1991 1992 U.S. Omnibus Act creates Salt River Bay National Historical Park and Ecological Preserve Year round closure of Red Hind spawning site, Lang Bank, St. Croix 1993 Salt River Bay MRWS established 1995 U.S. Omnibus Territories Act creates USVI Territorial Park Commission 1992 Compass Point MRWS established 1992 1993 Seasonal fishery closure for Mutton Snapper Spawning site, St. Croix 1994 Cas Cay / Mangrove Lagoon and St. James MRWS established 2005 Fishery closure for Grammanik Bank 2001 Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument established 2003 St. Croix East End Marine Park established 2000 Small Pond at Frank Bay MRWS established Year round fishery closure of Hind Bank Marine Conservation District 1999 Expansion of Buck Island Reef National Monument 2001 Coordination of St. Thomas East End Reserves begins 2008 Formation of Marine Protected Area working group (VI MPA Network) 2012 1989 Seasonal fishery closure for Hind Bank Marine Conservation District 2014 USVI joins Caribbean Challenge MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands Photo of symmetrical brain coral in mangroves with juvenile foureye butterflyfish. Credit: C. Rogers (USGS) Types and Locations of MPAs National Parks The U.S. Federal Government manages MPAs in the USVI primarily through the National Park Service (NPS) of the U.S. Department of Interior and the Caribbean Fisheries Management Council, funded by the U.S. Department of Commerce’ National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). In 1962, U.S. Congress extended the Virgin Islands National Park on St. John to include 5,650 acres of submerged lands “to preserve for the benefit of the public significant coral gardens, marine life, and seascapes.” In 1976, the Virgin Islands National Park was designated by UNESCO as an international Biosphere Reserve. In 1978, the legislation establishing the Virgin Islands National Park was amended to add Hassel Island in Charlotte Amalie Harbor on St. Thomas. In 1992, Salt River Bay National Historical Park and Ecological Preserve was established with agreement in Congress that it be co-managed by NPS and the Government of the USVI to preserve “prehistoric and colonial-era archaeological sites, as well as extensive mangroves, coral reefs and a submarine canyon.” MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands 7 National Monuments National Monuments are established through Presidential Proclamation via the Antiquities Act of 1906 for the “protection of objects of historic and scientific interest... confined to the smallest area compatible with the proper care and management of the objects to be protected.” The first Monument was declared off the northeastern shore of St. Croix in 1961 as Buck Island Reef National Monument to protect “one of the finest marine gardens in the Caribbean Sea.” In 2001, Buck Island Reef National Monument was expanded by President W.J. Clinton’s Presidential Proclamation (7392) to increase protection for interconnected habitats, threatened species and culturally significant objects of interest. Also in 2001, Proclamation 7399 declared a new Monument, Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument, off the north and south shores of St. John, to further the existing protection by including all elements essential to the “long-term sustenance of a Caribbean tropical marine ecosystem.” Federal Fishery Closures (Seasonal & Year Round) In response to historical overfishing at important multi-species fish spawning aggregations, several fishery closures were established by the Caribbean Fishery Management Council with participation from the local fishing community. Offshore closures in Federal waters include the Hind Bank Marine Conservation District (year round closure) and Grammanik Bank (seasonal closure & gear restrictions) on the shelf edge south of St. Thomas, and the Red Hind closure at Lang Bank (seasonal closure & gear restrictions) on the eastern tip of the St. Croix insular shelf. The Mutton Snapper closure (seasonal & gear restrictions) located on the southwestern corner of St. Croix spans both Territorial and Federal waters and is co-managed by Caribbean Fishery Management Council and the Virgin Island Department of Planning and Natural Resources (VI- DPNR), with support from U.S. Coast Guard. Fishing of several vulnerable species is prohibited in the U.S. Caribbean Exclusive Economic Zone Federal and Territorial waters, including: midnight parrotfish (Scarus coelestinus), blue parrotfish (Scarus coeruleus), rainbow parrotfish (Scarus guacamaia), Nassau grouper (Epinephelus striatus) and goliath grouper (Epinephelus itajara). Seasonal species closures exist for specific large-bodied grouper and snapper species. Trammel nets are prohibited throughout the USVI and surface gill nets are restricted to baitfish only. Catch limits and size restrictions on specific species also exist (http://www.caribbeanfmc.com/). How much of the coastal sea is protected by MPAs? 12% of USVI waters (Federal and Territorial) designated as MPAs (including APCs), 7% without APCs 35% USVI coastal sea (up to 3 nm offshore) designated as MPAs (including APCs), 18% without APCs 3% Federal waters (3-9 nm offshore) designated as MPAs MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands 8 Areas of Particular Concern & Territorial Marine Parks Areas of Particular Concern were declared by the USVI Coastal Zone Management Act of 1978 due to their special significance. After consideration of the criteria suggested for “Area of Particular Concern” designation by the 15 CFR Part 923 regulations, VI-DPNR incorporated those areas that were relevant to the Virgin Islands based on seven categories: Significant Natural Areas; Culturally Important Areas; Recreation Areas; Developed Areas; Hazard Areas; Mineral Resources and Prime Industrial and Commercial Areas. Eighteen sites were selected as Areas of Particular Concern, with boundaries including land areas and most extending out to the Territorial three nautical mile limit. Management and designation of Areas of Particular Concern is guided by The Coastal Land and Water Use Plan. Draft management plans were developed for some Areas of Particular Concern in 1993, but these have not been formally implemented. Several of the Areas of Particular Concern with highest conservation priority guided the formation of the territorial MPAs of St. Thomas East End Reserves and St. Croix’s East End Marine Park4. Many marine areas in the USVI now have multiple designations, particularly where Areas of Particular Concern overlap with other MPA designations5. For example, the Salt River Bay area is designated as the Salt River Bay Area of Particular Concern and Area of Preservation and Restoration; Salt River Bay Marine Reserve and Wildlife Sanctuary; and Salt River National Historical Park and Ecological Preserve. Marine Sanctuaries & Wildlife Reserves Between 1992 and 2000, five Marine Reserve and Wildlife Sanctuaries were established as permanent year- round no-take MPAs supported by both the Wildlife and Marine Sanctuaries Act of 1980 (Act No. 5229), and the Virgin Islands Code Title 12, Chapter 1, Sections 94, 96, and 97 authorized in 1994. These MPAs were designated specifically to offer high protection for critical habitat for species of fishery value and for recreational and educational purposes. Three of the MPAs (Cas Cay and Mangrove Lagoon, St. James, and Compass Point Pond) are located on the East End of St. Thomas and are now integrated into the St. Thomas East End Reserves. Small Pond at Frank Bay is located on St. John and Salt River is located on the northern shore of St. Croix. Although broadly categorized as no-take areas, fishing from the shoreline is allowed under permit at St. James and portions of Cas Cay and Mangrove Lagoon. The reserves are managed by VI-DPNR’s Division of Fish and Wildlife and regulations enforced by VI-DPNR’s Division of Environmental Enforcement. 4 U.S. Virgin Islands Marine Resources and Fisheries Strategic and Comprehensive Conservation Plan. 2005. VI Department of Planning and Natural Resources. St Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands. 5 Gardner, L. 2002. Management framework for a network of marine protected areas (MPAs) for the U.S. Virgin Islands. University of the Virgin Islands and VI Department of Planning and Natural Resources. MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands National MPA networks By 2012, the St. Croix East End Marine Park and the St. Thomas East End Reserves had joined the four MPAs (Virgin Islands National Park, Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument, Buck Island National Monument, and Salt River Bay National Historical Park and Ecological Preserve) managed by the Department of Interior (National Monuments and National Parks) as members of the U.S. National System of MPAs formed in response to Executive Order 13158-Marine Protected Areas (2000). The National System of MPAs develops a scientifically based, comprehensive national system of MPAs representing diverse U.S. marine ecosystems, and the Nation’s natural and cultural resources6. In 2012, the Virgin Islands MPA community established the Virgin Islands MPA Network to improve coordination, cooperation, communication, and collaboration among USVI MPAs within the National MPA Network. 6 NOAA MPA Center. 2008. Framework for the national system of marine protected areas of the United States of America. http:// marineprotectedareas.noaa.gov/nationalsystem/framework/ MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands Photo of juvenile grouper in seagrass in the USVI. 10 1 2 3 4 5 Maps of National Monuments and National Parks (blue and red) and Fishery Closures (black) of St. Thomas and St. John (top) and St. Croix (bottom). Brown shading represents shallow (<35 m) hard bottom substrate. 1. Buck Island Reef National Monument (1961-2001) 2. Expanded Buck Island Reef National Monument (2001+) 3. Salt River Bay Historical Park & Ecological Preserve 4. Mutton Snapper Spawning Aggregation Area 5. Red Hind Spawning Aggregation Area - Lang Bank St. John 5 5 5 4 1 2 3 1. Red Hind Bank Marine Conservation District 2. Grammanik Bank Seasonal Closure 3. Hassel Island Historic District 4. Virgin Islands National Park 5. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands 11 Maps of Areas of Particular Concern (APC; purple outline) and Territorial MPAs (solid purple) of St. Thomas and St. John (top) and St. Croix (bottom). Brown shading represents shallow (<35 m) hard bottom substrate. MSWR= Marine Sanctuary and Wildlife Reserve. MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands 6 7 5 4 1 2 3 8 9 10 APCs 1. Frederiksted APC 2. Sandy Point APC 3. Southshore Industrial APC 4. Great Pond Bay APC 5. East End APC 6. Southgate Pond/Chenay Bay APC 7. St. Croix Coral Reef System APC 8. Christiansted APC 9. Salt River/Sugar Bay APC Territorial MPAs 10. East End Marine Park 11. Salt River MSWR 11 5 5 4 1 2 3 6 7 8 11 10 9 Territorial MPAs 5. Cas Cay/Mangrove Lagoon MSWR 7. St. James and Compass Point Pond MSWR 12. St. Thomas East End Reserve (5 and 7 combined) 13. Small Pond at Frank Bay MSWR APCs 1. Botany Bay APC 2. Magens Bay APC 3. Mandahl Bay APC 4. St. Thomas Harbor APC 6. Mangrove Lagoon/Benner Bay APC 8. Vessup Bay/East End APC 9. Enighed Pond/Cruz Bay APC 10. Chocolate Hole/Great Cruz Bay APC 11. Coral Bay APC 13 12 MPAs with Fishing Regulations There are a wide range of fishing regulations across MPAs of the USVI, with most management units offering opportunities for commercial and recreational fishing. On St. Croix, fishing is allowed in the offshore areas of East End Marine Park, but for inshore no-take and recreation zones, fishing is allowed only from the shoreline. In contrast, Buck Island Reef National Monument is a fully no-take MPA. In Virgin Islands National Park commercial fishing is prohibited and non-commercial fishing is allowed only outside of all designated swim areas (and Trunk/Jumbie Bays). Fishing outside Virgin Islands National Park in Territorial waters is regulated by Territorial government laws. In contrast, the Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument is no-take except for catch of blue runner and baitfish. Around St. Thomas, fishing is allowed in Territorial waters except for St. James and Cas Cay/Mangrove Lagoon Marine Reserve and Wildlife Sanctuaries which are year round no-take MPAs, with limited shoreline fishing and baitfishing permissible under permit. NOAA fishery closures at spawning aggregations are either closed to fishing seasonally or all year round: Red Hind Bank Marine Conservation District is closed to fishing all year; Grammanik Bank, Red Hind and Mutton Snapper Spawning Aggregation Areas are seasonal closures, with a year-round ban on fishing with pots, traps, bottom longlines, gillnets or trammel nets. In both Federal and Territorial waters, Nassau grouper and goliath grouper are protected species and must be released if caught. Specific guidance on fishing regulations, including catch limits, is provided to fishers by the U.S. Caribbean Fisheries Management Council and VI-DPNR’s Division of Fish and Wildlife: http://www.caribbeanfmc.com/ pdfs/FishersBooklet%202012-JULY%20Final.pdf C. Rogers (USGS) MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands 13 Marine Protected Area Island Governing Institution Establish Date Level of Protection† Management Plan National Monuments and National Parks Virgin Islands National Park St. John NPS 1962 Zoned; Multiple-use w/ No-take In revision Virgin Islands Coral Reef NM St. John NPS 2001 Zoned; Multiple-use w/ No-take No Buck Island Reef NM St. Croix NPS 1961 No-take; Restricted Anchoring Yes (2012) Salt River National Historic Park and Ecological Preserve St. Croix NPS/VI-DPNR 1992 Fishing regulations in review In revision Territorial Marine Parks St. Croix East End Marine Park St. Croix VI-DPNR 2006 Zoned; Multiple-use w/ No-take Yes Marine Sanctuary and Wildlife Reserve St. Thomas East End Reserves St. Thomas VI-DPNR 2011 Zoned; Multiple-use w/ No-take Yes Cas Cay/Mangrove Lagoon MSWR St. Thomas VI-DPNR 1994 Zoned; Multiple-use w/ No-take No Compass Point Pond MSWR St. Thomas VI-DPNR 1992 Zoned; Multiple-use w/ No-take No St. James MSWR St. Thomas VI-DPNR 1994 Zoned; Multiple-use w/ No-take No Small Pond at Frank Bay MSWR St. John VI-DPNR 2000 No-take No Salt River MSWR St. Croix VI-DPNR 1995 No-take No Fishery Closure Areas and Marine Conservation Districts Red Hind Bank MCD St. Thomas NOAA-CFMC, VI-DPNR 1989 Year-round; No-take Yes Grammanik Bank St. Thomas NOAA-CFMC, VI-DPNR 2005 Seasonal Closure; No-take Yes Mutton Snapper St. Croix NOAA-CFMC, VI-DPNR 1993 Seasonal Closure; No-take Yes Lang Bank St. Croix NOAA-CFMC, VI-DPNR 1993 Seasonal Closure; No-take Yes Areas of Particular Concern Botany Bay APC St. Thomas VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No Magens Bay Watershed APC St. Thomas VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No St. Thomas Harbor and Waterfront APC St. Thomas VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No Mandahl Bay APC St. Thomas VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use Yes - Draft Mangrove Lagoon/Benner Bay APC St. Thomas VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No Vessup Bay/East End APC St. Thomas VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No Enighed Pond/Cruz Bay APC St. John VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No Chocolate Hole/Great Cruz Bay APC St. John VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No Coral Bay APC St. John VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use Yes - Draft Sandy Point APC St. Croix VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use Yes - Draft Frederiksted Waterfront APC St. Croix VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No Southshore Industrial Area APC St. Croix VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use Yes - Draft St. Croix Coral Reef System APC St. Croix VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use Yes - Draft Salt River Bay APC St. Croix VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No Christiansted Waterfront APC St. Croix VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use Yes - Draft Southgate Pond/Chenay Bay APC St. Croix VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No Great Pond Bay APC St. Croix VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No East End APC St. Croix VI-DPNR 1993 Multiple-Use No Federal Agencies: NPS – National Park Service, NOAA – National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, CFMC – Caribbean Fisheries Management Council Territorial Agencies: VI-DPNR – U.S. Virgin Islands Department of Planning and Natural Resources † Adapted from Wusinich-Mendez and Curtis (2007) List of MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands. MPAs of the U.S. Virgin Islands 14 Ecological Performance for Three Federal MPAs Evaluating MPA Performance Fish Populations Status and Trends Coral reef ecosystems of the USVI include a wide variety of fishes that are important to maintain a healthy and productive ecosystem that provides valuable goods and services for island communities and visitors. Over the past few decades, the number and biomass (weight) of fish on Caribbean coral reefs, particularly large fish such as grouper, snapper and big parrotfish, have declined considerably7. To better protect coral reefs and associated fishes, MPAs have been established in the Caribbean. A functionally intact fish community on healthy reefs is expected to include abundant herbivores and carnivores, including large- 7 Stallings, C.D. 2009. Fishery-independent data reveal negative effect of human population density on Caribbean predatory fish communities. PLoS ONE 4(5): e5333 Ecological Performance of MPAs 15 bodied species. In the USVI, declines in fish abundance, particularly of large-bodied economically important species has resulted in a functionally impaired fish community. The expectation for a well-protected MPA is that, over time, protection will result in a healthier reef, and where fishing is prohibited, fished populations will be replenished. Economic benefits for fisheries are thought to occur from the spillover of fish from the MPA into neighboring waters outside the MPA. Although this study does not examine spillover, a related study that tracked fish movements in and out of MPAs in the USVI provides direct evidence of spillover through fish movement out from MPAs into neighboring unprotected areas where they can be fished8. The performance of an MPA is measured and assessed to help resource managers evaluate their actions, set realistic expectations for performance and guide strategic decisions for future actions. We use a decade of fish survey data from the joint NOAA and NPS coral reef ecosystem monitoring project to examine trends in key fishery species, and groups of species (e.g., grouper), and the number of species (i.e., species richness) from coral reefs inside and outside MPAs. With statistical analyses this report determines if a trend exists over the monitoring period and whether a trend is increasing or decreasing inside the MPA compared with data from a structurally similar range of seascapes outside the MPA. These results represent status and trends for shallow water (<35 m) fish communities associated with coral reef and colonized hardbottom habitat types sampled during daylight hours. More details on the sampling design and analyses used can be found in the Appendix. Coral & Algae Status and Trends Over the past few decades, the composition of seafloor (benthic) communities and the structural complexity of Caribbean coral reefs have changed dramatically together with a decline in the occurrence and spatial coverage of living coral in many areas9,10. In the USVI, the major drivers of change have been thermal stress events and disease outbreaks, storms, poor water quality and the decline of key grazers of algae, such as parrotfishes and black spiny sea urchins8,9. A major thermal stress event in 2005 resulted in mass coral bleaching and subsequent disease causing widespread coral mortality across the region11. Declines in branching coral species of elkhorn (Acropora palmata) and staghorn (Acropora cervicornis) have led to these species being proposed as Endangered Species under the Endangered Species Act. 8 Pittman, S.J., M.E. Monaco, A.M. Friedlander, B. Legare, R.S. Nemeth, M.S. Kendall, R.D. Clark, L.M. Wedding and C. Caldow. 2014. Fish with Chips: Tracking reef fish movements to evaluate size and connectivity of Caribbean marine protected Areas. PLoS ONE 9(5): e96028 9 Rogers, C.S., J. Miller, E.M. Muller, P. Edmunds, R.S. Nemeth, J.P. Beets, A.M. Friedlander, T.B. Smith, R. Boulon, C.F. G. Jeffrey, C. Menza, C. Cal­ dow, N. Idrisi, B. Kojis, M.E. Monaco, A.Spitzack, E.H. Gladfelter, J.C. Ogden, Z. Hillis-Starr, I. Lundgren, W.B. Schill, I.B. Kuffner, L.L. Richardson, B.E. Devine, and J.D. Voss 2008. Chapter 8: Ecology of Coral Reefs in the U.S. Virgin Islands. pp 303-374. In: B. Riegl, R.E. Dodge (eds). Coral Reefs of the USA, Vol. 1. Springer. 803 pp. 10 Rogers, C.S. and J. Beets. 2001. Degradation of marine ecosystems and decline of fishery resources in marine protected areas in the U.S. Virgin Islands. Environmental Conservation 28(4): 312-322 11 Miller, J., R. Waara, E. Muller, and C. Rogers. 2006. Coral bleaching and disease combine to cause extensive mortality on reefs in U.S. Virgin Islands. Coral Reefs 25(3): 418-418 Ecological Performance of MPAs 16 MPAs typically include regulations to reduce negative human impacts to the seafloor and associated organisms, such as prohibiting anchoring and fishing and minimizing impacts from land-based sources of pollution. By controlling and minimizing threats to coral reef communities, MPAs are considered to help restore or maintain conditions that will ensure the growth and survival of vulnerable living corals. A global analysis on the ability of MPAs to prevent coral loss found that coral cover within MPAs remained constant, while coral cover on unprotected reefs declined with greatest effects in the oldest (15-30 years) MPAs12. Maintaining and restoring functionally diverse faunal communities, including herbivores, is thought to control algal growth on reefs and support coral and coralline algal settlement and growth. Expectations are that enhanced protection will slow or halt the degradation of coral reef ecosystems and promote recovery and resilience. Methodologies Survey Methods NOAA Methods Data on coral were collected as part of NOAA’s Caribbean Coral Reef Ecosystem Monitoring Project, a collaborative effort between NOAA’s National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science (NCCOS), NOAA’s Coral Reef Conservation Program, NPS and VI-DPNR. Biological surveys were conducted once a year to characterize, monitor, and assess the marine resources within three MPAs and the adjacent areas outside of the MPAs13. Survey sites were selected randomly from hardbottom and softbottom habitats, both within and outside the MPA. For the temporal trend analyses in this document, data were restricted to surveys collected in the MPA during the summer survey missions and on the most commonly occurring hardbottom types (pavement, aggregate reef, spur and groove, and patch reefs). This provided a focus on coral reefs and minimized variability from seasonal differences in fish abundance. The years of data used differed slightly among the three MPAs due to variations in the data collection. For both the fish and benthic analyses, data was included for years 2003-2010 for Buck Island Reef National Monument and 2002-2011 for Virgin Islands National Park. For Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument, data was included for years 2002-2011 for the fish analysis, but only 2003-2010 for the analysis of benthic metrics due to changes in the benthic data collection methods. A summary table and maps of the survey locations and counts are provided in the Appendix. For the assessment of occurrence of large bodied fishes all samples were used, regardless of habitat type. 12 Selig, E.R. and J.F. Bruno. 2010. A global analysis of the effectiveness of marine protected areas in preventing coral loss. PLoS ONE 5(2): e9278 13 Friedlander, A.M., C.F.G. Jeffrey, S.D. Hile, S.J. Pittman, M.E. Monaco and C. Caldow (eds.). 2013. Coral reef ecosystems of St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands: Spatial and temporal patterns in fish and benthic communities (2001-2009). NOAA Technical Memorandum 152. Silver Spring, MD. 150 pp. Ecological Performance of MPAs 17 All NOAA data used in this report is open access via the NOAA Coral Reef Monitoring Program Database (http://www8.nos.noaa.gov/bpdmWeb/queryMain.aspx). Surveys of benthic habitats and fish communities were conducted within a 25x4 m transect (100 m2), along a random compass heading at spatially random locations. Two divers performed the survey at each site. One diver was responsible for visually counting and estimating the size of fish, which were identified to species. Fish surveys were conducted along the transect using a fixed survey duration (15 minutes) regardless of habitat type or complexity. The number of individuals per species was recorded in 5 cm size class increments up to 35 cm based on fork length (distance from tip of mouth to point at which the caudal fin forks). Individuals greater than 35 cm were recorded as an estimate of the actual fork length to the nearest centimeter. The second diver collected data on the benthic cover. In Buck Island Reef National Monument and Virgin Islands National Park, the percent cover of multiple biotic cover groups was measured within five 1-m2 quadrats placed randomly along the 25x4 m transect. Hard corals were identified to species, while algae, gorgonians, and sponges were identified to morphological group. In addition, the abundance of gorgonian and sponge individuals within each quadrat was recorded. A Rapid Habitat Assessment method was used in Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument due to limited bottom times at the depths typically encountered on the Mid-Shelf Reef and deeper parts of Coral Bay. For this method, the diver estimated the percent cover of broad biotic cover groups (e.g., hard corals, algae, soft corals, sponges) within a 15-m diameter sampling area. No species specific data was collected. These standardized protocols have been used to monitor marine fish communities on all three islands of the USVI and in Puerto Rico14,15,16. 14 Monaco, M.E., A.M. Friedlander, C. Caldow, J.D. Christensen, J. Beets, J. Miller, C. Rogers, and R. Boulon. 2007. Characterizing reef fish populations and habitats within and outside the U.S. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument: a lesson in MPA design. Fisheries Management and Ecology 14(1): 33-40 15 Pittman, S.J., S.D. Hile, C.F.G. Jeffrey, C. Caldow, M.S. Kendall, M.E. Monaco, and Z. Hillis-Starr. 2008. Fish assemblages and benthic habitats of Buck Island Reef National Monument (St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands) and the surrounding seascape: A characterization of spatial and temporal patterns. NOAA Technical Memorandum 71. Silver Spring, MD. 80 pp. 16 Pittman, S.J., S.D. Hile, C.F.G. Jeffrey, C. Caldow, R. Clark, K. Woody, M.E. Monaco, and R. Appeldoorn. 2010. Coral reef ecosystems of Reserva Natural de La Parguera (Puerto Rico): Spatial and temporal patterns in fish and benthic communities (2001-2007). NOAA Technical Memorandum 78. Silver Spring, MD. 177 pp. Ecological Performance of MPAs 18 J. Miller (NPS) NPS Methods Benthic cover was monitored using the random sample selection and video monitoring protocols developed by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and NPS17,18. Study sites varied in size between approximately 7,000 to 40,000 m2 criteria of high coral cover, diversity and complexity, in combination with areas of particular interest to park managers or to maintain continuity with historical monitoring. At each study site, 20 ten- meter, permanent transects were randomly chosen by mapping the site boundaries, determining the total sample (transect) population, then randomly choosing from that population. Each transect was filmed along a fiberglass measuring tape with a digital video camera pointed down, 40 cm above the substrate. Adjacent, non-overlapping images (n=25-35) were captured from the video of each transect; 10 points were randomly applied to each captured image. The benthic feature under each random point was identified to greatest taxonomic resolution (species or functional group), entered into a Microsoft Access database, and summarized for varying analyses. 17 Miller, J. 2002. Using the AquaMap System at a Study Site. U.S. Geological Survey Technical Report. https://irma.nps.gov/App/Reference/ DownloadDigitalFile?code=486009&file=Coral_Monitoring_Aquamap_Protocol.pdf 18 Miller, J. and C. Rogers. 2002. Using Videography To Monitor Coral Reefs. U.S. Geological Survey Technical Report. https://irma.nps.gov/App/ Reference/DownloadDigitalFile?code=486002&file=Coral_Monitoring_Video_Protocol.pdf Ecological Performance of MPAs 19 Enforcement Data Analysis Methods Information about enforcement intensity and level of users’ compliance with regulations were compiled or reconstructed through: (1) unstructured informal interviews with the Chief Resource Managers, Superintendents, and Chief Rangers of each park; (2) review of available citation databases maintained by the Parks’ Chief Rangers; and (3) annual narrative reports written by the parks’ Superintendents. In addition, Compendium Reports were reviewed to identify additional closures, designations, or restrictions imposed by discretionary authority of the Superintendent. Enforcement intensity was broadly defined as the annual number of park rangers stationed at each park, because data on the number of hours and extent of areas patrolled by rangers were not available. Information on issued citations was classified into categories of infractions to create graphic displays of infraction incidence and occurrence for each park. These types of information represents mostly the expert opinions of the parks’ managers and do not adequately characterize temporal or spatial patterns in enforcement intensity or user compliance; however, they provide the best available measure of differences in enforcement and compliance among the MPAs. Clearly, the paucity of these data indicates a critical need for understanding. This could be achieved through enforcement and non-compliance studies which would help managers assess whether or not their policies and efforts would result in improved resource conservation and management. Analytical Methods Biological Metics For fishes, metrics of ecological performance focus on species that are targeted by the USVI fishery. Because fishing preferentially targets adult fish this report uses density of adult fish as a performance metric for fishery species since reduced fishing is, at some point, expected to result in an increase of adult fish. In addition, studies of MPA effects around the world frequently use changes in fish biomass to evaluate MPA performance. Metrics on fish biomass for key herbivores and carnivore species and fish families were selected, as well as biomass of all fish combined and the number of fish species as an estimate of fish species diversity. The selected species are relatively abundant and widely distributed across the study areas. Furthermore, the occurrence of sightings for less common, large-bodied, comparatively late maturing fish species with highest vulnerability to fishing (groupers and snappers) were calculated. Why do big fish matter? Recent research shows that removing the larger, older individuals of a population reduces the rate of stock replenishment. This impact is even greater with the removal of larger, older females, which often produce significantly more offspring, many of which are larger and faster growing with greater fat reserves. MPAs where fishing is excluded provide one option for protecting a wide range of ages and sizes. Big fish, such as grouper, snapper and some parrotfish, also have important functional roles making them appropriate targets for replenishment strategies. Ecological Performance of MPAs 20 Global evidence of MPA performance in replenishing fish populations. Adapted from Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. FA O, 2011 (fo otnote 19 ) Biological metrics for benthic composition of sedentary organisms focuses on indicators of coral reef health. The amount of live scleractinian (i.e. hard) coral cover is expected to increase inside MPAs if threats and stressors are reduced. Where fishing of herbivorous fish is restricted, macroalgal abundance is expected to be lower or to decrease over time compared with areas where herbivorous fish are being harvested. Reef substratum that is well grazed should allow calcareous coralline algae and juvenile corals to settle and grow. In some areas where conditions are less favorable for hard coral, macroalgae and fast growing soft corals may become dominant resulting in a so-called ‘phase shift’ in community composition to a less desirable status for coral reef ecosystems.20 The combined percentage cover of five coral species listed as “Threatened” under the Endangered Species Act (ESA) in 2014, including Mycetophyllia ferox, Dendrogyra cylindrus, and Orbicella spp. (O. annularis, O. faveolata, O. franksi), were analyzed. Acroporid species (A. palmata and A. cervicornis) were not included because they were too infrequently encountered in the spatially random surveys. Detecting Trends Inside & Outside MPAs Statistical trend analysis was applied to biological metrics from hardbottom habitat inside and outside the MPA (2002-2011). In this report, we employ a suite of statistical analyses to examine a decade of benthic survey data collected jointly by NOAA and NPS to determine whether trends in the abundance of key benthic organisms and groups of species associated with coral reefs are responding differently inside MPAs compared with reefs outside the MPAs. These analyses did not assess the ecological effects of MPAs on the 19 Fisheries management. 2011. 4. Marine protected areas and fisheries. FAO Technical Guidelines for Responsible Fisheries. No. 4, Suppl. 4. Rome, FAO. 198 pp. 20 Mumby, P.J., C.P. Dahlgren, A.R. Harborne,C.V. Kappel, F. Micheli, D.R. Brumbaugh, K.E. Holmes, J.M. Mendes, K. Broad, J.N. Sanchirico, K. Buch, S. Box, R.W. Stoffle, and A.B. Gill. 2006. Fishing, trophic cascades, and the process of grazing on coral reefs. Science 311:98–101. Ecological Performance of MPAs 21 Ecological Performance of MPAs composition of biological communities, but rather compared temporal trends in individual components that function as potential indicators of MPA performance. Details of the statistical methods are provided in the Appendix. For each biological metric, the mean (plus standard error) value for surveys conducted on coral reefs during approximately the same months in each year is shown on graphs for each metric. A positive MPA performance effect is indicated by: • A significant increasing trend in a biological metric (e.g., fish biomass, coral cover) inside the MPA over time when outside areas show no increase. For algae, a decreasing trend inside would indicate a positive MPA effect • No significant decrease inside the MPA when outside areas show a significant decrease is considered a potential positive effect. For algae, no significant increase inside when algae increased outside would indicate a potential positive MPA effect No positive MPA effect is indicated by: • No significant increase or decrease inside or outside • A significant decrease inside where outside areas show a significant increase (the converse for algae) • A significant increase outside where inside areas show no increase (the converse for algae) Each graph is accompanied by a series of arrows that indicate a statistically significant increasing or decreasing trend over time or no significant trend detected. The symbols are used in the subsequent results section to communicate the findings. An example follows: Example graph of metric accompanied by possible statistical results Ae rial photo of the west side of Buck Island, St. Croix. Credit: US Army Corps of Engineers A Closer Look: Three Federal MPAs 23 Buck Island Reef National Monument St.Croix 24 Location: Northeast coast of St. Croix U.S. Virgin Islands Origin: Established 1961 by Presidential Proclamation Expanded 1975 and 2001 by Presidential Proclamation Governance: U.S. Federal Government; U.S. Department of the Interior Enforcement: National Park Service Total area: 19,015 acres (176 acres land and 18, 839 acres marine) Water depth range: Shoreline to 1, 800 meters 25 About the MPA Buck Island is located a mile and a half off the north-east shore of St. Croix and is surrounded by a seascape of coral reefs, rocks, sand and seagrasses. In 1961, Buck Island and the surrounding submerged lands were designated a National Monument by President Kennedy (Presidential Proclamation 3443), with the purpose of preserving “one of the finest marine gardens in the Caribbean Sea.” The original monument encompassed approximately 850 acres (176 land, 704 water), and was zoned to include the Marine Garden on the south shore of Buck Island as a ‘no-take’ marine reserve1. The boundaries were expanded by 30 acres in 1975 to include additional submerged lands (Presidential Proclamation 4346), and expanded again in 2001 by 19,015 acres (Presidential Proclamation 7392), with new regulations making the entire monument a ‘no- take’ and ‘restricted anchoring’ zone. The managing agency, NPS, implemented Interim Regulations (36 CFR Part 7.73) in 2003 and completed the General Management Plan in 20122. 1 Pittman, S.J., S.D. Hile, C.F.G. Jeffrey, C. Caldow , M.S. Kendall, M.E. Monaco, and Z. Hillis-Starr. 2008. Fish assemblages and benthic habitats of Buck Island Reef National Monument (St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands and the surrounding seascape: a characterization of spatial and temporal patterns. NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 71. Silver Spring, MD. 96 pp. 2 National Park Service (NPS). 2012. Buck Island Reef National Monument Draft General Management Plan/Environmental Impact Statement. National Park Service, U.S. Department of the Interior. Boulder, CO. Seascape composition (% area) o f Buck Island Reef National M onument. Coral reef and hardbot tom=47%, uncon solidated sedimen t=47%, seagrass=3.5%, mangrove=<0.1%, unknown=2.4% Buck Island Reef National Monument 26 Human Uses Buck Island Reef National Monument is the most popular tourist destination in St. Croix, receiving between 40 and 50 thousand visitors annually between 1995 and 2008.2 Generally, the annual number of visitors declined between 1979 and 2012, with a precipitous reduction in 1990 (most likely due to Hurricane Hugo which occurred in 1989). In 2011, visitors (local and non-local) to Buck Island Reef National Monument spent approximately $2,018,000 on the local economy.3 Access to the Monument is limited to private vessels and concessionaires, and restricted access to vessels for hire. Anchoring within the monument is prohibited except in designated areas or by permit. Visitors use the park for recreational activities such as: snorkeling, SCUBA diving, hiking, sailing and boating, swimming, sunbathing, and picnicking2. 3 Cui, Yue, Mahoney, E. & Herbowicz, T. 2013. Economic benefits to local communities from national park visitation, 2011. Natural Resource Report NPS/NRSS/EQD/NRTR—2013/631. National Park Service, Fort Collins, Colorado. Buck Island Reef National Monument Annual number of visitors to Buck Island Reef National Monument from 1979-2012. Data were not available from 1999-2001. Line indicates advent of Hurricane Hugo. Source: National Park Service 27 Regulation & Stewardship Buck Island Reef National Monument has several special regulations in place to conserve the marine environment and life within its boundaries. NPS Rangers on St.Croix are primarily responsible for enforcing these regulations, but they also do the same at two other national parks: the Christiansted National Historic Site and the Salt River Bay National Historical Park and Ecological Preserve. In general, NPS Rangers work with local managers (for example the superintendent, administrative staff, and natural resource managers); the Virgin Islands Police Department; and U.S. Coast Guard to educate residents and visitors about safety, permitted activities, and other applicable conservation policies; as well as ensure the public follows park rules, local territorial laws, and fisheries regulations. While patrolling, NPS Rangers will often board and inspect boats; hand out brochures and maps; and ensure divers, boaters, and fishers know, understand, and follow local regulations. Such active education can be effective in increasing compliance and reducing repeat violations. Moreover, NPS Rangers often are the first responders to marine emergencies, such as vessel accidents and groundings, and they help maintain the public’s welfare by enforcing Title 18 of the U.S. Criminal Code of the United States in addition to enforcing resource conservation laws4. Information about the intensity of enforcement activity, such as the number of Rangers on staff prior to 1999, the number of hours patrolled by Rangers within the MPA, and the target species caught by illegal fishers was unavailable for inclusion in this report. Between 1999 and 2002, however, the Superintendent represented the main source of enforcement at the Monument because no Park Rangers were stationed in St. Croix.4 A Chief Ranger was appointed in 2006 and the first Enforcement Officer was hired in 2007. Since 2008, three fully commissioned Rangers have been employed at the Monument and are trained in law enforcement. The Superintendent’s annual narrative reports (2008 through 2010) indicate that the presence of NPS Rangers increased the public’s awareness and compliance with park regulations. For example, the Superintendent stated that the “Buck Island Reef National Monument anchoring permit registration and compliance program worked very well, boaters’ knowledge and education of park regulations increased, and visitor complaints decreased because of increased marine patrols and visibility of Rangers.” Not only did NPS Rangers record numerous user infractions within the MPA between 2009 and 2012, they also issued several violation notices and completed three arrests in 2010. 4 Tutein, J. 2010. Superintendent Annual Narrative Reports, 2008 to 2010. National Park Service. Christiansted, St. Croix. Buck Island Reef National Monument Number of enforcement officers and Chief Rangers for Buck Island Reef National Monument from 1999 to 2010.4 Purple line indicates when NOAA MPA monitoring began in 2001. 28 Number of infractions by year in Buck Island Reef National Monument. Damage is defined as disturbance to benthic substrates, such as illegal anchoring and groundings. Boating is defined as illegal mooring, location or abandonment of a vessel or personal watercraft. Data are unavailable before 2008. Source: National Park Service. MPA Performance Metrics This section presents the results of trend analysis for biological metrics inside and outside of Buck Island Reef National Monument (2003 to 2010). A written summary and interpretation of the findings is presented at the end of the section. Buck Island Reef National Monument 29 Fish Community Metrics M ean fish bio mass. No t rend ins ide MPA, no tren d ou tsid e MPA, no p ositive MPA effect . Me an s pe ci es ric hnes s. D ecre ase insi de M PA, no trend ou tside MPA, no positive MPA eff ect. M ean herb ivor e bi omas s. N o tr end insi de M PA, no t rend outsid e MPA, no positive MPA effect . Buck Island Reef National Monument 30 Fish Family & Species Metrics Mea n a dul t s nap per dens ity. Inc reas e in side MPA , decrease outside MPA, pos itiv e MPA e ffect. Mea n a dul t g rou per den sity . De crea se i nsid e MP A, n o trend out side MPA, no pos itiv e MPA e ffect. M e a n ad ult parr otfi sh d ensi ty. No t rend inside MPA , no trend outsi de M PA, no positive MPA effect. Buck Island Reef National Monument 31 Fish Family & Species Metrics M e a n ad ul t su rgeo nfis h de nsit y. D ecre ase trend insid e MPA, no trend outs ide MPA , no positive MPA e ffect. M ean gr unt (a ll s peci es) biom ass. No tren d in side MPA, n o trend outside MP A, n o posit ive MPA effect. M ea n r ed hin d bi omas s. N o tr end insi de M PA, no trend ou tside MPA, no posi tive MPA ef fect. Buck Island Reef National Monument 32 Fish Family & Species Metrics M ean co ney bi oma ss. De crea se i nsid e MP A, d ecre ase outs ide MPA, no positi ve M PA effe ct. M ea n y ell owt ail sn appe r bi omas s. N o tr end insi de M PA, no tren d outside MPA, no posi tive MP A effect. M ean re dba nd parr otfi sh b ioma ss. No t rend ins ide MPA, no tre nd outside MPA, no pos itive M PA effect. Buck Island Reef National Monument 33 Fish Family & Species Metrics Mean stoplight parrotfish biomass . No tr end ins ide MPA, dec reas e ou tsid e MP A, p ossi ble positiv e MPA effect. Mean ocean surgeonfi sh biomass. No trend inside MPA, no trend outside MPA, no positive MPA e f fec t. Meanqueen triggerfish biomass. No tre nd ins ide MPA, inc reas e ou tsid e MP A, n o po sitive MPA effect. Buck Island Reef National Monument 34 Species with mod erate to high vuln erability to fi shing: tiger grouper – 1 sighting; Nassau gro uper – 0 sightings; yellow fin grouper – 0 sigh tings; yellowmouth grouper – 0 sightings; dog snapper – 2 sightings; cub era snapper – 0 sigh tings; rainbow parr otfish – 14 sightings ; blue parrotfis h – 2 sightings; midn ight parrotfish – 1 sighting. Fish illustra tions by D iana Peeble s. Species with Moderate to High Vulnerability to Fishing Occurrence of large-bodied species with moderate to high vulnerability to fishing in shallow water (<35 m) habitat types within Buck Island Reef National Monument 2001-2010 (1149 underwater visual surveys) Buck Island Reef National Monument 35 Coral & Macroalgae Metrics H a r d c o r al c over . De crea se i nsid e MP A, n o trend out side MPA, no posi tive MP A effect. M a cr oa lg ae c over . De crea se i nsid e MP A, d ecre ase outside MPA, no posi tive MPA ef fect. C r u s t ose cora llin e al gae. Inc reas e in side MPA, i ncrease outsi de M PA, no positive MPA effect. Buck Island Reef National Monument 36 Coral & Macroalgae Metrics S o f t cora l ab unda nce. Inc reas e in side MPA, incre ase outside MPA, no positiv e MPA effect. New ly lis ted ES A co ral spec ies cove r. N o tr end inside MPA, no trend out side MPA, n o positive MPA effec t. Buck Island Reef National Monument * Endangered Species Act 37 The National Park Service has two long-term monitoring sites within Buck Island Reef National Monument. The following graphs display the trends in percent cover of coral/macroalgae/crustose coralline algae and soft coral at those locations (South Fore Reef and Western Spur and Groove) from 2003-2010. Coral & Macroalgae: NPS Long-Term Monitoring Sites Coral/macroalgae/crustose coralline algae cover fo r So ut h Fo re R eef and West ern Spur and Groove loc ations Soft coral cover f o r So uth Fore Ree f an d We ster n Sp ur a nd Groove l ocations South Fore Reef Western Spur & Groove Buck Island Reef National Monument 38 Summary MPA Effect on Fish Fish biomass for all species exhibited inter-annual variability with no significant increase or decrease detected inside or outside Buck Island Reef National Monument over the eight year monitoring period (2003-2010). Therefore, an MPA effect was not detected for fish biomass, which suggests that the Monument had not provided the replenishment function for fish biomass that has been widely reported for many other MPAs closed to fishing. Significant decrease inside the Monument was detected for four of 15 fish metrics, including species richness, density of adult surgeonfishes (key herbivores), density of adult groupers, and the biomass of coney (Cephalopholis fulva). Biomass of the red hind (Epinephelus guttatus) grouper showed a year-on-year decrease from 2007-2010 both inside and outside Buck Island Reef National Monument, but this was not a significant trend when examined across the entire monitoring period. In contrast, a significant increase in the density of all adult snapper inside Buck Island Reef National Monument was detected for the period 2003-2010, whereas for the same period, similar seascapes outside the Monument experienced a decline in adult snapper density. This result is indicative of a positive MPA Buck Island Reef National Monument 39 effect for snapper (Lutjanidae). The analyses here are unable to determine the causal mechanisms for the potential MPA effect, which could be attributed to greater protection provided by the no-take MPA, or some unmeasured ecosystem characteristic (e.g., habitat quality or predator-prey dynamics). Weaker evidence for a positive MPA effect occurred with stoplight parrotfish (Sparisoma viride) biomass, whereby the MPA was able to maintain populations inside while the population outside significantly decreased. When the first four years of the time series (2003-2006) was compared with the latter four years (2007-2010), adult surgeonfish density, especially ocean surgeonfish, was significantly lower inside the MPA in 2007-2010 than in 2003-2006. Eight of 15 fish metrics exhibited no detectable trend inside or outside Buck Island Reef National Monument, also providing evidence that for many metrics, the MPA had not been sufficiently re-building previously fished populations to detectable levels. In addition, one metric, queen triggerfish (Balistes vetula) biomass, exhibited an increase outside the Monument, but not inside the Monument, although this could be an artifact of preferential selection of deeper water habitat in outside areas. Status of Big Fish Only one individual of the large-bodied grouper species (a tiger grouper [Mycteroperca tigris]) and two individuals (dog snapper [Lutjanus jocu]) of the large-bodied snapper species were sighted from 1,149 underwater surveys (all habitat types), representing 287.25 hours of underwater observation within Buck Island Reef National Monument between 2001-2010. Nassau grouper, a species listed on the Endangered Species Act, was not sighted inside the MPA during the 10 year survey period, and yellowmouth (Mycteroperca intersitialis) and yellowfin (Mycteroperca venenosa) grouper also were not observed. Comparison with similar surveys conducted in 1979 revealed that tiger, Nassau and yellowfin grouper were present in low abundance around Buck Island.5 The largest bodied parrotfish (blue and midnight parrotfish) classified as “moderate vulnerability to extinction,” (www.fishbase.org) were rarely sighted in the MPA during 10 years of observations. The life-history traits of these large-bodied species results in a low resilience to environmental 5 Gladfelter, E.H. and W.B. Gladfelter. 1980. Environmental studies of Buck Island Reef National Monument III, St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands. West Indies Laboratory, Fairleigh Dickinson University. St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands. 116 pp. .. Key Findings • Buck Island Reef National Monument, a no-take MPA, is not producing a measurable increase in reef fish biomass within its borders. • Adult grouper, particularly the largest bodied species, have decreased in abundance inside the MPA. • Abundance of adult surgeonfish, a key herbivore group, decreased within the MPA. • Overall, the cover of live coral decreased inside the MPA between 2003 and 2010. • Future monitoring as part of an adaptive management process will be required to collect evidence to determine if longer term recovery has begun. Buck Island Reef National Monument 40 impacts, such as loss of reef structure and high vulnerablity to extinction through fishing6. Investigations are required to determine if current habitat is still suitable for large-bodied fish, and if the strength of connectivity between the MPA and spawning sites is sufficient for replenishment, or if illegal fishing is impeding recovery. Benthic Composition All benthic composition metrics, except species proposed for listing under the Endangered Species Act, changed significantly inside Buck Island Reef National Monument during an eight year survey period (2003- 2010) based on analysis of data from spatially random surveys. The average amount of live hard coral cover decreased, whereas crustose coralline algae and soft coral abundance increased inside the MPA. Inside the MPA, live hard coral cover decreased year after year after the mass bleaching event in 2005 until 2010. Although live hard coral also decreased outside the MPA, the trend was not statistically significant over the entire survey period due to inter-annual variability. The proposed Endangered Species Act coral species were higher in abundance inside the MPA, but did not increase or decrease significantly inside or outside the MPA. Coralline algae, an important indicator of coral reef health, exhibited high variability, but increased significantly both inside and outside the MPA. Coralline algae is thought to be an indicator of good habitat for juvenile corals. Average macroalgal cover (i.e., fleshy green, red or brown algae) was lower inside the MPA, but over the study period macroalgal cover decreased significantly both inside and outside the MPA. Four of the five benthic composition metrics exhibited similar trends inside and outside the MPA, suggesting that benthic composition is affected by stressors that influence processes across the study region. Overall, an increase in coralline algae and a decrease in macroalgae are considered positive trends required to support future recovery of hard coral populations through the increased availability of suitable surfaces for hard corals to settle, survive and grow. Further evidence for change is provided when the first four years of the time series (2003-2006) was compared with the latter four years (2007-2010). Live hard coral cover and macroalgal cover was significantly lower inside the MPA in 2007-2010 than in 2003-2006. In contrast, coralline algal cover was higher in the 2007-2010 period than 2003-2006. In addition, long-term monitoring of benthic communities at two permanent sites by the NPS’ Inventory and Monitoring Program also revealed major changes in key biotic indicators of coral reef health between 2003 and 2010. Although NPS monitoring was only conducted at two locations and cannot be extrapolated to the MPA as a whole, the data complements the spatially random surveys and more precise changes in benthic cover at the specific sites. At the “South Fore Reef” site within Buck Island Reef National Monument, average percent cover of live hard coral increased from 17.2% (±1.9) in 2002 to 19.6% (±1.6) in February 2005 (p<0.02), then declined precipitously to a low of 4.1% in 2007. The decline in average live coral cover was also very pronounced for the threatened Orbicella annularis complex, which declined from 13.6% in 2005 to 6 Cheung, W.W.L., T.J. Pitcher, and D. Pauly, 2005. A fuzzy logic expert system to estimate intrinsic extinction vulnerabilities of marine fishes to fishing. Biological Conservation 124: 97-111 Buck Island Reef National Monument 41 1.9% in 2007. The 79.3% decline in average coral cover reflects the overwhelming and destructive effect of the 2005-07 bleaching and disease event that affected the British Virgin Islands, USVI and Puerto Rico. The majority of coral mortality was caused by the disease epidemic (primarily the coral disease “white plague”) that followed the severe coral bleaching in 2005. Throughout this study, macroalgal cover has exhibited large inter-annual fluctuations. However, the abundance of cover by other benthic organisms varied less, with crustose coralline algae remaining very low (~1%) for most years, except in 2008 when it averaged over 6%. The cover of soft corals increased from an average of 6% in 2003 to 9% in 2005, and hereafter averaged 7-8% until 2010. Changes observed at the Western Spur and Groove Reef monitoring site were less severe. Average cover of live hard coral, at 5%, was relatively stable between 2003 and 2005, after which it decreased to approximately 3% between 2006 and 2010. Pseudodiploria strigosa, the dominant coral found at this site prior to the 2005 bleaching and disease event, comprised approximately 40% of the coral community, but it declined from 2.2% in 2005 to 0.6% in 2006; and it has since remained near this level. Average cover of the O. annularis complex remained between 0.1 and 0.4% from 2003-2010, and macroalgal cover remained fairly constant, ranging from 1-5% between 2003 and 2009, but then increased to 25% in 2010. However, this spike for macroalgal cover likely occurred due to the timing of the monitoring (October rather than March- June as in previous years). Crustose coralline algae existed only in low abundance at the Western Spur and Groove site. Permanent monitoring at these two sites, each with different biotic composition, highlights the spatial variability of coral reef change. Permanent monitoring at these two sites, each with different biotic composition, demonstrates how the pervasive nature of the 2005-2007 bleaching and disease event affected reef cover and composition regardless of initial coral cover levels. Buck Island Reef National Monument 42 Virgin Islands National Park St. John Ae rial photo of northshore of St. John in Virgin Islands National Park. Credit: US Army Corps of Engineers. 44 Location: North and south shore of St. John Origin: Submerged lands established in 1962 Governance: U.S. Federal Government; U.S. Department of the Interior Enforcement: National Park Service Total area: 5,650 marine acres Water depth range: Shoreline to 30 meters 45 About the MPA Virgin Islands National Park protects both land and water within its boundaries on St. John, USVI. The park encompasses 7,146 acres, or 54%, of land on the islands, and 5,650 acres in marine waters1. The land portion of the park was established in 1956 with the purpose of protecting the islands ecosystems, and expanded in 1962 to include a marine portion on the north and south shore of St. John2. The MPA allows non-commercial fishing except for several specific areas which are zoned as no-take areas. 1 National Park Service (NPS). 2012. Buck Island Reef National Monument Draft General Management Plan/Environmental Impact Statement. National Park Service, U.S. Department of the Interior. Boulder, CO. 2 Friedlander, A.M., C.F.G. Jeffrey, S.D. Hile, S.J. Pittman, M.E. Monaco and C. Caldow (eds.). 2013. Coral reef ecosystems of St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands: Spatial and temporal patterns in fish and benthic communities (2001-2009). NOAA Technical Memorandum 152. Silver Spring, MD. 150 pp. Seascape composition (% area) o f Virgin Islands National Par k. Coral reef and hardbotto m=29%, uncons olidated sedi ment=35%, seagrass=16%, mangrove=1%, unknown=19% Virgin Islands National Park 46 Human Uses Approximately 500,000 visitors visit the Virgin Islands National Park per year. In 2011, visitors (local and non- local) spent an estimated $58,649,000 on the local economy and supported over 1,000 jobs.3 Common visitor activities include camping, hiking and sunbathing within the land portion of the park; while snorkeling and boating are common activities in the marine portion of the park. 3 Cui, Yue, Mahoney, E. & Herbowicz, T. 2013. Economic benefits to local communities from national park visitation, 2011. Natural Resource Report NPS/NRSS/EQD/NRTR—2013/631. National Park Service, Fort Collins, Colorado. Annual number of visitors to the Virgin Islands National Park from 1979-2012. Source: National Park Service Virgin Islands National Park 47 Regulation & Stewardship The Virgin Islands National Park has several special regulations in place to conserve the marine environment and life within its boundaries. NPS Rangers are primarily responsible for enforcing regulations at the Virgin Islands National Park and the Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument. In general, NPS Rangers work with local managers (for example the Superintendent, administrative staff, and natural resource managers); the Virgin Islands Police Department; and U.S. Coast Guard to educate residents and visitors about safety, permitted activities, and other applicable conservation policies, and to ensure the public follows park rules, local territorial laws, and fisheries regulations. While patrolling, NPS Rangers will often board and inspect boats; hand out brochures and maps; and ensure divers, boaters, and fishers know, understand, and follow local regulations. Such active education can be effective in increasing compliance and reducing repeat violations. Moreover, NPS Rangers often are the first responders to marine emergencies such as vessel accidents and groundings, and they help maintain the public’s welfare by enforcing Title 18 of the U.S. Criminal Code of the United States in addition to enforcing resource conservation laws. Spearfishing for lionfish is permitted for users certified by the Caribbean Oceanic Restoration & Education Foundation (CORE). Information about the intensity of enforcement activity such as the number of Rangers on staff prior to 1999, the number of hours patrolled by Rangers within the MPA, and the target species caught by illegal fishers was unavailable for Virgin Islands National Park and Virgin Islands National Monument. Between 1999 and 2010 however, a Chief Ranger along with four to six Enforcement Officers worked to increase the public’s awareness and compliance with park regulations.4 The NPS Rangers also recorded numerous infractions and issued several violation notices to users between 1999 and 2010. For a complete listing of restricted activities, refer to the Superintendent’s Compendium - available on the park’s website (http://www.nps.gov/ viis/parkmgmt/upload/Superintendent-s-Compendium-2013.pdf). 4 Tutein, J. 2010. Superintendent Annual Narrative Reports, 2008 to 2010. National Park Service. Christiansted, St. Croix. N u m b e r of enf orce ment off icer s an d Ch ief Rang ers by y ear for the Virgi n Isl ands National Park fr om 1999 to 2010. Pur ple line indicates when NOAA MPA monitoring began in 2002. Virgin Islands National Park 48 Number of infractions by year within the Virgin Islands National Park. Damage is defined as disturbance to benthic substrates, such as illegal anchoring and groundings. Boating is defined as illegal mooring, location or abandonment of a vessel or personal watercraft. Data are unavailable before 2008. Source: National Park Service MPA Performance Metrics This section presents the results of trend analysis for biological metrics inside and outside of Virgin Islands National Park (2002 to 2011). A written summary and interpretation of the findings is presented at the end of the section. Virgin Islands National Park 49 Fish Community Metrics M ean fish bio mass. No tren d in side MPA , de crea se o utsi de M PA, no posi tive MPA effect. Me an s pe ci es r ichn ess. No tren d in side MPA , no tre nd outside MPA, no positive MPA effec t. Virgin Islands National Park M ean herb ivor e bi omas s. N o tr end insi de M PA, decr ease out side MPA, possi ble positive MPA e ffec t. 50 Fish Family & Species Metrics M e a n ad ult snap per dens ity. No tren d in side MPA , no trend outside MPA, no posi tive MP A effect. M e a n a dult gro uper den sity . No tre nd i nsid e MP A, decrease outside MPA, po ssib le posi tive MPA effect. M e an a du lt par rotf ish dens ity. Dec reas e in side MPA , decrease outside MPA, no posi tive MP A effect. Virgin Islands National Park 51 Fish Family & Species Metrics M e a n a d ult surg eonf ish dens ity. No tren d in side MPA, no tr end outside MPA, no positiv e MPA effect. Virgin Islands National Park M ean gr unt (al l sp ecie s) b ioma ss. No t rend ins ide MPA, no trend outsi de MPA, no positiv e MP A effec t. M ean re d h ind bio mass . No tre nd i nsid e MP A, d ecre ase outs ide MPA, po ssible positive MP A ef fect. 52 Fish Family & Species Metrics M ean co ney bi oma ss. No t rend ins ide MPA, dec reas e ou tsid e MPA, poss ible positive MPA effe ct. M ean yel lowt ail snap per biom ass. No tren d in side MPA , no trend outs ide MPA, no positi ve M PA effe ct. M ean re dba nd p arro tfis h bi omas s. D ecre ase insi de M PA, no trend ou tside MPA, no posi tive MPA ef fect. Virgin Islands National Park 53 Fish Family & Species Metrics Mean stoplight parro tfish biomass. No tr end inside MPA, no tre nd outside MPA, no positive MPA e f fec t. Mean ocean surgeonfish biomass . No tr end in side MPA , de crea se o utsi de M PA, poss ible pos itive MPA e ffect. Mean queen triggerfish biomass . No tr end ins ide MPA, no tren d ou tsid e MP A, n o po siti ve MPA effe ct. Virgin Islands National Park 54 Occurrence of large-bodied species with moderate to high vulnerability to fishing in shallow water (<35 m) habitat types within Virgin Islands National Park 2002-2011 (417 underwater visual surveys) Species with Moderate to High Vulnerability to Fishing Species with mod erate to high vuln erability to fi shing: tiger grouper – 0 sightings; Nassau gr ouper – 0 sightings; yello wfin grouper – 0 sig htings; yellowmouth grouper – 0 sightings ; dog snapper – 4 sightings; cu bera snapper – 0 sig htings; rainbow par rotfish – 14 sighting s; blue parrotfi sh – 3 sightings; mid night parrotfish – 1 sighting. Fish illustr ations by Diana Peebl es. Virgin Islands National Park 55 Coral & Macroalgae Metrics H a r d co ra l co ver. Dec reas e in side MPA , de crea se o utside MPA, no positive MPA effect. M ac ro al ga e cove r. N o tr end insi de M PA, decr ease out side MPA, n o positive MP A ef fect. C r u s to se cor alli ne a lgae cov er. Incr ease ins ide MPA, increa se outside MP A, n o posit ive MPA effect. Virgin Islands National Park 56 Coral & Macroalgae Metrics S o f t co ral abun danc e. I ncre ase insi de M PA, incr ease outsid e MPA, no positi ve M PA effe ct. N e w l y lis ted ESA cora l sp ecie s co ver. No tren d inside MP A, no trend o utsi de MPA, no positive MPA eff ect. Virgin Islands National Park 57 The NPS has five long-term monitoring sites within the Virgin Islands National Park. The following graphs display the trends in percent cover of coral/macroalgae/crustose coralline algae and soft coral at those locations (Mennebeck, Yawzi, Haulover, Newfound, and Tektite) from 2002-2011. Coral & Macroalgae: NPS Long-Term Monitoring Sites Coral/macroalgae/crustose coralline algae cover fo r Me nn eb ec k, Y awzi , Ha ulov er, Newf ound and Tek tite long-term monitoring st ations. Virgin Islands National Park 58 Coral & Macroalgae: NPS Long-Term Monitoring Sites Soft coral cover f o r M en nebe ck, Yawz i, H aulo ver, New foun d an d Te ktite long- term monitori n g s ta ti ons. Virgin Islands National Park 59 Summary MPA Effect on Fish None of the 15 fish metrics exhibited a significant increase inside the MPA indicating that the MPA had no clear positive effect in rebuilding local fish populations for key species. Fish biomass for all species combined exhibited inter-annual variability, with no significant increase or decrease detected inside Virgin Islands National Park over the ten year monitoring period (2002-2011). However, fish biomass decreased significantly on reefs outside the MPA. Overall, six metrics declined outside the MPA (fish biomass, herbivore biomass, adult grouper and parrotfish density, red hind [Epinephelus guttatus], coney [Cephalpholis fulva] and ocean surgeonfish [Acanthurus bahianus] biomass), while inside no decrease or increase was detected. This could be indicative of a positive effect whereby existing regulations or a reduction in fishing pressure is sufficient to maintain populations, but not strong enough to generate a significant increase in biomass or abundance for any species. Further monitoring is required to determine if the lack of a significant trend inside the MPA represents evidence for a positive MPA effect. Virgin Islands National Park 60 In contrast, adult parrotfish density, including redband parrotfish biomass, decreased significantly inside the Virgin Islands National Park. Furthermore, when the first five years of the time series (2002-2006) was compared with the latter five years (2007-2011), herbivore biomass and stoplight parrotfish biomass was significantly lower inside the MPA in 2007-2011 than in 2002-2006. Status of Big Fish No large-bodied grouper species were sighted from 417 underwater surveys, representing 104.25 hours of underwater observation within Virgin Islands National Park between 2002 and 2011. Nassau grouper (Epinephelus striatus), a species listed on the Endangered Species Act, was not sighted inside the MPA during the 10 year survey period, and yellowmouth (Mycteroperca interstitialis) and yellowfin (Mycteroperca venenosa) grouper were also not observed. This recorded absence is a measure of relative rarity and not confirmation that the species does not exist in the MPA. Dog snapper (Lutjanus jocu) was the only large bodied snapper species observed (four individuals) in 10 years of observations. The largest bodied parrotfish (blue parrotfish [Scarus coeruleus]) classified as having “moderate vulnerability to extinction,” were sighted only three times in the MPA. Midnight (Scarus coelestinus) and rainbow (Scarus guacamaia) parrotfish were not observed within the MPA. The life-history traits of these large-bodied species result in a low resilience to environmental impacts, such as loss of reef structure and high vulnerability to extinction through fishing. Benthic Composition Based on spatially random surveys, live hard coral cover decreased both inside and outside the MPA between 2002 and 2011. Coral species proposed for listing under the Endangered Species Act, however, showed no significant trend in live cover. Macroalgal cover inside the MPA was highest after the bleaching and disease event in 2005 and 2006, but no significant temporal trend in time was detected over the 10 year study period. The abundance of soft coral and crustose coralline algae increased inside the MPA. The observed multi-year decrease in live hard coral cover and increase in soft coral cover suggests that chronic stressors are impacting hard corals across the region, and that some of the newly available space is being colonized by soft corals. Crustose coralline algae, which is thought to be indicative of suitable settlement sites for some hard coral species, increased both inside and outside the MPA between 2002 and 2011. Further evidence of the changes observed were provided when the first five years of the time series (2002-2006) was compared Key Findings • Virgin Islands National Park, an MPA with non-commerical fishing allowed, is not producing a measurable increase in reef fish biomass within its borders. • Herbivore biomass was lower in 2007 to 2011 than 2002 to 2006 and adult parrotfish decreased in abundance inside the MPA. • The amount of live coral decreased inside the MPA. • Future monitoring as part of an adaptive management process will be required to determine if the MPA is able to maintain species populations when areas outside are decreasing. Virgin Islands National Park 61 with the latter five years (2007-2011). Live hard coral cover was significantly lower inside the MPA in 2007- 2011 than in 2002-2006, and coralline algal cover and soft corals were significantly higher in the 2007-2011 period than 2002-2006. Long-term monitoring at five permanent sites (Mennebeck Reef, Yawzi Reef, Haulover Reef, Newfound Reef, and Tektite Reef) by the NPS further indicates that benthic composition in the Virgin Islands National Park changed between 2002 and 2011. The data compliments the spatially random set by providing more precise changes in cover at individual sites. Monitoring at these sites showed the impact of the 2005 bleaching and disease event, with average coral cover (all sites combined) decreasing from 18.3% in 2005 to 8.2% in 20085. Episodic monitoring conducted during this time period demonstrated the majority of this 55% decline in average coral cover was due to the coral disease (white plague) outbreak that followed the massive bleaching of 2005. While changes in cover of the recently ESA listed O. annularis complex could not be detected with the spatially random dataset, the average cover of this species complex declined by 66%; from 14.8% in 2005 to 5.0% in 2008, at the NPS reef monitoring sites. In 2005, this slow growing but important reef-building species comprised 75.4% of the coral community on these reefs. In 2011, their relative abundance declined to 54% of the coral community. Substantial coral bleaching occurred again in Virgin Islands National Park in 2010, but episodic monitoring conducted at the NPS monitoring sites showed no significant outbreaks of coral disease or decreased in average coral cover. Average coral cover at these 5 sites has increased from a low of 8.2% (2008) to 10.2% in 2011. Macroalgae cover fluctuated during the study period from 13.4% (2003) to 28% (2011); however this does not represent a steady increase in macroalgae. Small increases in crustose coralline algae cover occurred at a few monitoring locations between 2002 and 2011. Similarly, soft coral cover increased slightly at Haulover and Mennebeck reefs while remaining fairly constant at the other locations. 5 Miller, J., E. Muller, C. Rogers, R. Waara, A. Atkinson, K.R.T. Whelan, M. Patterson, and B. Witcher. 2009. Coral bleaching and disease combine to cause extensive mortality on reefs in U.S. Virgin Islands. Coral Reefs 5(3): 418-418. Photo of coney in St. John, USVI. Virgin Islands National Park 62 Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument St. John Ae rial photo of Coral Bay in the Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument, St. John, USVI. Credit: US Army Corps of Engineers 64 Location: North and south shore of St. John and Coral Bay Origin: Presidential Proclamation in 2001 Governance: U.S. Federal Government; U.S. Department of the Interior Enforcement: National Park Service Total area: 12,722 marine acres Water depth range: Shoreline to 53 meters 65 About the MPA Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument was established in 2001 by Presidential Proclamation (Presidential Proclamation 7399). There are five distinct components of the MPA boundary which share a boundary with the Virgin Islands National Park (Virgin Islands National Park). Two enclosed areas on the south side of St. John, USVI, one area within the northeast part of Coral Bay and two additional areas on the north and northeast side of St. John. All of these areas adjoin the Virgin Islands National Park. The two largest areas of the monument to the south encompass large sections of the mid-shelf reef feature. The Coral Bay portion of the MPA was included in the monument to protect the mangrove lined bays and diverse coral reefs and seagrass beds that are recognized as important fish habitat. Unique, high diversity coral communities thrive along the rocky mangrove lined shores of Hurricane Hole within the Coral Bay portion of the Monument1. The entire MPA is a no-take reserve with a few exceptions, although very little is known about the level of fishing that occurs within the MPA. 1 Rogers, C.S. 2009. High diversity and abundance of scleractinian corals growing on and near mangrove prop roots, St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands. Coral reefs 28(4): 909-909. Seascape composition (% area) o f Virgin Islands Coral Reef N ational Monumen t. Coral reef a nd hardbotto m=14%, unconsolid ated sediment=77%, seagrass=0.9%, mangrove=0.1%, unknown=9% Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 66 Human Uses There is no visitor information available at this time. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 67 Regulation & Stewardship NPS Rangers are primarily responsible for enforcing Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument regulations along with those of the Virgin Islands National Park. Information about the intensity of enforcement activity at the Monument is not available separately from that of the Virgin Islands National Park. The provisions within the Virgin Islands National Monument prohibit all extractive uses with the exception of: • Fishing for blue runner, Caranx crysos, within the boundaries south of St. John • Bait fishing in a small designated area within the Coral Bay portion of the Monument • Boat anchoring is also prohibited, except for emergency or authorized administrative purposes. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument Number of infractions by year within the Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument. Damage is defined as disturbance to benthic substrates, such as illegal anchoring and groundings. Boating is defined as illegal mooring, location or abandonment of a vessel or personal watercraft Source: National Park Service 68 MPA Performance Metrics This section presents the results of trend analysis for biological metrics inside and outside of Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument (2002 to 2011). A written summary and interpretation of the findings is presented at the end of the section. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 69 Fish Community Metrics M ean fish bio mass. Decr ease ins ide MPA, dec reas e ou tsid e MP A, n o positive MPA effect. Me an s pe ci es r ichn ess. No tren d in side MPA , no tre nd outside MPA, no positive MPA effec t. M ean herb ivor e bi omas s. D ecre ase insi de M PA, decr ease out side MPA, no po sitive MPA effect. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 70 Fish Family & Species Metrics M e a n adu lt s napp er d ensi ty. No t rend ins ide MPA, no tre nd outside MPA, no p ositive MPA effect. M e a n a dult gro uper den sity . De crea se i nsid e MP A, decrease outside MPA, no pos itive M PA effect. M e a n ad ul t pa rrot fish den sity . No tre nd i nsid e MP A, decrease outside MPA, po ssib le posi tive MPA effect. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 71 Fish Family & Species Metrics M e a n mean adu lt s urge onfi sh d ensi ty. No t rend inside MPA , no trend outsi de M PA, no positive MPA effect. M ean gr unt (all spe cies ) bi omas s. N o tr end insi de M PA, no trend ou tside MPA, no posi tive MPA ef fect. M ean re d h ind bi oma ss. No t rend ins ide MPA, dec reas e ou tsid e MPA, poss ible positive MPA effe ct. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 72 Fish Family & Species Metrics M ean co ney bi omas s. D ecre ase insi de M PA, decr ease out side MPA, n o positive MPA eff ect. M ean ye llo wta il s napp er b ioma ss. No t rend ins ide MPA, no trend outsi de MPA, no positiv e MP A effec t. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument M ean re dba nd par rot fish bio mass . No tre nd i nsid e MP A, n o tr end outside MPA, no positive MPA effect. 73 Fish Family & Species Metrics Mean stoplight parro tfish biomass. No tr end inside MPA, no tre nd outside MPA, no positive MPA e f fec t. Mean ocean surgeonfish biomass . De cre ase in side MPA , de crea se o utsi de M PA, no p osit ive MPA eff ect. Mean queen triggerfish biomass . No tre nd i nsid e MP A, n o tr end outs ide MPA, no posi tive MPA effect. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 74 Occurrence of large-bodied species with moderate to high vulnerability to fishing in shallow water (<35 m) habitat types within Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 2002-2011 (471 underwater visual surveys). Species with Moderate to High Vulnerability to Fishing Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument Species with mod erate to high vuln erability to fi shing: tiger grouper – 0 sightings; Nassau gr ouper – 9 sightings; yello wfin grouper – 0 sig htings; yellowmouth grouper – 0 sightings ; dog snapper – 9 sightings; cu bera snapper – 0 sig htings; rainbow par rotfish – 0 sightings ; blue parrotfis h – 0 sightings; midn ight parrotfish – 0 sightings. Fish illustr ations by Diana Peebl es. 75 Coral & Macroalgae Metrics H a rd c or al cov er. Decr ease ins ide MPA, dec rease outsi de MPA, no po siti ve MPA effect. M ac ro al ga e co ver. No tren d in side MPA , no tre nd outside MPA, no posit ive MPA eff ect. er v lgae Co alline A Crustose coralline algae was not recorded in the Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument or ose C ust rC Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 76 Coral & Macroalgae Metrics Soft coral cover . De cr ea se ins ide MPA, dec reas e ou tsid e MP A, no posit ive MPA effec t. er v pecies Co al S or Coral species were not recorded in the Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument ed ESA* C ewly List N * Endangered Species Act Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 77 The National Park Service does not currently have any permanent monitoring sites within the Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument. Coral & Macroalgae: NPS Long-Term Monitoring Sites Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 78 Summary MPA Effect on Fish None of the 15 fish metrics exhibited a significant increase inside the MPA indicating that the Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument had no detectable positive effect in rebuilding local fish populations for key species. Five of 15 fish metrics decreased significantly inside and outside the MPA over the ten year monitoring period (2002-2011) including fish biomass, herbivore biomass, adult grouper density, coney (Cephalopholis fulva) and ocean surgeonfish (Acanthurus bahianus) biomass. The decrease was also confirmed when the first five years of the time series (2002-2006) was compared with the latter five years (2007-2011) for coney biomass and ocean surgeonfish biomass which was significantly lower inside the MPA in 2007-2011 than in 2002-2006. Two metrics declined outside the MPA (adult parrotfish density and red hind [Epinephelus guttatus] biomass), while inside no decrease or increase was detected. This could be indicative of a positive effect whereby the closure to fishing is sufficient to maintain populations, but not yet able to generate a significant increase in biomass or abundance for any species. Further monitoring is required to determine if the lack of a significant trend inside the MPA represents evidence for a positive MPA effect. Similarly, eight additional metrics exhibited inter-annual variability, but with no directional trend detected either inside or outside the MPA. These metrics also provided no evidence of an MPA effect. Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument Photo of french grunts in mangroves of Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument, St. John. Credit. L. Richter (NPS). 79 Status of Big Fish Nine individuals of large-bodied grouper (Nassau grouper [Epinephelus striatus]) and nine individuals of large bodied snapper (dog snapper [Lutjanus jocu]) were sighted between 2002 and 2011 from 471 underwater surveys representing 117.75 hours of underwater observation within Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument. Tiger (Mycteroperca tigris), yellowmouth (Mycteroperca insterstitialis) and yellowfin (Mycteroperca venenosa) grouper were not sighted inside the MPA. Cubera snapper (Lutjanus cyanopterus) was also not sighted. This recorded absence is a measure of relative rarity and not confirmation that the species does not exist in the MPA. The largest bodied parrotfish (blue [Scarus coeruleus], midnight [Scarus coelestinus] and rainbow [Scarus guacamaia] parrotfishes) classified as having moderate vulnerability to extinction were not sighted in the MPA during 10 years of observations. The life-history traits of these large-bodied species result in a low resilience to environmental impacts such as loss of reef structure and high vulnerability to extinction through fishing. Even with a cessation of fishing, these high vulnerability species may take longer than a decade to recover. For example, limited data on Nassau grouper suggests that females may not reach reproductive maturity until they are approximately 50 cm fork length and the species has an estimated low population doubling time of 4.5 to 14 years (www.fishbase.org). Benthic Composition Overall, live hard coral cover decreased significantly inside and outside of Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument from 2003-2010 with lowest coral cover recorded in 2007. Outside the MPA, changes in coral cover were more dramatic, falling from an average of 19% in 2003 to 6% in 2010. In contrast to the Virgin Islands National Park a significant decrease in soft coral cover was detected both inside and outside the MPA. Algal cover (all algal growth types) peaked in 2007 and 2008, but decreased after 2008 although no significant trend was detected either inside or outside the MPA over the study period. These patterns suggest that benthic habitats within the MPA and adjacent areas outside might be affected by similar stressors. Further evidence for change was provided when the first four years of the time series (2003-2006) was compared with the latter four years (2007-2010). Live hard coral cover was significantly lower inside the MPA in 2007- 2010 than in 2003-2006 and algal cover was significantly higher in the 2007-2010 period than 2003-2006. Key Findings • Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument, a no-take MPA, with a few exceptions, is not producing a measurable increase in reef fish biomass within its borders. • Adult grouper abundance and herbivore biomass decreased inside the MPA. • The amount of live coral decreased inside the MPA. • Future monitoring as part of an adaptive management process will be required to determine if the MPA is able to maintain species populations when areas outside are decreasing Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument 80 Summary and Synthesis Are MPAs Working in the USVI? A synthesis of the ecological performance analyses from three intensively surveyed MPAs across a period of 8-10 years provides a unique assessment of regional MPA performance in support of management. In addition, comparing the performance of individual metrics between MPAs with differing regulations for fishing is also informative for management. To address the question: Are MPAs working? This section of the report summarizes the results on status and trends from 20 biological metrics or indicators of MPA ecological performance and presents the synthesis as a list of findings. Information in this report can be used as a baseline for future assessments of ecological status and trends and also to set restoration targets for key species and develop targeted long term strategies to support recovery. Synthesis When comparing the proportion of negative and positive trends inside MPAs versus outside MPAs for 17 key metrics, it is apparent that outside MPAs were experiencing greater decrease in coral reef ecosystem health than coral reefs inside MPAs. For instance, 27% of all metrics inside MPAs were negative trends compared with 32% of metrics for coral reefs outside MPAs; 4% were positive trends inside MPAs and 6% were positive outside MPAs. For fish metrics, 22% of fish metrics inside MPAs were negative trends compared with 29% outside MPAs. Positive (i.e. , increasing) trends occurred for only one fish metric inside MPAs (density of adult snapper) and outside (queen triggerfish biomass) MPAs. Summary & Synthesis 81 MPA Performance for Coral Reef Fishes Productivity • None of the assessed Federal MPAs in the USVI exhibited an increase in fish biomass on coral reefs inside their boundaries between 2002 and 2011, regardless of differences in fishing regulations. Biodiversity • None of the assessed Federal MPAs in the USVI exhibited an increase in the number of fish species on coral reefs inside their boundaries between 2002 and 2011. Herbivores • None of the assessed Federal MPAs in the USVI exhibited an increase in herbivorous fish biomass on coral reefs inside their boundaries between 2002 and 2011. • None of the assessed Federal MPAs in the USVI exhibited an increase in the abundance of adult parrotfish and surgeonfish on coral reefs inside their boundaries between 2002 and 2011. • Adult parrotfish decreased in the Virgin Islands National Park and adult surgeonfish decreased inside Buck Island Reef National Monument. Key Fishery Species • Adult groupers decreased in abundance inside the two no-take National Monuments (Buck Island Reef National Monument and Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument). • Adult snapper abundance increased inside Buck Island Reef National Monument, but the increase was minor because abundance in the last four years of study (2007-2010) was not significantly higher than the first four years (2003-2006). • The largest-bodied groupers (Epinephelinae) with high vulnerability to fishing are very rare in USVI’s MPAs. A total of 2,037 underwater fish surveys from 2001-2011 sighted only nine federally protected Nassau grouper inside the MPAs. No sightings were recorded for yellowfin, yellowmouth or goliath grouper. • The largest-bodied snappers (Lutjanidae) with high vulnerability to fishing are very rare in USVI’s MPAs. A total of 2,037 underwater fish surveys from 2001-2011. • The largest-bodied parrotfishes (Scaridae) with high vulnerability to fishing are very rare in USVI’s MPAs. Fourteen rainbow parrotfish were sighted, but only five blue parrotfish and two midnight parrotfish were sighted from the surveyed MPAs. • Five of the seven fish metrics showing a decreasing trend outside the Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument were also decreasing inside the Monument, suggesting that similar drivers are operating inside and outside. Summary & Synthesis 82 MPA Performance for Corals & Algae • No positive MPA effects were detected for coral and algae metrics. Patterns of change were similar inside and outside MPAs suggesting that the same broad scale drivers (e.g., thermal stress, disease, runoff) are operating to influence benthic communities across the region. • The amount of live coral cover has decreased in all three MPAs and across the region, regardless of differences in regulations and human uses. • Long-term monitoring of benthic communities at permanent sites by the NPS’ Inventory and Monitoring Program also revealed major changes in key biotic indicators of coral reef health, specifically the decline in coral cover following the 2005 global mass bleaching event and disease outbreak, and subsequent increase in macroalgae. This event is widely acknowledged as the single most important cause of coral mortality in the USVI during the study period. Summary & Synthesis Synthesis of 17 performance metrics inside and outside the three federal MPAs. Positive change was assumed when metrics were trending in a direction that was considered desirable for restoring coral reef health (i.e., decreasing macroalgae and increasing live coral cover). ns = no trend detected due to high variability, green = positive trend, red = negative trend. BUIS= Buck Island Reef National Monument, VIIS= Virgin Islands National Park, VICR= Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument. Performance Metric Sampled area Inside BUIS Outside BUIS Inside VIIS Inside VICR Outside VIIS & VICR Fish Total fish biomass ns ns ns down down Species richness down ns ns ns ns Total herbivore biomass ns ns ns down down Adult snapper density up down ns ns ns Adult grouper density down ns ns down down Adult parrotfish density ns ns down ns down Adult surgeonfish density down ns ns ns ns Grunt (all species) biomass ns ns ns ns ns Yellowtail snapper biomass ns ns ns ns ns Red hind biomass ns ns ns ns down Coney biomass down down ns down down Redband parrotfish biomass ns ns down ns ns Stoplight parrotfish biomass ns down ns ns ns Ocean surgeonfish biomass ns ns ns down down Queen triggerfish biomass ns up ns ns ns Benthic components Coral cover (%) down ns down down down Macroalgal cover down down ns ns ns % assumed negative trend 29.4 17.6 17.6 35.3 47 % assumed positive trend 11.8 11.8 0 0 0 % no significant trend 58.8 70.6 82.4 64.7 53 83 Summary & Synthesis What Can Be Done to Help Ecological Performance of MPAs? • The no-take MPAs studied here were established in 2003 and monitored until 2010/2011 (8/9 years post establishment). Research suggests that older (>10 years) MPAs usually perform better than younger MPAs, therefore, continued or increased regulations on fishing is eventually expected to yield a positive MPA effect if suitable habitat quality is available to support replenishment1. • MPAs are connected to other places through movements of animals, therefore, what happens outside an MPA can impact what is happening inside an MPA. This is particularly relevant to the need to provide greater protection for nursery habitat and spawning sites for highly mobile fish vulnerable to fishing. For example, fishing at fish spawning aggregations outside MPAs and factors that impact the quality of nursery habitat inside and outside MPAs should be evaluated. • A greater understanding of fish movement and connectivity between critical habitat in the life cycle of key fish species will be essential to determine the dependency of MPAs on surrounding features of the seascape that can be used to better target and prioritize management strategies. Research on connectivity between the existing MPAs is needed to determine interdependency across the network which could influence the way MPAs are managed. • Evaluation of the ecological implications of MPA size and shape may help to inform future options for MPA design to optimize ecological performance. • Although the presence of NPS Rangers increased the public’s awareness and compliance with park regulations, NPS enforcement records also demonstrate that illegal fishing inside no-take MPAs occurred throughout the survey period. Outreach campaigns to improve voluntary compliance in the fishing community and evaluation of existing enforcement effort, techniques, and tactics could help address illegal fishing inside MPAs. On St. Croix, Buck Island Reef National Monument and East End Marine Park could create joint outreach, management and monitoring initiatives that would share resources and reach a broader section of the community. • Information on patterns of fishing effort, behavioral response to MPAs, and the effectiveness of existing regulations is insufficient to evaluate the impact of the full range of fishing activities on MPA performance. Social science research is needed to describe patterns of human use in and around MPAs. • Evaluation of regulations to assess interpretability, compliance, and consistency and potential for synergy among MPA units. • Activity in the watersheds that drain into MPAs can negatively impact coral reef health and the quality of fish habitat. Strategies that promote awareness of best practices for urban development, including road building, are particularly important on high relief tropical islands. 1 Edgar, G.J., R.D. Stuart-Smith, T.J. Willis, S. Kininmonth, S.C. Baker, et al. 2014. Global conservation outcomes depend on marine protected areas with five key features. Nature 506(7487):216-220. 84 • • • 85 86 Appendix Temporal Trend Analysis Temporal trends in fish community and select species metrics within and outside the MPA were analyzed across years (2002-2011). A generalized linear model (GLM), with year as a predictor variable, was used for species richness, total biomass and herbivore biomass. Biomass data were log-transformed before they were analyzed. Some density data contained a high number of zero values (i.e. sights where fish species were not observed) therefore a zero-inflated regression was used. The zero-inflated regression model consists of two components – a negative binomial regression model that estimated the number of fish, and a zero- inflated model that predicted the number of excess zeros. The appropriate fit of the regression models were determined with both the negative binomial and poisson distributions1. For species biomass variables, a two-stage approach (i.e., hurdle model) was used to separate the probability of presence of a species from its relative biomass. In the first step, presence/absence of the species is modeled with logistic regression to obtain a probability of presence. In the second step, non- zero values are modeled with a GLM and lognormal distribution to estimate the magnitude of biomass, given presence of the species. These two models were combined to estimate biomass for a given year. Temporal trends in percent cover of corals and algae were analyzed using the nonparametric Jonckheere- Terpstra (JT) test to examine whether significant change in percent cover occurred between 2003 and 2010. The JT test is a rank based procedure in which data are tested for a hypothesized sequential increase or decrease in the percent cover across years. 1 Cunningham, R. and D. Lindenmayer. 2005. Modeling count data of rare species: some statistical issues. Ecology 86(5): 1135-1142. Appendix 87 Maps of Sample Site Locations Appendix Ma ps of ha rd bo t om s ur ve y si te s sa mp le d in S t. J oh n (t op ) an d St . Cr oi x (B ot to m) . VIIS - Vir gi n Is la nd s Na ti on al P ar k, V IC R - Vi rg in I sl an ds C or al R e f Na ti on al M on um en t, B UI S - Bu ck i sl an d Re ef N at io na l Mo nu me nt . 88 Appendix Number of hardbottom surveys included in the temporal trend analysis. Surveys conducted in the summer/fall months were included for the years specified. VIIS - Virgin Islands National Park, VICR - Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument, BUIS - Buck island Reef National Monument. Marine Protected Area Location Metric Years Number of Surveys Buck Island Reef National Monument Inside Outside Fish and Benthics Fish and Benthics 2003-2010 2003-2010 275 216 Virgin Islands National Park Inside Outside Fish and Benthics Benthics 2002-2011 2002-2011 130 108 Inside Fish 2002-2011 316 Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument Inside Benthics 2003-2010 265 Outside Benthics 2003-2010 268 Virgin Islands National Park AND Virgin Islands Coral Reef National Monument Outside Fish 2002-2011 416 U.S. Department of Commerce Penny Pritzker, Secretary of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Kathryn Sullivan, Acting Under Secretary for Oceans and Atmosphere National Ocean Service Holly Bamford, Assistant Administrator for National Ocean Service The mission of the National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science is to provide managers with scientific information and tools needed to balance society’s environmental, social and economic goals. For more information, visit: http://www.coastalscience.noaa.gov/.